Realized P&L
-$295
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
617
Trades
10,410
lifetime
Volume
$460.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.30K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-23 11:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
66% 99% $-214
Crypto
27% 100% +$0
Politics
6% 89% +$44
Sports
1% 75% $-125
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +510 $473 89¢ $453 $-20 07-12 08:35
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +190 $155 86¢ $163 +$8 07-10 04:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +181 $146 86¢ $157 +$11 06-12 06:27
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 $-0 07-10 18:12
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +90 $86 96¢ $86 $-0 07-11 06:44
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +90 $84 94¢ $85 +$1 07-11 06:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +80 $74 92¢ $73 $-0 07-09 05:02
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +100 $66 66¢ $65 $-0 07-04 17:47
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +50 $48 95¢ $48 $-0 07-10 16:18
New pandemic in 2026? No -38 $-31 94¢ $-35 $-4 07-10 18:12
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-0 07-11 06:44
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 $-0 06-04 05:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 05-29 16:19