Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
283
lifetime
Volume
$3.07K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$298
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-30 06:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
93%
Politics
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +47 $42 92¢ $43 +$1 07-01 13:17
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026? No -41 $-40 97¢ $-40 +$0 06-02 20:52
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -37 $-34 94¢ $-35 $-1 06-24 14:13
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +31 $30 94¢ $29 $-0 06-28 13:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -21 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-0 06-24 12:33
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 06-22 11:54
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $19 94¢ $20 +$1 06-30 06:42
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +21 $15 94¢ $20 +$5 07-01 14:22
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -16 $-16 96¢ $-16 $-0 06-26 05:23
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-01 15:09
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 06-16 00:39
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -11 $-10 88¢ $-10 +$0 06-26 00:30
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-28 17:08
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No -8 $-8 96¢ $-8 +$0 06-13 14:11
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 +$0 06-04 10:03
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $-1 86¢ $0 +$1 06-29 17:02