Realized P&L
-$863
Unrealized P&L
-$29
Hit rate
54.1%
Resolved
760
Trades
2,575
lifetime
Volume
$7.01K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$182
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 11-10 13:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
83% 33% -$873
Politics
16% 26% +$27
Tech
1% 71% +$9
Sports
1% 19% -$20
Crypto
0% 33% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 10? No +48 $22 100¢ $48 +$26 11-10 13:24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -227 -$10 13¢ $-30 -$20 10-20 20:53
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête? Knafo +231 $36 9¢ $20 -$16 11-10 13:23
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +227 $14 7¢ $15 +$1 11-10 13:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 10? Yes +10 $4 100¢ $10 +$6 11-10 13:27
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +81 $10 10¢ $8 -$2 11-04 05:17
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $9 12¢ $7 -$2 11-07 16:53
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +68 $15 10¢ $6 -$9 10-28 10:38
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $7 75¢ $4 -$3 11-10 12:47
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $3 14¢ $4 +$0 11-07 16:49
French election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +92 $6 3¢ $3 -$4 10-17 03:15
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $0 11-05 14:30
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $3 11¢ $2 -$1 11-05 14:26
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +19 $0 11¢ $2 +$2 11-10 12:29
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +132 $3 2¢ $2 -$1 11-07 16:55
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $2 10¢ $2 +$0 11-10 06:40
Will Christine Lagarde win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +68 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 11-05 14:33
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 -$1 32¢ $2 +$2 11-10 13:17
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +10 $4 15¢ $2 -$3 10-28 10:36
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No — +5 -$6 28¢ $1 +$7 11-10 13:17
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $6 4¢ $1 -$5 10-24 12:40
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +75 -$1 2¢ $1 +$2 11-10 12:30
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-28 18:34
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +8 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 08-06 20:35
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +2 $0 58¢ $1 +$1 11-10 13:16
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? No +1 $0 85¢ $1 +$1 11-08 09:20
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +24 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-29 05:51
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027? Yes +20 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-21 21:20
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? No +10 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-22 20:06
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +322 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 10-25 19:24