Realized P&L (7d)
+$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.0K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
0
5,689 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$2.69M lifetime
Avg / trade
$473
Open exposure
$100.3K
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 08-13 03:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Politics
84% 42% +$274,514
Other
11% 35% +$28,369
Sports
2% 60% +$23,490
Crypto
2% 100% +$3,520
Tech
1% 18% -$1,277
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$199
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +44,849 $15,298 94¢ $42.4K +$27,084 08-10 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +35,106 $25,378 84¢ $29.3K +$3,935 07-20 15:31
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +10,361 $6,951 96¢ $9.9K +$2,943 07-31 04:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +49,708 $13,593 16¢ $8.2K -$5,391 08-08 04:59
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553 No +8,061 $3,326 88¢ $7.1K +$3,808 08-07 18:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +12,087 $6,787 8¢ $1.0K -$5,760 06-16 20:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6,071 $1,530 15¢ $880 -$650 07-13 18:41
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,012 $744 26¢ $513 -$231 07-06 20:43
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +4,480 $3,365 6¢ $246 -$3,118 07-31 19:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +5,000 $1,438 3¢ $160 -$1,278 05-24 01:25
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +1,179 $212 14¢ $159 -$53 08-11 06:49
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $362 14¢ $135 -$227 08-02 21:42
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +107 -$2,186 97¢ $104 +$2,290 07-31 16:28
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +520 $237 14¢ $70 -$167 07-09 23:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,000 $131 2¢ $31 -$100 06-02 01:31
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +361 $45 8¢ $31 -$15 06-21 21:46
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +73 $46 4¢ $3 -$43 07-30 22:29