Critical-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$543

Unrealized P&L

-$108

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

231

Trades

367

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$505

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-28 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

80% 50% +$731

Sports

11% 46% +$17

Crypto

4% 33% -$239

Politics

3% 38% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,338	$350	14¢	$316	-$34	09-02 17:07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-154	-$55	82¢	$-127	-$72	06-18 21:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$30	66¢	$33	+$3	10-24 15:13
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	18¢	$12	+$2	08-04 21:53
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+77	$10	14¢	$10	+$0	08-04 21:53
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+60	$15	14¢	$8	-$7	09-02 23:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	2	$443	522	522	+0	No	+$203	05-06 20:38
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$351	256	252	+5	Yes	+$156	04-14 21:44
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	2	$350	2,338	0	+2,338	open	—	09-02 17:07
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?	2	$333	203	203	+0	Yes	+$73	05-22 21:07
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$293	196	193	+3	Yes	+$96	04-12 20:10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?	2	$266	167	167	+0	Yes	+$67	05-20 21:00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$235	569	0	+569	No	-$235	05-30 14:26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$234	506	506	+0	No	+$58	07-10 00:07
will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	1	$200	244	0	+244	Yes	-$200	03-25 18:25
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$150	397	0	+397	No	-$150	07-14 17:38
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$143	94	93	+1	Yes	+$44	04-19 17:38
cde lyo rcl 2026 03 05 btts	2	$132	82	82	+0	Yes	+$32	03-05 22:57
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 halftime result draw	2	$130	81	80	+1	Yes	+$31	04-15 20:11
fl1 rcl tou 2026 04 17 btts	2	$123	94	93	+1	Yes	+$24	04-17 20:06
ucl spo1 psg1 2026 01 20 psg1	1	$117	209	0	+209	No	-$117	01-20 15:37
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?	2	$110	90	90	+0	No	+$30	06-17 15:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$110	128	128	+0	No	-$30	06-01 23:00
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	2	$108	74	74	+0	No	+$8	08-08 18:14
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	3	$106	183	183	+0	open	—	07-27 18:17
uel not por1 2026 04 16 not	2	$104	75	74	+1	Yes	+$45	04-16 21:28
will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	2	$101	73	73	+0	No	+$19	08-08 18:14
fif egy esp 2026 03 30 total 2pt5	1	$100	145	0	+145	Under	-$100	03-30 14:17
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$100	163	0	+163	Yes	+$63	07-09 18:37
fl1 ogc psg 2026 03 21 psg	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	03-21 17:49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$99	568	568	+0	No	-$21	07-04 18:48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$97	77	77	+0	Yes	+$57	05-24 17:01
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$96	348	348	+0	Yes	-$4	07-03 14:29
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	2	$95	63	63	+0	Yes	+$31	08-24 21:02
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	2	$92	91	91	+0	No	-$8	07-05 21:17
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$89	59	59	+0	Yes	+$29	09-08 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:59:47	Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc77a95…
10-27 23:24:23	Will David Lisnard receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xc6a7ab…
10-26 21:15:08	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x61af96…
10-26 18:18:21	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2722e9…
10-26 18:15:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xa9ef53…
10-26 18:08:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xa1a726…
10-26 15:56:50	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5dadf7…
10-24 15:13:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x540914…
10-22 22:11:05	Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x170d58…
10-22 16:46:44	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xd5e3d5…
10-21 20:34:24	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	9¢	$5	0x997d15…
10-20 20:36:59	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	60	68¢	$41	0x08ab52…
10-20 03:26:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x0d5990…
10-19 15:45:15	Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	87	23¢	$20	0xc82c93…
10-17 14:30:48	will bitcoin dip to 77pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x593c7b…
10-13 18:58:15	Manchester United FC to score first vs. Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2a7efa…
10-13 18:55:39	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	17	21¢	$3	0x6d92d7…
10-12 18:07:03	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa30daa…
10-11 20:43:18	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xefcad7…
10-11 18:08:54	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xc2815c…
10-08 16:34:26	Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xef25a3…
10-08 08:47:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x2f63c7…
10-07 18:06:16	Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xaa0700…
10-07 17:55:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x09e919…
10-07 17:53:30	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6510ab…
10-07 17:49:19	Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xadfada…
10-07 17:46:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xddbbcd…
10-07 17:46:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4d2efe…
10-06 15:53:42	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xad7d46…
