Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$3.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 11-12 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

51% 31% +$1

Politics

24% 0% -$50

Tech

23% 30% -$120

Crypto

2% 33% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+57	$3	3¢	$2	-$2	07-22 11:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+29	$6	6¢	$2	-$5	08-08 14:31
China coup attempt before 2027?	Yes	+86	$4	2¢	$2	-$3	06-21 06:09
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	+90	$9	1¢	$1	-$8	09-10 16:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	18	$674	869	869	+0	open	—	09-28 13:18
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	26	$570	1,154	591	+562	No	-$274	09-18 16:35
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	1	$444	482	0	+482	Yes	+$39	11-12 03:30
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	2	$344	400	400	+0	open	—	09-11 13:43
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	2	$242	395	395	+0	Yes	+$51	11-09 02:46
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	5	$232	398	0	+398	No	+$166	09-09 16:34
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	5	$206	208	208	+0	No	-$42	09-11 13:56
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	3	$199	373	373	+0	open	—	09-09 15:33
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	5	$163	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	08-25 13:07
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	6	$153	226	226	+0	open	—	09-11 08:21
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	7	$153	168	168	+0	open	—	09-03 14:49
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	3	$69	65	65	+0	open	—	09-16 04:06
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	2	$68	52	52	+0	open	—	09-11 13:54
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	1	$50	123	0	+123	No	-$50	09-17 15:32
Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	09-16 04:06
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	3	$29	254	254	+0	Yes	-$3	09-16 04:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	5	$26	175	175	+0	open	—	09-03 14:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	07-27 06:30
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	5	$24	172	172	+0	Yes	-$4	07-24 01:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$20	25	0	+25	Yes	+$5	09-11 13:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$18	78	0	+78	No	-$18	07-23 09:32
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	2	$17	21	21	+0	open	—	11-07 10:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:05 UTC	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	08-20 16:10
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	1	$16	78	0	+78	Gen.G	-$16	11-07 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:25 UTC	1	$15	68	0	+68	Up	-$15	08-20 16:26
will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	4	$13	90	0	+90	No	-$13	07-27 06:41
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 09:11
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	2	$11	50	50	+0	No	-$7	08-08 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:15 UTC	1	$10	15	0	+15	Up	+$5	08-20 16:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$10	50	50	+0	open	—	07-27 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 03:30:06	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	482	92¢	$444	0xbd1f24…
11-09 02:46:07	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	395	37¢	$146	0xd352d7…
11-07 11:02:55	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	395	24¢	$96	0x57b19a…
11-07 10:53:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0xe5eb97…
11-07 10:52:01	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	SELL	21	46¢	$9	0x245248…
09-28 13:18:29	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	136	68¢	$93	0x1e38b4…
09-18 16:35:30	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	18¢	$55	0x2706a8…
09-17 15:32:57	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0x2853f5…
09-16 04:06:21	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	No	SELL	29	63¢	$18	0xbc87d0…
09-16 04:06:09	Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	No	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0x7ff14b…
09-16 04:03:15	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	SELL	254	5¢	$13	0x2c3a59…
09-13 02:04:48	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	290	56¢	$161	0xc44e09…
09-13 02:04:07	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	234	6¢	$15	0x5827b5…
09-12 01:24:55	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	33¢	$94	0x485ab9…
09-11 15:07:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	32¢	$12	0xe9aa24…
09-11 15:02:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0x424767…
09-11 15:01:45	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x3f378b…
09-11 14:59:49	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	32¢	$70	0x8d07f8…
09-11 14:57:46	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xc95407…
09-11 14:57:34	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xff3331…
09-11 14:23:51	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1eec98…
09-11 14:15:37	OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?	Anthropic	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xb21a10…
09-11 14:12:54	Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x075e48…
09-11 14:12:42	Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?	No	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0x4f4cfe…
09-11 14:11:43	Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?	No	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0xd6d2a9…
09-11 13:57:48	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xa1d49e…
09-11 13:57:06	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xd751b8…
09-11 13:56:31	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x437ffa…
09-11 13:56:01	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	208	39¢	$82	0xf6b2d2…
09-11 13:54:01	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	68¢	$35	0x8d97c9…
09-11 13:43:15	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	SELL	400	43¢	$172	0x8c3387…
09-11 13:41:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xb49330…
09-11 11:10:39	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xef508a…
09-11 11:10:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x7b7172…
09-11 11:07:09	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xbe324a…
09-11 11:05:36	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x494900…
09-11 11:05:25	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xe4e918…
09-11 08:35:16	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xc86fd9…
09-11 08:34:54	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x7a787d…
09-11 08:34:31	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xfa17ce…
09-11 08:21:12	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	48¢	$109	0x8e4480…
09-10 17:14:18	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xcf7dba…
09-10 17:13:24	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd1c81c…
09-10 17:10:57	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0xe14d2e…
09-10 17:09:45	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x312f7c…
09-10 17:09:10	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6d4568…
09-10 17:07:58	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	17¢	$20	0xfb202d…
09-10 17:05:15	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	58¢	$11	0x4213eb…
09-10 17:01:28	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc3ea4e…
09-10 16:59:00	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x44eeaa…
09-10 16:57:15	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	54¢	$0	0x15db73…
09-10 16:54:42	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0x956964…
09-10 16:54:03	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa65f26…
09-10 16:53:21	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0xed781b…
09-10 16:51:21	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9d6016…
09-10 16:51:07	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1c566c…
09-10 16:50:42	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1ec207…
09-10 16:50:04	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb32a07…
09-10 16:48:40	Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x885140…
09-10 16:45:42	Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8f8431…
09-10 16:44:45	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	400	43¢	$172	0xf40675…
09-10 16:42:18	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x3d1523…
09-09 16:34:19	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8d9ed3…
09-09 16:25:51	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xcc34fb…
09-09 16:17:18	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	38	62¢	$24	0xfc4aac…
09-09 16:15:36	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	443	52¢	$230	0x852216…
09-09 15:42:21	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf2f87c…
09-09 15:36:31	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0249d2…
09-09 15:33:57	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	228	27¢	$62	0x9f15c4…
09-09 15:24:48	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	145	28¢	$40	0x1be594…
09-03 15:35:34	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	373	26¢	$97	0x772791…
09-03 14:58:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x5eb4d1…
09-03 14:49:36	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2ed51e…
09-03 14:48:21	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	62¢	$90	0xb81fd3…
09-02 07:12:51	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0xe100af…
08-25 13:08:45	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	105	53¢	$56	0x52e7a3…
08-25 13:07:21	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	705	8¢	$53	0x83c0db…
08-20 16:26:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xa293de…
08-20 16:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x716d15…
08-20 16:10:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4c39a2…
08-20 16:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x338073…
08-20 15:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae28bc…
08-20 15:28:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3371b5…
08-20 15:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x73a9ed…
08-20 15:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc01b9b…
08-20 15:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe30cba…
08-20 15:08:49	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xe79f23…
08-20 01:53:27	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	397	8¢	$33	0x99bfa5…
08-18 07:44:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x525342…
08-08 14:31:16	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6e2d30…
08-08 14:30:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xffcc72…
08-08 05:47:28	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x78be36…
07-27 06:44:54	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf1eff4…
07-27 06:41:07	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x259354…
07-27 06:33:55	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x5aa2a2…
07-27 06:33:33	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3t yuan 20260723150635976	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x662f9d…
07-27 06:30:58	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x2d34e6…
07-27 06:30:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x1903da…
07-27 06:22:52	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc13e77…
07-27 06:22:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be at least 3pt5t yuan 20260723150651778	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x31966c…