Intentional-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,532

lifetime

Volume

$756.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$494

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-07 22:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

49% 80% +$1,413

Sports

19% — —

Tech

15% — —

Other

14% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$76.1K	97,563	125,401	-27,839	open	—	06-16 22:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	47	$53.2K	41,683	41,683	+0	open	—	04-21 17:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$40.7K	18,804	35,117	-16,313	open	—	06-17 12:47
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$39.7K	45,438	0	+45,438	open	—	06-24 07:03
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	18	$39.5K	25,085	25,085	+0	open	—	06-08 14:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	22	$33.2K	70,160	51,352	+18,807	open	—	04-24 13:23
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	13	$26.6K	36,662	0	+36,662	open	—	06-08 14:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	45	$26.2K	35,693	26,765	+8,929	open	—	05-30 06:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	17	$23.2K	33,929	30,930	+2,999	open	—	06-14 11:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	17	$19.5K	0	21,087	-21,087	open	—	06-07 08:35
will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	6	$18.3K	11,049	11,049	+0	open	—	07-05 22:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$16.7K	12,892	12,892	+0	open	—	06-01 17:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	21	$15.9K	17,985	17,985	+0	open	—	06-19 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$15.9K	9,167	9,167	-0	open	—	06-14 22:47
will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	11	$15.7K	10,153	9,136	+1,017	open	—	07-05 22:19
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	12	$15.5K	9,833	9,833	+0	open	—	07-07 18:07
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	7	$15.1K	25,153	0	+25,153	open	—	07-06 22:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	15	$14.5K	63,730	63,730	+0	open	—	04-21 18:39
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	9	$11.4K	6,051	6,051	+0	open	—	07-05 16:15
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	28	$11.4K	10,961	6,775	+4,186	open	—	04-16 14:29
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	2	$11.3K	6,504	6,504	+0	open	—	06-07 11:06
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	7	$10.7K	7,516	5,492	+2,024	open	—	06-14 11:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$10.6K	24,610	24,610	+0	open	—	04-23 19:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	13	$10.0K	11,969	7,484	+4,485	open	—	06-12 18:46
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	9	$8.0K	5,016	5,016	+0	open	—	07-11 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	28	$7.4K	12,835	12,835	+0	open	—	04-22 20:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$7.2K	5,510	5,510	+0	open	—	05-07 19:26
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	1	$7.0K	7,527	0	+7,527	open	—	07-12 12:23
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$6.0K	8,057	0	+8,057	open	—	06-13 10:58
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$5.8K	3,336	3,336	+0	open	—	07-08 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 22:16:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc27816…
07-28 13:57:46	wta eala zhen 2026 07 27	Alexandra Eala	SELL	711	43¢	$306	0x2045c6…
07-28 10:52:19	wta eala zhen 2026 07 27	Alexandra Eala	BUY	711	44¢	$313	0xdc8827…
07-19 16:32:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,293	59¢	$766	0xae955b…
07-17 11:30:09	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	SELL	384	51¢	$196	0x193c30…
07-17 11:26:51	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	SELL	683	52¢	$355	0xffb6ec…
07-15 21:07:11	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	706	85¢	$600	0xe5d974…
07-14 21:23:17	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x1719d2…
07-14 21:22:52	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x58a61f…
07-14 21:22:37	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	356	38¢	$135	0xef97ca…
07-14 21:22:37	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x2dae45…
07-14 21:10:04	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0a95ea…
07-14 21:09:55	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xf04e98…
07-14 21:08:31	will kylian mbappe score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup copy	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$110	0x377e67…
07-14 21:06:29	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	186	90¢	$168	0x417421…
07-14 21:06:26	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x0d7a4b…
07-14 21:05:31	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1,705	90¢	$1,534	0x4f360b…
07-14 20:50:41	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1,565	88¢	$1,377	0x564637…
07-14 20:49:08	will kylian mbappe score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0xb63f6e…
07-12 16:39:55	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	SELL	1,867	59¢	$1,102	0x753ddc…
07-12 14:53:08	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1,867	83¢	$1,550	0x484405…
07-12 12:23:46	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	7,527	93¢	$7,000	0x258fe7…
07-11 23:50:08	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	2,003	75¢	$1,499	0x2a0b29…
07-11 23:37:01	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1,545	99¢	$1,526	0xef06a4…
07-11 21:07:11	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x99213e…
07-09 22:19:44	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0x342000…
07-09 22:19:11	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	1,598	74¢	$1,178	0xe1b5f3…
07-09 21:30:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	SELL	262	2¢	$5	0xc870eb…
07-09 21:10:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	262	21¢	$55	0xcc98c3…
07-09 14:48:25	will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	1,907	83¢	$1,583	0x3c1676…
07-09 14:22:25	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Coco Gauff	SELL	325	42¢	$137	0xabd1da…
07-09 13:30:13	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Coco Gauff	BUY	325	31¢	$100	0xef9e7e…
07-08 13:23:11	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	2,033	74¢	$1,500	0x67e9eb…
