Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$145

Unrealized P&L

+$55

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$2.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$321

1 position

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-15 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% -$29

Crypto

35% 43% -$159

Other

7% 100% +$43

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+2,286	$266	14¢	$321	+$55	10-15 19:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	21	$530	3,236	950	+2,286	open	—	10-15 19:23
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$400	205	205	+0	open	—	10-15 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$156	113	113	+0	Down	+$26	10-08 11:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$130	333	333	+0	open	—	10-08 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	21	$115	82	82	+0	Down	+$31	10-08 12:02
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	4	$88	61	61	+0	Yes	+$28	10-06 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	24	$88	124	0	+124	Up	-$88	10-08 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	17	$88	118	13	+106	Up	-$66	10-08 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	15	$79	84	73	+11	Down	+$14	10-08 13:44
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	2	$47	93	0	+93	open	—	10-07 05:42
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	10-13 18:22
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$38	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	10-08 00:45
Will Messi score 4+ goals vs. Benin?	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	10-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	7	$23	26	0	+26	Down	+$3	10-08 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	10-08 13:33
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	3	$19	20	40	-20	Yes	-$17	10-11 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	10-08 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$16	36	23	+13	Down	-$2	10-08 11:33
Will Messi score 3+ goals vs. Benin?	1	$15	23	0	+23	No	+$8	10-06 21:09
Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	2	$14	30	30	+0	Yes	-$10	10-11 16:18
Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12?	1	$14	17	0	+17	Yes	+$3	10-12 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$13	35	0	+35	Up	-$13	10-08 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	7	$11	23	0	+23	Down	-$11	10-08 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	5	$11	43	6	+37	Up	-$5	10-08 11:38
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	10-07 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$10	57	0	+57	Down	-$10	10-08 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	7	$9	33	0	+33	Down	-$9	10-08 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$8	42	0	+42	Down	-$8	10-08 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$7	22	0	+22	Down	-$7	10-08 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$7	31	0	+31	Up	-$7	10-09 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 19:23:26	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$121	0x8c1fe1…
10-15 19:22:23	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$202	0xcd80e6…
10-13 18:23:07	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0x4364c8…
10-13 18:22:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x7d36b4…
10-13 18:22:18	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9a1302…
10-13 18:18:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb2ab9c…
10-13 18:18:03	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb85d20…
10-13 18:17:52	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf81522…
10-13 18:17:46	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	91	12¢	$11	0x296464…
10-12 17:45:11	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x605249…
10-12 11:38:42	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	76	97¢	$73	0xc17220…
10-11 19:52:00	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	620	14¢	$87	0xf9d860…
10-11 17:06:19	Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xee3730…
10-11 16:18:54	Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc2e5c8…
10-11 16:18:45	Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa81ce4…
10-11 16:18:27	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xc3383b…
10-11 16:17:07	Will Olivier Faure finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	No	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xc6cf26…
10-11 16:11:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	280	14¢	$38	0xfd3dbf…
10-11 15:37:00	Will Ségolène Royal finish second in the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xf7d23b…
10-11 15:35:46	Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5ccab8…
10-09 09:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdb8923…
10-09 09:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5ef415…
10-09 09:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd40f0d…
10-09 09:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8d2776…
10-09 09:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x31fdc3…
10-09 09:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc6e74f…
10-09 09:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x36a6b1…
10-09 09:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0766cf…
10-09 09:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x609057…
10-09 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x416285…
10-09 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xba08a4…
10-09 09:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb48ed…
10-09 09:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40131a…
10-08 22:11:05	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$77	0xcb8ca0…
10-08 22:10:21	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	333	21¢	$70	0xd8fb8f…
10-08 13:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xef9ee5…
10-08 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x08ceeb…
10-08 13:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xae3066…
10-08 13:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x69d448…
10-08 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x605001…
10-08 13:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	73	59¢	$43	0x09dc5f…
10-08 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9dc999…
10-08 13:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb9716e…
10-08 13:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7d1536…
10-08 13:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x737c3b…
10-08 13:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa6d8dc…
10-08 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3d907d…
10-08 13:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc53801…
10-08 13:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x138599…
10-08 13:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa5eb3d…
10-08 13:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07a40b…
10-08 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf0d263…
10-08 13:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3e1178…
10-08 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x01296f…
10-08 13:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2fe84…
10-08 13:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2d6257…
10-08 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc69d48…
10-08 13:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8ffbf7…
10-08 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb1f889…
10-08 13:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x366238…
10-08 13:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xca1142…
10-08 13:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xab991a…
10-08 13:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1725f0…
10-08 13:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x821e87…
10-08 13:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdf2c85…
10-08 13:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf8a692…
10-08 13:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc83e3c…
10-08 13:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x480582…
10-08 12:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x246a5d…
10-08 12:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xea470a…
10-08 12:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x64a510…
10-08 12:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbaf25c…
10-08 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xd9e24d…
10-08 12:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x39801a…
10-08 12:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7e41dc…
10-08 12:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xafa05d…
10-08 12:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa30d32…
10-08 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x662721…
10-08 12:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xd1f3a0…
10-08 12:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x207baa…
10-08 12:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8bf99c…
10-08 12:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x83e96a…
10-08 12:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf678f9…
10-08 12:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x466f8a…
10-08 12:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6596d9…
10-08 12:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf04d7e…
10-08 12:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe986d0…
10-08 12:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x12770c…
10-08 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7f4755…
10-08 12:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0f3e29…
10-08 12:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9132f9…
10-08 12:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbc9986…
10-08 12:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2ebc23…
10-08 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x176f8d…
10-08 12:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x49635f…
10-08 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8fcbd9…
10-08 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1b6a7f…
10-08 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba8099…
10-08 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3995ec…
10-08 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa2312f…