Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
open
Total volume
$1,247
$7,500 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$27,110
Latest YES mid
59¢
Latest NO mid
41¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 19:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $240 | — | +$240 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $120 | $518 | $398 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $21 | $300 | $279 |
| Median | 7 | $74 | $1 | +$73 |
| Below median | 9 | $10 | $44 | $34 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $159 | $159 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $240 | — | +$240 |
| unranked | 5 | $15 | $15 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focused-Jeans 0xc6c5…6f9c | No | +671 | $300 | $300 | 2 | 05-14 08:29 |
| Profuse-Swine-Design 0x97cb…c910 | No | +445 | $159 | $159 | 3 | 05-14 17:44 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | +235 | $107 | $373 | 5 | 05-14 18:46 |
| Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | +107 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 05-14 09:54 |
| Unsteady-Attack 0x124f…0dea | No | +75 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 19:11 |
| Wiggly-Poverty 0xf027…3f04 | No | +26 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-14 09:34 |
| Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | Yes | +24 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Tragic-Member 0x738a…5996 | Yes | +23 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Well-Off-Anise 0x7bab…8322 | Yes | +23 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 04:55 |
| Careless-Cattle 0xb936…db30 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 18:09 |
| Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671 | No | +17 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Museum 0x9140…c041 | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:06 |
| Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 03:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 13:38 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:12 |
| Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 08:29 |
| Dearest-Detainee 0xcfaa…ce61 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Diligent-Aside 0x1ab4…20e3 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Salty-Way 0x4cf2…88ca | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:10 |
| Yawning-Neonate 0x4e13…b20b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd466…17dd | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 19:11:42 | Unsteady-Attack 0x124f…0dea | No | BUY | 75 | 41¢ | $30 | 0x9ff4ee… |
| 05-14 18:46:54 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x5444f2… |
| 05-14 18:46:54 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 59¢ | $67 | 0xb1af4d… |
| 05-14 18:46:51 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0xa7a65c… |
| 05-14 18:09:32 | Careless-Cattle 0xb936…db30 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0x47a61f… |
| 05-14 17:44:22 | Profuse-Swine-Design 0x97cb…c910 | No | BUY | 51 | 47¢ | $24 | 0x32a138… |
| 05-14 17:19:42 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xcb6636… |
| 05-14 16:44:38 | Second-Hand-Overweight 0x771a…6be6 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 52¢ | $26 | 0x896269… |
| 05-14 16:06:40 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Museum 0x9140…c041 | No | BUY | 11 | 44¢ | $5 | 0x3efae1… |
| 05-14 13:38:09 | (anonymous) 0x874b…4af0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xee44a0… |
| 05-14 13:12:34 | Far-Flung-Laundry 0x096a…8519 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd52fc0… |
| 05-14 13:10:56 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 56¢ | $34 | 0x58dc1b… |
| 05-14 13:10:51 | Dearest-Detainee 0xcfaa…ce61 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x58eeaa… |
| 05-14 13:10:51 | Diligent-Aside 0x1ab4…20e3 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc47e5e… |
| 05-14 13:10:51 | Salty-Way 0x4cf2…88ca | No | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa4c797… |
| 05-14 13:10:49 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | SELL | 68 | 48¢ | $33 | 0xeffcaa… |
| 05-14 13:10:49 | Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671 | No | BUY | 17 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xa317b7… |
| 05-14 13:10:49 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | Yes | BUY | 396 | 52¢ | $206 | 0xa521d1… |
| 05-14 09:54:10 | Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 52¢ | $52 | 0x657f1e… |
| 05-14 09:34:10 | Wiggly-Poverty 0xf027…3f04 | No | BUY | 6 | 60¢ | $4 | 0xcf804c… |
| 05-14 09:34:05 | Wiggly-Poverty 0xf027…3f04 | No | BUY | 15 | 60¢ | $9 | 0x88c9f0… |
| 05-14 08:29:13 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x28851a… |
| 05-14 08:29:11 | Focused-Jeans 0xc6c5…6f9c | No | BUY | 221 | 45¢ | $100 | 0x9fed29… |
| 05-14 08:29:07 | Focused-Jeans 0xc6c5…6f9c | No | BUY | 449 | 45¢ | $200 | 0xc8011a… |
| 05-14 08:29:07 | Large-Ecology 0x4282…3455 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xfaa371… |
| 05-14 05:30:51 | Satisfied-Effacement 0xf41c…ba2f | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0xe5d555… |
| 05-14 05:16:34 | Tragic-Member 0x738a…5996 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 66¢ | $15 | 0x185f23… |
| 05-14 05:16:34 | (anonymous) 0xd466…17dd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x8207d6… |
| 05-14 04:55:15 | Well-Off-Anise 0x7bab…8322 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x5abe13… |
| 05-14 04:55:02 | Well-Off-Anise 0x7bab…8322 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x9982c2… |
| 05-14 04:00:21 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x60832f… |
| 05-14 03:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x6eb5…8353 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x416285… |
| 05-14 03:00:16 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x3004ed… |
| 05-14 02:00:25 | Strident-Export 0x35e3…9188 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 62¢ | $6 | 0xf1a7cb… |
| 05-14 00:16:21 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x1d4069… |
| 05-14 00:12:00 | Wiggly-Poverty 0xf027…3f04 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x87cef3… |
| 05-14 00:12:00 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x84746c… |
| 05-13 22:28:33 | Limp-Drawer 0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x45ab7c… |
| 05-13 21:25:44 | Yawning-Neonate 0x4e13…b20b | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xf8254b… |
| 05-13 21:19:13 | Pink-Shoelace 0x1f6b…e0c0 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 54¢ | $108 | 0xa549f8… |
| 05-13 21:07:58 | Practical-Mobile-Lumber 0xd021…6f4e | No | SELL | 4 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x21640d… |
| 05-13 20:32:35 | Profuse-Swine-Design 0x97cb…c910 | No | BUY | 300 | 35¢ | $105 | 0xb7226c… |
| 05-13 20:18:12 | Profuse-Swine-Design 0x97cb…c910 | No | BUY | 94 | 32¢ | $30 | 0xd98c69… |
| 05-13 20:09:01 | Yellow-Dirndl 0x8b42…405a | No | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0xb493ed… |
| 05-13 15:08:29 | Shameful-Chauvinist 0xa3a6…3d43 | No | SELL | 35 | 28¢ | $10 | 0x998cd0… |
| 05-13 13:38:09 | Mushy-Bandanna 0x73c8…6754 | No | SELL | 107 | 20¢ | $21 | 0x4c408b… |