Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
110
lifetime
Volume
$1.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$221
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-10 03:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85%
Politics
13%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +49 $44 90¢ $44 +$0 06-09 14:31
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No -41 $-40 97¢ $-40 $-0 06-02 20:52
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -24 $-23 94¢ $-23 $-0 06-08 15:34
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 +$0 06-08 08:48
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +19 $16 84¢ $16 +$0 06-08 13:14
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-12 99¢ $-12 $-0 06-03 05:57
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$0 06-07 04:53
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -11 $-10 88¢ $-10 +$0 06-05 16:56
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 06-08 03:43
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$0 06-08 17:22
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 06-10 06:57
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -8 $-9 89¢ $-8 +$1 06-10 03:55
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-04 10:03
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +4 $3 93¢ $3 +$0 06-08 07:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $-0 93¢ $0 +$0 06-09 17:48