Kosher-Refuse 0x2117ae…955c26
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.07M
Unrealized P&L
+$17.2K
Hit rate
57.1%
Resolved
8,239
Trades
76,964
lifetime
Volume
$40.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$519
Open exposure
$195.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-28
last 10-26 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 209 days
Categories
Other
91% 46% -$880,237
Sports
6% 51% -$182,594
Crypto
2% 40% -$11,531
Politics
1% 44% +$7,691
Tech
0% 100% +$227
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 455 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +50,497 $35,583 96¢ $48.4K +$12,768 10-24 11:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +44,985 $42,241 96¢ $43.1K +$877 10-23 21:44
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -12,444 -$10,875 99¢ $-12276 -$1,401 05-30 10:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +11,550 $7,941 94¢ $10.8K +$2,858 10-02 09:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +10,808 $5,603 93¢ $10.1K +$4,448 10-24 11:57
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,060 $4,997 66¢ $6.6K +$1,592 10-20 09:20
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5,000 $4,240 99¢ $5.0K +$722 09-21 10:03
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12,000 $5,289 34¢ $4.1K -$1,149 10-26 11:28
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +5,175 $3,390 78¢ $4.1K +$673 09-20 10:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4,194 $3,708 96¢ $4.0K +$316 09-04 00:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5,941 $3,091 66¢ $3.9K +$801 10-24 15:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +4,948 $3,030 72¢ $3.6K +$549 10-04 20:42
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,867 $2,840 44¢ $3.0K +$158 10-18 07:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,074 $2,903 95¢ $2.9K +$15 10-16 13:52
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +10,247 $5,324 28¢ $2.8K -$2,491 10-17 10:15
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays +5,345 $2,779 52¢ $2.8K -$27 10-26 20:22
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,029 $2,596 68¢ $2.7K +$144 09-25 19:56
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,836 $2,682 95¢ $2.7K +$11 09-15 15:46
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +3,227 $2,603 82¢ $2.7K +$60 10-17 10:20
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,608 $2,592 68¢ $2.4K -$156 10-25 20:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,374 $2,292 100¢ $2.4K +$80 09-08 21:23
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,709 $3,169 34¢ $2.3K -$855 10-26 07:05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +50,497 $7,329 4¢ $2.1K -$5,183 09-24 18:15
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,996 $1,613 84¢ $1.7K +$55 10-01 01:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,806 $1,607 91¢ $1.6K +$28 09-14 02:55
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +2,489 $1,344 66¢ $1.6K +$286 09-10 12:01
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +5,661 $1,444 26¢ $1.5K +$56 10-26 10:36
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +1,442 $388 99¢ $1.4K +$1,046 09-05 07:20
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers +2,356 $1,343 58¢ $1.4K +$35 10-26 21:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +5,370 $396 24¢ $1.3K +$909 10-06 11:08