Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.9%

Resolved

255

Trades

1,964

lifetime

Volume

$22.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 10-19 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

46% 11% -$668

Politics

42% 6% -$448

Sports

6% 9% -$17

Crypto

4% 50% -$14

Tech

2% 0% -$34

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 602 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	6	$185	150	150	+0	open	—	09-30 12:29
Will Benedita da Silva win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	7	$167	146	146	+0	No	$0	09-29 22:16
Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?	4	$156	100	100	+0	No	-$5	09-30 12:46
Will Chris Thomas be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	7	$153	116	116	+0	Yes	-$10	09-30 13:05
Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?	4	$144	100	100	+0	open	—	09-30 16:31
Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	8	$133	100	100	+0	open	—	09-28 18:44
Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?	10	$132	93	93	+0	No	-$13	09-30 14:38
Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	4	$131	100	100	+0	Yes	-$11	09-30 14:58
Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	4	$130	100	100	+0	No	-$8	09-30 14:51
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	4	$127	80	80	+0	No	-$3	09-30 14:53
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	3	$125	98	98	+0	No	+$1	09-25 15:30
Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	4	$122	100	100	+0	No	-$13	09-30 17:45
Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	13	$120	136	86	+50	Yes	-$21	09-28 00:37
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	4	$119	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	09-22 18:23
Will Bernard Drainville win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election?	7	$118	90	90	+0	No	+$1	09-29 11:23
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election?	7	$117	104	104	+0	open	—	09-30 17:41
Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	4	$116	100	100	+0	open	—	09-30 15:48
Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	6	$112	90	90	+0	No	-$4	10-01 01:10
Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	4	$105	90	90	+0	No	-$3	09-30 21:19
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	10	$105	81	81	+0	open	—	09-29 20:35
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	2	$100	100	100	+0	No	+$0	09-27 18:01
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	6	$99	65	65	+0	open	—	09-25 15:52
Will Mendonça Filho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	4	$97	70	70	+0	No	+$0	09-29 22:27
Will Randy Legault-Rankin win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?	4	$96	61	61	+0	No	-$1	09-30 12:46
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	5	$92	62	62	+0	open	—	09-30 12:54
Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?	4	$92	100	100	+0	No	-$12	09-30 16:46
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	5	$91	76	76	+0	open	—	09-30 12:14
Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	6	$88	71	71	+0	Yes	-$6	09-30 19:36
Will Milena Quiroga Romero win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?	5	$86	70	70	+0	open	—	09-29 02:53
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	4	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	10-01 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 10:08:51	Will Brandon Aubrey finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x8d869e…
10-17 13:39:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x1715fd…
10-17 13:39:15	Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x4ed989…
10-17 13:38:38	Will Willem II be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x162148…
10-17 13:38:26	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	SELL	27	6¢	$2	0x8ce9a5…
10-17 13:37:54	Will Jakobi Meyers have 299.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf9ea6a…
10-17 13:37:11	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	34	19¢	$6	0x8ffd01…
10-17 13:08:33	Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x7fd1ea…
10-17 13:08:09	Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3dd89f…
10-17 13:07:42	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 80%-85%?	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0x963c0e…
10-17 13:07:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x5432b1…
10-17 13:07:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x72703b…
10-11 05:51:14	Will JEF United Chiba be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xdcaa84…
10-08 23:42:45	Will Wyatt Johnston record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xd14f54…
10-08 23:42:03	Will Wyatt Johnston record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x7a0ec4…
10-06 00:45:34	Will Bijan Robinson have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x4775bc…
10-03 10:05:06	Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x61d90f…
10-02 22:10:41	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x9bce6b…
10-02 22:10:41	Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x30d30a…
10-02 19:10:29	Will Bo Nix have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x72d06f…
10-02 19:09:47	Will Bo Nix have 3,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x35e226…
10-02 14:08:39	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	No	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x51ef51…
10-02 13:29:48	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	No	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xdf02ef…
10-02 12:30:54	Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0xa23cd4…
10-02 10:53:20	Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?	No	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0xe3b943…
10-02 01:03:42	Will Kyle Pitts have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x842054…
10-01 23:15:57	Will Courtland Sutton have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x8a170f…
10-01 18:42:14	Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday?	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x719f53…
10-01 18:37:02	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x69a883…
10-01 17:04:41	Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xe587e2…
10-01 16:11:11	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?	No	SELL	45	40¢	$18	0x01608b…
10-01 15:32:32	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?	No	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x7afe75…
