Crushing-Shortwave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-05 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

67% 62% +$6

Sports

18% 67% +$29

Politics

14% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	6	$417	590	1,277	-687	open	—	06-01 17:51
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	6	$183	246	41	+205	open	—	05-17 21:01
kbo han lot 2026 06 05	2	$174	111	111	+0	open	—	06-05 11:45
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	2	$143	125	125	+0	open	—	05-15 06:30
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	6	$126	218	218	+0	open	—	05-13 05:15
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	4	$121	89	89	+0	open	—	06-03 17:42
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	3	$104	63	63	+0	open	—	05-16 15:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	3	$83	55	55	+0	open	—	05-14 16:11
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$64	49	49	+0	Yes	+$14	05-06 19:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$59	428	428	+0	open	—	05-13 05:05
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	3	$58	39	39	+0	open	—	06-02 13:22
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	2	$55	36	36	+0	open	—	05-03 18:01
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	2	$50	31	31	+0	open	—	05-17 18:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$50	77	77	+0	open	—	05-07 18:59
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$50	35	35	+0	Yes	$-0	05-04 11:30
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	2	$41	38	38	+0	open	—	05-15 06:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	2	$41	40	40	+0	Down	$-9	05-04 11:02
Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	2	$41	111	212	-101	open	—	06-01 02:53
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	5	$33	35	35	+0	open	—	05-03 18:12
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	1	$25	45	0	+45	open	—	05-16 05:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 05:26
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 13:22
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	3	$24	35	35	+0	open	—	05-15 11:42
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$24	17	17	+0	open	—	05-13 20:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 13:33
bkcba sha3 zhe 2026 06 05	2	$22	42	42	+0	open	—	06-05 12:03
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	06-02 12:41
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$22	29	29	+0	open	—	06-03 17:42
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 13:06
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$21	183	183	+0	open	—	05-06 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 12:03:09	bkcba sha3 zhe 2026 06 05	Zhejiang Lions	SELL	42	30¢	$12	0x8fe824…
06-05 11:59:37	bkcba sha3 zhe 2026 06 05	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xee170c…
06-05 11:45:01	kbo han lot 2026 06 05	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	111	91¢	$101	0xe1a874…
06-05 05:26:49	kbo han lot 2026 06 05	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	111	65¢	$73	0x08fc16…
06-04 07:48:21	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	SELL	71	10¢	$7	0x46371f…
06-03 17:42:49	Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	89	66¢	$59	0xefb216…
06-03 17:42:21	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0xb62dbd…
06-03 17:41:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x0e5873…
06-02 13:22:45	Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$38	0x78dda8…
06-02 13:22:17	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	Zhejiang Lions	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x6ffb3e…
06-02 12:45:39	Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x25f149…
06-02 12:42:27	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x94d309…
06-02 12:41:41	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x5c136b…
06-02 05:22:52	Grok 4.4 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x26bfd5…
06-02 05:20:31	KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x57efd6…
06-02 05:20:18	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x025a2a…
06-02 05:11:54	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd5f243…
06-01 20:52:57	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc705d8…
06-01 20:45:33	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x35ae6f…
06-01 20:25:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of June 1 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x006cfb…
06-01 20:23:44	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x681fd2…
06-01 17:51:53	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x4a7041…
06-01 17:51:43	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	264	3¢	$9	0x88e794…
06-01 17:51:01	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	SELL	1,277	21¢	$270	0x61a0ac…
06-01 02:54:36	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x93785e…
06-01 02:53:49	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	BUY	126	23¢	$29	0x48ceff…
06-01 02:53:33	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	SELL	212	15¢	$31	0xafb81d…
06-01 02:52:09	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	BUY	87	22¢	$19	0x9f9c86…
05-30 20:00:22	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	BUY	232	24¢	$55	0xffe160…
05-30 05:14:08	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x83f3c9…
05-30 05:14:03	Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?	Yes	BUY	111	32¢	$35	0x4ed55b…
05-24 10:15:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x28eda7…
05-17 21:01:33	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	48	64¢	$31	0x230784…
05-17 20:58:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xadef1b…
05-17 20:35:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x162149…
05-17 19:51:47	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6da2da…
05-17 18:08:59	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1bba6e…
05-17 18:04:26	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0xb07e11…
05-17 14:05:26	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x524867…
05-17 09:09:43	Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group D	NAVI Junior	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xecb861…
05-17 07:52:24	Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group D	NAVI Junior	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0xfd46a1…
05-17 07:47:14	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x9df827…
05-17 07:42:34	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8de31f…
05-17 05:30:32	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears	Doosan Bears	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb201f6…
05-17 05:29:53	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x100a51…
05-16 15:47:34	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xf99fb9…
05-16 11:24:44	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x6f5401…
05-16 11:24:27	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x34835e…
05-16 05:39:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x12a69b…
05-16 05:39:23	Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x590ff8…
05-16 05:36:31	KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x73870e…
05-15 13:06:05	KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0x01b2b7…
05-15 11:42:54	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x0e4214…
05-15 11:42:52	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	SELL	35	13¢	$4	0xbcef4b…
05-15 06:36:42	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0xede83a…
05-15 06:32:00	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1f2069…
05-15 06:31:41	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0x5853eb…
05-15 06:31:38	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0x0c4ecb…
05-15 06:30:50	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	SELL	125	55¢	$69	0x9a044b…
05-15 05:38:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	125	59¢	$74	0xd92b84…
05-15 05:26:04	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x67a8ec…
05-14 19:19:06	KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers	LG Twins	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x745eed…
05-14 19:18:45	KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0990a6…
05-14 19:18:31	AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Grand Rapids Griffins	Grand Rapids Griffins	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x8ce9f9…
05-14 19:18:17	Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings	Dallas Wings	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x962024…
05-14 19:18:03	Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x839df2…
05-14 16:11:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0xd2901f…
05-14 13:36:10	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4127a4…
05-14 13:33:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x360246…
05-14 13:32:48	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb3c551…
05-14 05:37:27	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6e5ded…
05-14 05:22:50	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xca8b6a…
05-14 05:16:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xf43d19…
05-14 05:15:45	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd83469…
05-13 20:14:28	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x5105f2…
05-13 11:44:23	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Hanwha Eagles	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x33f9b6…
05-13 05:26:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcd2f75…
05-13 05:18:30	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2f5acb…
05-13 05:18:21	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x53a911…
05-13 05:15:58	Goyang vs. KCC Egis	KCC Egis	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x767cc7…
05-13 05:15:49	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x56ea64…
05-13 05:15:44	KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wiz	KT Wiz	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xaa7662…
05-13 05:15:00	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xc48a1b…
05-13 05:05:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	209	3¢	$6	0xcb7673…
05-11 20:36:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x6b4e8c…
05-11 17:41:38	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Punjab Kings	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x7d3fa7…
05-11 10:56:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xe152aa…
05-11 10:55:57	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	Punjab Kings	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcf1a0b…
05-11 03:51:37	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x72826f…
05-11 03:51:16	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	55	25¢	$14	0xcb02f6…
05-10 16:13:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xce1acf…
05-10 16:10:20	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x9c8ab3…
05-10 08:08:21	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa63211…
05-10 08:08:16	Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions	Zhejiang Lions	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xffe318…
05-10 04:24:35	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x66ea7d…
05-10 04:22:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	219	8¢	$18	0x65925e…
05-10 01:35:16	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3ca82b…
05-10 01:34:06	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfca856…
05-09 19:31:16	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xb70f84…
05-08 14:49:39	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	163	15¢	$24	0xa039a9…