Awful-Task 0x798b5f…bfe349
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$4.76K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$306
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-22 08:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96% — —
Politics
4% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +66 $59 92¢ $61 +$2 07-21 23:50
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No -41 $-40 97¢ $-40 +$0 06-02 20:52
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +31 $30 96¢ $30 +$0 06-28 13:54
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -23 $-21 95¢ $-22 $-1 07-20 14:11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -23 $-21 90¢ $-21 +$1 07-21 21:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -21 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-0 06-24 12:33
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 +$1 07-19 21:49
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 $-0 06-22 11:54
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 91¢ $19 $-1 07-15 23:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -17 $-16 97¢ $-16 $-0 07-17 15:09
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +11 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 07-20 22:42
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$0 06-28 17:08
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -7 $-12 93¢ $-7 +$5 07-20 16:14
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-04 10:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$0 07-22 08:46
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +0 $-0 93¢ $0 +$0 07-19 17:57