Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$259

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

480

Trades

1,689

lifetime

Volume

$4.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-27 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Other

55% 62% -$1

Politics

30% 61% +$160

Sports

9% 69% +$52

Crypto

4% 67% +$53

Pop-Culture

1% 54% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+23	$19	97¢	$22	+$3	09-15 13:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+24	$18	84¢	$20	+$2	10-20 03:07
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	+19	$17	96¢	$18	+$1	09-08 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+23	$16	64¢	$15	-$2	10-27 16:46
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-5	-$3	70¢	$-4	-$1	09-29 15:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	78	$184	145	128	+17	Yes	+$4	02-03 17:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	15	$129	179	1,640	-1,460	No	+$104	01-30 17:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 32 33f	14	$77	52	46	+5	Yes	-$8	02-04 22:22
lol hle1 gen 2026 02 01 game2	38	$73	100	0	+100	Gen.G	+$27	02-01 09:17
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	3	$72	12	60	-48	No	$0	01-20 06:23
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	11	$64	36	36	+0	Yes	+$4	06-25 01:44
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	8	$64	40	40	+0	No	+$14	02-03 19:30
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	2	$54	34	34	+0	Yes	+$15	07-04 00:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$50	86	23	+63	Yes	+$37	05-31 17:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	9	$48	62	41	+21	No	-$5	06-01 22:49
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	7	$46	28	28	+0	Yes	+$7	07-06 13:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$46	66	54	+12	No	+$0	04-23 00:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$43	104	49	+55	No	-$15	05-29 19:28
lol ns kt 2026 01 30	20	$42	47	44	+3	Nongshim Red Force	+$0	01-30 09:39
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	10	$42	134	63	+71	Yes	+$57	10-23 21:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	12	$42	61	51	+10	Yes	+$2	04-17 13:11
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	2	$41	28	28	+0	Washington Nationals	+$2	08-27 18:24
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	11	$38	1,140	1,434	-294	No	+$30	02-10 15:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$38	65	65	+0	Yes	-$1	04-07 23:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$38	95	95	+0	open	—	10-20 03:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$38	90	89	+2	No	$0	06-24 17:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$37	22	22	+0	No	+$8	04-23 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$36	57	53	+4	No	-$10	04-23 19:55
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	3	$35	38	19	+19	Yes	+$2	06-22 00:34
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	23	$35	43	40	+4	Yes	+$17	01-24 14:21
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$32	45	45	+0	No	-$4	04-15 21:52
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	5	$31	37	0	+37	No	+$6	02-06 01:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$30	17	17	+0	No	+$3	05-15 19:04
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	3	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	06-17 22:34
nba tor cle 2026 04 18	8	$29	59	58	+1	Cavaliers	+$1	04-18 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:20:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa407e7…
10-27 19:20:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xea2274…
10-27 16:46:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf8cbe2…
10-27 13:58:21	Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5935cf…
10-27 04:03:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x500933…
10-26 14:31:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf3a64e…
10-26 14:04:18	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xeacc6e…
10-23 21:48:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x558659…
10-23 19:57:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x1da042…
10-23 19:57:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x9bd58c…
10-23 04:39:54	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3f67f1…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc75df9…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3db40…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc18b0a…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb346e6…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x90bdf2…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x63f8b2…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4ad193…
10-23 04:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1d5c96…
10-23 00:34:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1d604a…
10-22 21:22:42	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6ee9dd…
10-22 21:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x61c738…
10-22 21:15:29	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xdb50d3…
10-22 18:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2c2be2…
10-21 13:19:39	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x724e1c…
10-20 22:40:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	93	20¢	$19	0xb5ec62…
10-20 03:07:06	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0xa51061…
10-20 03:07:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x958502…
10-17 19:39:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x331562…
10-11 00:18:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xf7283c…
10-09 22:15:47	Will Isaias make landfall in Mississippi as a hurricane?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb64ba8…
10-09 19:33:01	will isaias make landfall in louisiana as a hurricane 1791380120953	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe32b53…
10-09 15:51:52	Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe4cae5…
10-09 15:51:48	Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4a207b…
10-09 12:55:48	will isaias make landfall in louisiana as a hurricane 1791380120953	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7cbc12…
10-09 09:00:58	Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa97eac…
10-09 02:09:41	Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7f3767…
10-08 10:54:36	Will Isaias peak at Category 4?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8ec62f…
10-07 04:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 7?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xed5f12…
10-06 20:54:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x96c68f…
10-06 20:09:54	Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa182a7…
10-06 20:09:29	Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa0dc87…
10-06 20:01:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3a1fe3…
10-06 20:01:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x21282a…
10-06 19:58:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf9e284…
10-06 19:58:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x09357e…
10-06 18:57:38	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 6?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x334aa3…
10-05 19:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd1724e…
09-29 15:41:53	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xa6f387…
09-21 18:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2d52c7…
09-21 11:28:42	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd75d5c…
09-20 22:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9d34dc…
09-20 21:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6fa285…
09-20 21:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3b2670…
09-20 21:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x47382c…
09-20 21:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x59bac6…
09-20 21:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x831a5e…
09-20 21:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x70d98f…
09-20 21:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0xd14a96…
09-20 21:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x82d07a…
09-20 21:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x48785e…
09-20 21:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x3c250e…
09-20 21:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x5c0c5c…
09-20 09:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdb25ba…
09-18 03:36:58	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfa454c…
09-15 22:28:49	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0x758a34…
09-15 16:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on September 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8d5ab9…
09-15 13:39:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0xbeb4a9…
09-14 19:53:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbf109d…
09-14 19:51:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc0417a…
09-14 19:51:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x451f2f…
09-14 19:40:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x742f35…
09-14 19:25:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcde0c8…
09-14 19:25:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8fe27d…
09-14 19:25:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6bf981…
09-14 14:58:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7be795…
09-08 18:14:00	laptop fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	36	54¢	$19	0x46962c…
09-08 17:29:46	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x755ae5…
09-08 17:20:31	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x5f1e5c…
09-02 06:13:28	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8d2f20…
09-02 06:12:31	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x165a2a…
09-01 13:51:22	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xde16af…
08-28 01:38:07	49ers vs. Raiders	Raiders	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0xb67496…
08-27 21:08:54	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xed497a…
08-27 18:24:45	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0xe6dec6…
08-27 18:16:27	Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x6192eb…
08-23 03:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 23?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x08fb17…
08-20 06:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8e76dc…
08-20 06:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3ee9b8…
08-20 06:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x8b61a4…
08-20 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x599dfd…
08-20 06:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xcb9d52…
08-20 06:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x2b0ee5…
08-20 06:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1a4d19…
08-20 06:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x4db5ec…
08-20 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0294be…
08-20 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x01e271…
08-20 05:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6c6d35…
08-20 05:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x30f366…
08-20 05:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1b77fc…