07-08 13:21:53	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	3,336	86¢	$2,869	0xe2afc1…
07-07 22:55:41	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	558	81¢	$450	0xb4e17d…
07-07 22:54:35	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	349	100¢	$348	0x97b9c9…
07-07 22:51:46	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	606	83¢	$500	0xd66ae4…
07-07 22:49:58	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xe3b716…
07-07 22:28:07	will erling haaland score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1,907	89¢	$1,700	0xe2555e…
07-07 22:12:41	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,667	87¢	$1,456	0x219f2b…
07-07 22:07:43	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,669	87¢	$1,450	0xc18cf4…
07-07 18:07:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	6,093	96¢	$5,863	0xc0c6f5…
07-07 17:40:19	btc updown 5m 1783445700	Up	SELL	168	99¢	$166	0x44c26b…
07-07 17:39:28	btc updown 5m 1783445700	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xddc67d…
07-07 17:39:16	btc updown 5m 1783445700	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x235a5f…
07-07 17:30:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	372	22¢	$82	0x5f79dc…
07-07 13:36:44	btc updown 5m 1783431300	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xc45146…
07-07 13:33:29	btc updown 5m 1783431000	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x7efb19…
07-07 13:32:35	btc updown 5m 1783431000	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x086f39…
07-07 13:28:50	btc updown 5m 1783430700	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x96d954…
07-07 13:28:38	btc updown 5m 1783430700	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb71bd7…
07-07 13:28:35	btc updown 5m 1783430700	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x23ccc5…
07-07 13:28:11	btc updown 5m 1783430700	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x465af8…
07-07 13:25:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	372	86¢	$320	0xb0d3d5…
07-07 09:58:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,529	85¢	$3,000	0x192427…
07-07 09:02:10	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	577	65¢	$375	0x7b506e…
07-06 22:26:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,235	81¢	$1,000	0xfceaa5…
07-06 22:25:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,329	75¢	$1,000	0x29e537…
07-06 22:24:32	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	1,541	65¢	$1,000	0x2c8bba…
07-06 22:23:43	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x6fa3db…
07-06 22:19:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,749	69¢	$1,208	0x1a13f7…
07-06 22:08:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	944	90¢	$850	0x9e149a…
07-06 21:59:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	805	87¢	$700	0x1392c6…
07-06 20:34:20	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	561	63¢	$355	0xbd4d02…
07-06 20:28:41	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	316	67¢	$212	0xd4b8d8…
07-06 20:22:49	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	573	64¢	$367	0x750168…
07-06 17:48:37	will erling haaland score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	652	68¢	$445	0x190fac…
07-05 22:19:26	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	1,017	59¢	$600	0x319607…
07-05 22:18:08	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	SELL	11,049	82¢	$9,060	0x703c2a…
07-05 16:16:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	5,634	63¢	$3,540	0x47e628…
07-05 16:15:46	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	SELL	6,051	95¢	$5,774	0x8b7612…
07-03 23:28:43	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x28d80a…
07-03 23:28:31	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	775	62¢	$477	0x731d22…
07-03 23:24:46	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	SELL	603	81¢	$488	0x48f6ff…
07-03 22:39:20	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	316	82¢	$259	0xa80f35…
07-03 22:34:50	will cristiano ronaldo score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406406	No	BUY	468	75¢	$349	0x3f9ec4…
07-03 22:31:10	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	1,807	83¢	$1,500	0x4d892b…
07-03 22:26:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,848	0xa5d2e5…
07-03 22:01:22	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	287	82¢	$235	0x50941d…
07-03 21:58:56	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	1,014	74¢	$751	0x327b06…
07-02 16:33:04	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	1,545	83¢	$1,280	0x9940df…
07-02 16:20:29	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	1,414	91¢	$1,288	0xb744a6…
07-02 15:51:01	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	5,225	84¢	$4,389	0xb476f6…
07-02 15:47:56	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	1,220	82¢	$998	0xb4f4cd…
07-02 15:28:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	335	78¢	$260	0xd49657…
07-02 15:27:49	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	613	83¢	$510	0xc2e015…
07-02 15:26:28	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	SELL	382	86¢	$329	0xa1484a…
07-02 15:23:41	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	2,168	83¢	$1,800	0x520cdc…
07-02 15:09:52	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	304	83¢	$252	0xae7f31…
07-02 15:08:22	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	382	86¢	$330	0xaa6ee8…
07-02 15:00:02	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	335	85¢	$285	0x51ac78…
07-02 14:56:32	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	607	83¢	$504	0xd802c6…
07-02 14:53:08	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	SELL	7,916	83¢	$6,565	0x0106fe…
07-02 13:26:20	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0xe895ad…
07-02 13:25:11	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	3,074	85¢	$2,610	0x7e0392…
07-02 13:03:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,620	75¢	$1,962	0xbb5ed1…
07-02 12:54:35	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	1,273	84¢	$1,067	0xcdaa42…
07-02 10:39:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,046	58¢	$609	0x5baa33…
07-02 10:35:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	506	79¢	$400	0xc5a280…
07-02 10:35:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,095	79¢	$860	0xa5d954…