Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$30
Hit rate
26.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,568
lifetime
Volume
$8.22K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$154
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 06-09 23:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
48%
Politics
24% 0% $-0
Other
23% 33% $-2
Tech
4%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 168 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +113 $96 82¢ $93 $-2 06-09 17:50
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-14 94¢ $-14 $-1 06-01 19:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-05 04:44
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027? Yes +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-06 22:20
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-03 16:28
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-07 18:18
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Yes +5 $5 91¢ $5 $-0 06-10 03:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$0 06-05 07:37
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-09 11:52
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 76¢ $4 $-1 06-07 16:32
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? No +7 $1 11¢ $1 $-1 06-02 17:08
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 76¢ $-0 $-0 06-05 09:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +31 $24 $0 $-24 06-07 17:34
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -0 $1 80¢ $-0 $-1 06-09 23:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 +$0 06-06 01:38