Realized P&L
-$4.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$140
Hit rate
69.5%
Resolved
1,813
Trades
15,297
lifetime
Volume
$263.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$552
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-28 23:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
89% 54% -$4,482
Tech
7% 69% +$148
Politics
3% 47% -$41
Sports
1% 58% +$189
Crypto
0% 43% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +277 $136 40¢ $111 -$25 10-28 22:02
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -595 -$145 16¢ $-97 +$47 05-25 19:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +149 $71 63¢ $94 +$23 10-28 01:40
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +401 $72 17¢ $68 -$4 10-28 23:56
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +58 $40 80¢ $47 +$7 09-28 20:08
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Bilibili Gaming +33 $25 76¢ $25 $0 10-27 10:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$1 09-16 18:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +47 $20 39¢ $18 -$2 10-11 19:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +36 $15 38¢ $14 -$1 09-12 12:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +72 $15 18¢ $13 -$2 09-23 18:48
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +107 $16 11¢ $11 -$4 10-01 21:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 09-16 20:58
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -100 -$54 10¢ $-10 +$45 05-23 06:13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $10 29¢ $8 -$2 10-06 21:25
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +17 $5 26¢ $5 $0 10-28 10:08
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +0 -$57 98¢ $0 +$57 06-06 13:01