Realized P&L
+$17.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$876
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
288
Trades
4,068
lifetime
Volume
$321.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$51.4K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 18:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 86 days
Categories
Politics
70% 57% +$3,646
Other
23% 39% +$11,575
Sports
7% 62% +$1,914
Pop-Culture
0% 23% +$255
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12,550 $11,546 94¢ $11.9K +$314 10-25 13:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +11,717 $10,838 98¢ $11.5K +$674 09-07 23:16
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +5,700 $5,483 97¢ $5.5K +$60 10-26 01:34
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +5,700 $5,483 97¢ $5.5K +$57 10-26 01:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -4,503 -$4,211 98¢ $-4397 -$186 05-26 01:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,799 $3,853 74¢ $4.3K +$409 09-15 16:18
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -4,939 -$1,421 24¢ $-1161 +$260 09-19 15:10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3,800 $1,179 28¢ $1.0K -$134 09-08 23:32
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1,200 $792 72¢ $870 +$78 09-15 16:18
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +2,000 $120 40¢ $805 +$685 07-07 12:15
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +1,200 $948 60¢ $726 -$222 09-20 21:59
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +800 $704 87¢ $696 -$8 09-23 09:40
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $790 60¢ $605 -$185 09-18 14:49
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? Yes -600 -$564 98¢ $-586 -$22 08-09 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,460 $570 28¢ $401 -$168 07-10 00:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $512 36¢ $356 -$156 09-19 05:13
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +18,892 $979 2¢ $312 -$667 07-07 18:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -1,049 -$399 28¢ $-288 +$110 10-09 16:02
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? No -280 -$268 98¢ $-274 -$6 06-05 09:57
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -1,073 -$242 11¢ $-113 +$130 05-21 22:39
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $166 1¢ $52 -$113 07-11 02:32
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +400 $52 8¢ $30 -$22 07-07 13:27
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1 $12 70¢ $1 -$12 05-31 22:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-03 23:34