10-05 22:19:50	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xd37f23…
10-05 22:19:34	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0xbe62ac…
10-05 20:37:02	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x7bde9b…
10-05 20:36:55	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$17	0xfe406f…
10-02 18:25:32	France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	72	43¢	$31	0x7e8eb1…
10-02 17:38:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd522f0…
09-30 18:48:12	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xaad904…
09-29 22:28:56	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0x48de0c…
09-28 22:30:53	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xd77b80…
09-28 19:03:53	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xcdf23e…
09-27 23:25:51	trump renames ai by december 31	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xcb1370…
09-27 11:42:48	will manchester city be deducted premier league points by june 30 2027	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0494ce…
09-27 11:40:54	Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc12fb6…
09-26 20:32:44	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	43	84¢	$36	0xb5d8df…
09-26 17:55:44	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x71c5c4…
09-26 15:50:18	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	SELL	35	97¢	$35	0xb8f4e3…
09-26 00:02:57	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc61dd8…
09-26 00:00:47	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x40e511…
09-25 23:57:50	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0x4301ea…
09-25 20:02:48	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x6eb6bc…
09-25 17:47:42	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	37	30¢	$11	0x71d83a…
09-23 08:42:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x447efd…
09-23 08:39:46	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x70885a…
09-23 08:35:23	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0xd03951…
09-18 19:25:15	AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x61ec5d…
09-18 16:51:30	AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc8c57d…
09-18 16:50:21	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf6dac6…
09-18 16:49:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?	No	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x939b51…
09-18 16:45:43	Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xeac21a…
09-15 20:09:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	6¢	$8	0xc86643…
09-13 13:40:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3eb98b…
09-09 15:01:04	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x7cb2ea…
09-09 14:57:45	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	87	37¢	$32	0x0a2528…
09-08 20:59:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7dd04f…
09-08 19:50:37	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7e96f1…
09-02 23:30:58	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x569e3c…
09-02 23:13:24	Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xb5afd9…
09-02 17:07:55	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,267	15¢	$340	0x456fd4…
08-31 14:56:18	Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xd5e922…
08-27 22:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	43	67¢	$29	0x613d3c…
08-25 22:17:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3235b3…
08-25 22:15:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x69973d…
08-25 21:34:24	Will Nvidia say "Cosmos" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	52	66¢	$34	0x3149da…
08-24 23:28:25	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0xca8835…
08-24 23:25:24	Will Nvidia say "Cosmos" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	52	60¢	$31	0x314e38…
08-24 21:02:27	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x837464…
08-24 17:05:39	Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xb47c44…
08-24 17:05:34	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xb06ca4…
08-24 17:05:18	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xf6a4c9…
08-24 17:01:52	Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x120067…
08-24 16:53:31	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	63	51¢	$32	0x45be5f…
08-24 16:51:10	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	56	15¢	$8	0x8db6e3…
08-23 15:27:49	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x46a465…
08-22 11:26:13	epl hul mun 2026 08 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x5508e7…
08-22 11:25:00	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x06c217…
08-14 23:27:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?	Yes	BUY	75	57¢	$43	0x22eb1d…
08-14 18:01:34	Will FC Nantes win on 2026-08-14?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe95665…
08-13 18:20:36	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x9e9a53…
08-12 23:21:00	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	No	SELL	46	79¢	$36	0x239695…
08-09 20:46:25	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0xc59a7e…
08-09 17:56:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xdee8b1…
08-09 17:47:34	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0xdb2939…
08-09 17:43:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x92a99e…
08-08 18:14:54	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	SELL	74	79¢	$58	0x053a84…
08-08 18:14:43	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	No	SELL	73	82¢	$60	0xa41460…
08-08 15:43:09	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xfa0425…
08-08 15:38:31	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x98474b…
08-04 21:56:36	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x741097…
08-04 21:56:06	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	No	BUY	73	56¢	$41	0x57134b…
08-04 21:53:32	Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x937d35…
08-04 21:53:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8d4536…