Realized P&L
-$206
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
11
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$2.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$496
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-15 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
37% 0% $-138
Politics
25%
Sports
18% 0% $-31
Crypto
15% 0% $-36
Tech
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -94 $-74 82¢ $-77 $-2 06-12 09:53
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +146 $73 50¢ $74 +$1 06-11 03:50
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +69 $61 90¢ $62 +$1 06-13 23:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +74 $61 80¢ $59 $-3 06-11 19:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +117 $47 42¢ $50 +$3 06-05 23:49
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +45 $41 94¢ $43 +$2 06-10 04:43
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +84 $26 29¢ $24 $-2 06-11 23:23
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 88¢ $16 +$1 05-28 11:39
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +19 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 05-28 08:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 06-05 13:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 05-28 14:39
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$1 05-28 07:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 06-10 22:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $-14 96¢ $-14 $-0 06-12 22:22
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-0 99¢ $1 +$1 06-15 13:06
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 05-30 12:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +0 $-0 95¢ $0 +$1 06-07 12:21