Charming-Sponge 0x4c4da6…6eee6a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.09K
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
92.6%
Resolved
2,583
Trades
4,450
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$289
Open exposure
$70
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 10-21 13:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Sports
92% 70% -$2,595
Crypto
6% 76% -$2,985
Other
2% 65% -$699
Politics
0% 64% +$199
Tech
0% 67% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -14 -$11 96¢ $-14 -$2 06-25 21:31
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -13 -$10 79¢ $-10 $0 06-25 21:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -7 -$6 94¢ $-6 $0 06-25 21:32
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3 -$2 86¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 84¢ $-2 -$1 06-25 21:48
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-2 -$1 06-25 21:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -3 -$2 68¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 21:47
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:47
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12 -$1 16¢ $-2 -$1 06-25 21:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:47
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:47
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -2 -$1 86¢ $-2 $0 06-25 21:48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -10 -$1 16¢ $-2 -$1 06-25 21:48
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 06-25 21:48
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:48
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 93¢ $-1 $0 06-25 21:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -12 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:47
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 88¢ $-1 $0 08-25 17:17
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 09-15 11:24
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 92¢ $-1 $0 09-15 11:24
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-25 21:49
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 09-15 11:25
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-25 21:49
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-25 21:49
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 +$0 09-15 11:25
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 07-13 14:06
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 09-16 11:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:49
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-25 22:46