Alert-Nick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$344

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

236

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$30.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-05 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

86% 75% +$140

Sports

9% 43% +$110

Politics

5% 82% +$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	16	$2.6K	1,562	1,562	+0	Yes	+$107	06-25 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?	4	$1.2K	626	626	+0	No	+$61	07-01 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 13?	2	$993	503	503	+0	Yes	+$13	06-14 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?	4	$633	873	0	+873	Yes	-$124	07-01 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	5	$529	280	280	+0	No	+$31	07-10 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 14?	2	$504	255	255	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 22:17
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 27c	1	$500	503	0	+503	Yes	+$3	04-09 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 4?	3	$500	529	0	+529	Yes	-$85	07-04 18:00
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 26c	1	$500	503	0	+503	Yes	+$3	04-21 19:06
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 28c	2	$480	490	0	+490	No	+$10	04-01 18:00
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 30c	4	$472	256	256	+0	Yes	+$32	03-28 19:33
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$460	500	0	+500	Argentina	+$40	07-12 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 26?	2	$460	235	235	+0	Yes	+$10	06-26 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 1?	3	$450	499	0	+499	No	+$49	06-01 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 26?	2	$447	247	247	+0	No	+$47	06-26 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 26?	4	$421	222	222	+0	No	+$21	06-26 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$410	432	0	+432	No	+$22	05-26 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9?	2	$408	210	210	+0	Yes	+$8	06-09 18:38
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 5 2026 28c	1	$400	403	0	+403	Yes	+$3	04-05 19:00
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05?	1	$400	421	0	+421	Yes	+$21	08-05 23:04
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 28c	1	$400	408	0	+408	No	+$8	04-08 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 12?	1	$400	410	0	+410	No	-$400	07-12 18:05
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 25?	1	$400	411	0	+411	No	+$11	04-25 18:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	4	$391	250	210	+40	No	-$10	07-11 18:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 30c	1	$377	381	0	+381	Yes	+$4	04-18 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	4	$349	357	54	+303	Yes	-$38	07-16 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 29?	4	$346	371	0	+371	No	+$25	06-29 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 8?	3	$330	357	50	+307	Yes	-$19	07-08 19:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$306	325	0	+325	No	+$19	05-22 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 11?	1	$300	307	0	+307	No	+$7	06-11 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 12:24:04	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0xa43821…
10-04 21:03:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7576e8…
09-15 13:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 15?	No	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x131132…
09-03 16:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 3?	No	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x4464cc…
09-02 17:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 2?	No	SELL	56	55¢	$31	0xd7335e…
09-02 16:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 2?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xd672ed…
08-31 14:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or below on August 31?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xbbbf53…
08-27 13:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x749bbc…
08-25 15:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x66618d…
08-25 14:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 25?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x57c844…
08-24 14:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 24?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x71c9d2…
08-19 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xd5b093…
08-16 00:44:13	bra sao cor 2026 08 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x5c7c2a…
08-14 14:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	64	88¢	$56	0xab831d…
08-13 16:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 13?	No	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0x45d12b…
08-13 13:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xe71ca5…
08-12 15:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x199187…
08-12 14:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 12?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x55bae3…
08-12 14:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 12?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x5e069f…
08-10 13:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 10?	No	BUY	57	74¢	$42	0x30e494…
08-10 13:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on August 10?	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x0f0f30…
08-09 19:38:51	bra pal int 2026 08 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6bb3de…
08-09 01:04:39	lec mia mon 2026 08 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x23edca…
08-09 00:00:15	bra cor cha 2026 08 08 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x0a2150…
08-07 22:49:25	arg ros ald 2026 08 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xda6e82…
08-07 16:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 7?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xc72f51…
08-07 15:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 7?	No	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x9a8091…
08-06 13:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	58	87¢	$50	0xb32d3b…
08-06 01:57:30	brco fec pal 2026 08 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x207cfa…
08-05 23:04:17	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05?	Yes	BUY	421	95¢	$400	0x007d22…
08-05 22:54:09	brco cru cha 2026 08 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7a8e50…
08-05 16:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xdc5d9c…
08-04 14:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 4?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfbd984…
08-03 17:27:51	brco cap vit 2026 08 03 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3d919c…
07-31 18:57:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x38a569…
07-31 18:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 31?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xc65463…
07-31 18:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 31?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x36b0b9…
07-31 15:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 31?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x087c3c…
07-31 14:24:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 31?	No	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9d801f…
07-31 13:27:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 31?	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe32ccb…
07-30 14:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xb0b930…
07-30 13:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?	No	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0xfed7ea…
07-30 01:23:24	bra vit pal 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x5cd586…
07-30 01:21:21	bra vit pal 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xdc6cf1…
07-30 01:19:30	bra vit pal 2026 07 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb19f10…
07-29 14:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd7d4bd…
07-29 14:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 29?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x8190ea…
07-29 13:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 29?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xf4de9d…
07-28 18:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 28?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8d82c6…
07-28 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 28?	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xbea6e4…
07-28 02:51:48	Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x5ea226…
07-27 13:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc7777d…
07-26 23:26:45	bra pal cam 2026 07 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x0b6b77…
07-24 14:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x9f9890…
07-24 13:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x52012c…
07-23 14:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 23?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$35	0xb51e12…
07-19 21:14:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x691b79…
07-17 18:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x5b5a66…
07-17 16:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x2b2ca2…
07-17 13:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xcdb0b4…
07-17 13:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x6a03ed…
07-16 19:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x300743…
07-16 17:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0x38fdda…
07-16 16:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x02b0d9…
07-16 15:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xabb89d…
07-16 14:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xaffa8f…
07-16 00:45:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd8628f…
07-15 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x97a4c7…
07-15 17:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 15?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xccd3d5…
07-15 16:58:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xa37189…
07-14 18:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?	No	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x044502…
07-14 18:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 14?	No	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x06874f…
07-14 14:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 14?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x9be88f…
07-14 14:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 14?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x64ac9a…
07-14 13:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7235a1…
07-14 12:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 14?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xfd85ce…
07-13 14:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 13?	No	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x28122d…
07-13 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 13?	No	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x2b3b87…
07-13 12:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 13?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x7973bc…
07-12 18:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	410	97¢	$400	0xc6e985…
07-12 16:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x682780…
07-12 14:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 12?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x41ba0d…
07-12 03:37:29	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	369	98¢	$360	0x88007e…
07-12 03:06:35	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x7cc315…
07-12 02:21:19	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x64af74…
07-12 00:25:07	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x219da0…
07-11 18:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x7e5fc3…
07-11 18:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	No	SELL	210	91¢	$191	0x4af87f…
07-11 17:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc3c45d…
07-11 15:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x38d52c…
07-11 13:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xb1b903…
07-10 18:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	No	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0xc3ec4f…
07-10 18:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xd3ee8a…
07-10 18:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xcb1cbb…
07-10 15:39:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?	No	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x2e4697…
07-10 14:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x9d3372…
07-10 14:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x0114a9…
07-10 14:01:29	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xf070a8…
07-10 14:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xb2d520…
07-10 13:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x14882a…