Realized P&L
-$245
Unrealized P&L
-$16.6K
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
3,646
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$373
Open exposure
$44.8K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 06-30 19:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
93% 0% $-245
Other
4%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +17,112 $7,255 100¢ $17.1K +$9,823 06-08 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5,823 $4,105 99¢ $5.8K +$1,678 06-15 04:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5,374 $1,397 100¢ $5.4K +$3,966 06-19 00:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +12,087 $6,787 42¢ $5.1K $-1,711 06-16 20:18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5,000 $3,847 100¢ $5.0K +$1,143 06-15 00:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +4,555 $1,679 70¢ $3.2K +$1,486 06-15 04:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16,444 $2,197 15¢ $-2384 $-4,581 06-29 02:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +194,414 $14,048 $389 $-13,660 06-17 14:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +9,773 $3,942 $205 $-3,737 06-08 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +23,706 $4,829 $166 $-4,663 06-14 21:55
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +90,679 $1,321 $91 $-1,230 06-13 22:25
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +361 $45 11¢ $41 $-4 06-21 21:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +18,243 $1,268 $36 $-1,231 06-23 03:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +17,449 $3,385 $35 $-3,350 06-09 17:44
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +1,585 $231 $13 $-218 06-08 04:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +3,446 $480 $7 $-473 06-21 15:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -5,566 $-200 $-6 +$194 05-31 05:57