Charming-Sponge 0x4c4da6…6eee6a
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$22.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
96.6%
Resolved
46
Trades
4,175
lifetime
Volume
$1.25M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$300
Open exposure
$35
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 06-25 21:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Sports
92% 68% +$22,253
Crypto
6% 100% +$1
Other
2% 100% +$0
Politics
0% 50% $-5
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-6 $-0 06-25 21:32
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 21:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 21:32
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 80¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 21:47
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 98¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 21:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 21:47
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 21:47
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -2 $-2 86¢ $-2 +$0 06-25 21:47
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 68¢ $-2 $-0 06-25 21:48
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:48
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:47
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -2 $-1 84¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:48
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:48
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 48¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:48
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:49
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:49
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:49
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -1 $-1 78¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:49
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-25 21:49
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 +$0 06-25 21:49