Realized P&L
-$206
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
177
lifetime
Volume
$5.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$718
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 07-07 00:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
53% 0% $-138
Politics
21%
Sports
13% 0% $-31
Crypto
8% 0% $-36
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -94 $-74 100¢ $-94 $-20 06-12 09:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +117 $47 64¢ $76 +$29 06-05 23:49
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +68 $65 96¢ $65 +$0 07-03 07:48
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +69 $61 94¢ $64 +$3 06-13 23:23
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +54 $51 97¢ $52 +$2 07-01 11:49
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +53 $50 96¢ $51 +$1 07-01 13:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$0 07-01 11:49
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +44 $40 93¢ $41 +$1 06-18 10:08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +34 $30 94¢ $32 +$1 07-01 21:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +32 $28 90¢ $28 +$0 07-03 23:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +28 $25 92¢ $26 +$0 07-04 04:18
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +84 $26 30¢ $25 $-1 06-11 23:23
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +31 $25 64¢ $20 $-5 07-03 11:49
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 92¢ $17 +$2 05-28 11:39
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +19 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 05-28 08:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 90¢ $16 +$1 05-28 14:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -15 $-14 98¢ $-15 $-0 06-10 22:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-14 97¢ $-14 $-0 06-12 22:22
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $-0 07-04 00:47
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 07-02 08:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$1 07-02 08:06
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$1 06-07 12:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $70 22¢ $0 $-70 06-26 10:11