Tan-Server 0xbd0477…d8fbb0
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$317.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$33.3K
Hit rate
54.0%
Resolved
411
Trades
5,689
lifetime
Volume
$2.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$473
Open exposure
$117.3K
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 08-13 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
84% 42% +$270,246
Other
11% 34% +$21,286
Sports
2% 60% +$23,490
Crypto
2% 100% +$3,520
Tech
1% 18% -$1,277
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$199
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +44,849 $15,298 93¢ $41.7K +$26,411 08-10 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +35,106 $25,378 82¢ $28.6K +$3,233 07-20 15:31
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +10,317 $873 96¢ $10.0K +$9,083 08-05 22:03
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +10,361 $6,951 92¢ $9.5K +$2,529 07-31 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +49,708 $13,593 18¢ $9.2K -$4,397 08-08 04:59
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +7,823 $3,555 96¢ $7.5K +$3,963 08-12 16:53
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +8,061 $3,326 87¢ $7.0K +$3,687 08-07 18:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +12,087 $6,787 8¢ $1.0K -$5,760 06-16 20:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6,071 $1,530 15¢ $880 -$650 07-13 18:41
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,012 $744 38¢ $775 +$30 07-06 20:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +4,480 $3,365 7¢ $314 -$3,051 07-31 19:55
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +1,179 $212 16¢ $183 -$29 08-11 06:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,438 3¢ $160 -$1,278 05-24 01:25
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $362 12¢ $125 -$237 08-02 21:42
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 Yes +3,161 $2,361 4¢ $111 -$2,250 08-12 21:27
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +107 -$2,186 96¢ $103 +$2,289 07-31 16:28
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +520 $237 12¢ $62 -$175 07-09 23:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,000 $131 3¢ $61 -$70 06-02 01:31
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +361 $45 12¢ $44 -$1 06-21 21:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +73 $46 13¢ $9 -$37 07-30 22:29