10-01 15:28:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xf72dc8…
10-01 13:17:45	Will Kyren Williams have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x7c9f65…
10-01 13:16:00	Will Kyren Williams have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xd20220…
10-01 12:36:50	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x65c687…
10-01 12:06:21	Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?	No	SELL	37	63¢	$23	0xbb9b50…
10-01 11:03:27	Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x82b183…
10-01 11:00:09	Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x105ad6…
10-01 10:48:12	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xca8241…
10-01 08:22:45	Will Amon-Ra St. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x01d5c1…
10-01 06:44:06	Will Drew Dilkens win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?	No	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0xe47393…
10-01 06:42:27	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	No	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x522d65…
10-01 06:25:56	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x388a4c…
10-01 06:08:24	Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x98ea9f…
10-01 04:48:18	Will Renan Filho win the 2026 Alagoas gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xeaba77…
10-01 04:23:29	Will Brock Bowers have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x2f0620…
10-01 04:22:32	Will Joe Burrow have 3,749.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe5d334…
10-01 03:21:21	Will Mark Jessop win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x01f5e8…
10-01 02:53:09	Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x5b45f5…
10-01 02:36:35	Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x804321…
10-01 02:24:47	Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x847b53…
10-01 01:55:23	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x2cd3d0…
10-01 01:10:23	Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6eb691…
10-01 00:56:30	Will Puka Nacua finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x4f0270…
10-01 00:43:20	Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x4a9b68…
10-01 00:18:08	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xa74df3…
09-30 23:41:02	Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?	No	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x3611e1…
09-30 23:12:50	Will D'Andre Swift have 599.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0xb06aa4…
09-30 23:11:08	Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	47¢	$23	0xacbed1…
09-30 23:10:29	Will Bijan Robinson finish as a top-5 FLEX in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x7e6d9b…
09-30 21:35:21	Will Jake Bates finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x66c4e0…
09-30 21:30:38	Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xfcee70…
09-30 21:22:09	Will Tyler Bass finish as a top-12 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x381233…
09-30 21:21:47	will gleans valuation hit low 6pt5b by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x7defac…
09-30 21:20:26	Will FC Vaduz be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xc26e30…
09-30 21:19:48	Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0x9e5532…
09-30 21:07:15	Will Jordan Love have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x8a938a…
09-30 21:02:54	will the columbus blue jackets record 100 points	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x86e000…
09-30 21:01:06	will krakens valuation hit low 9pt5b by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe48f59…
09-30 20:57:38	Will Steelers D/ST finish as a top-5 D/ST in the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x717d41…
09-30 20:55:26	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x2cafb8…
09-30 20:53:59	Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xbbf6a4…
09-30 20:52:45	Will Ladd McConkey have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xdb6adc…
09-30 20:43:26	Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x59c1fe…
09-30 20:03:29	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x7063ff…
09-30 19:55:06	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x83b065…
09-30 19:45:53	Will PCQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x029f14…
09-30 19:36:06	Will Gracinha Caiado win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x9fa571…
09-30 19:19:32	Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0xb4c764…
09-30 18:36:00	measles cases in uptspt by october 31 20260928t160000000z will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the uptspt by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xaab54d…
09-30 18:25:39	Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x358708…
09-30 18:25:15	Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xeebda4…
09-30 18:17:02	Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x97f007…
09-30 18:15:56	Will Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$33	0xb65472…
09-30 18:15:54	Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x8f91bd…
09-30 18:11:15	Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?	No	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x3950da…
09-30 18:10:27	Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xe148ff…
09-30 18:08:06	Will Michelle Dracoulis win the next Derwent Valley mayoral election?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x5f630d…
09-30 18:06:23	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	203	3¢	$6	0xcab2d3…
09-30 18:03:45	Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x1d24c0…
09-30 18:03:15	Will Gustavo Gayer win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x3dc064…
09-30 17:58:48	Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	107	3¢	$3	0xfcd5a4…
09-30 17:58:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x161d36…
09-30 17:57:21	Will the Cleveland Browns have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xbfc9ab…
09-30 17:57:21	Will the Cleveland Browns have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x02ed6b…
09-30 17:54:17	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	421	1¢	$4	0xf83a29…
09-30 17:52:54	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x595af9…
09-30 17:49:50	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	2¢	$1	0x9f0a06…
09-30 17:46:23	Will the Minnesota Vikings be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x42e154…