Realized P&L
+$259
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
480
Trades
1,696
lifetime
Volume
$4.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$145
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 11-03 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Other
54% 62% -$1
Politics
31% 61% +$160
Sports
9% 69% +$52
Crypto
4% 67% +$53
Pop-Culture
1% 54% +$1
Tech
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +23 $19 97¢ $22 +$3 09-15 13:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +27 $19 76¢ $21 +$1 11-02 04:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $18 82¢ $20 +$2 10-20 03:07
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +60 $19 34¢ $20 +$1 11-02 16:53
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +19 $17 95¢ $18 +$1 09-08 17:29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +23 $16 66¢ $15 -$1 10-27 16:46
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $13 74¢ $13 +$0 11-03 00:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +30 $12 38¢ $11 $0 11-02 23:21
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -5 -$3 76¢ $-4 -$1 09-29 15:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2 -$1 34¢ $-1 $0 11-02 18:25