Realized P&L
-$52
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
45.8%
Resolved
1,215
Trades
3,744
lifetime
Volume
$5.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 11-07 11:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
69% 32% -$476
Sports
20% 52% +$250
Politics
5% 19% +$65
Crypto
5% 19% +$117
Tech
0% 14% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +6 $1 100¢ $6 +$5 05-27 13:00
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +53 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 05-25 21:54
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 05-27 02:05
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +27 $1 4¢ $1 $0 05-26 17:13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 06-01 07:14
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +175 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-26 21:47
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +19 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-27 16:34
Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +225 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-25 17:19
NATO dissolves before 2027? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-27 16:24
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +222 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-29 18:59
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +3 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 05-28 08:14
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 05-28 14:09
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +6 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-28 10:26
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-29 22:11
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +7 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-26 02:54
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-25 20:07
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +2 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-28 20:11
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-25 14:52
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +3 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-29 03:08
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +12 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-27 16:34
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +23 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-25 08:06