Realized P&L
+$2.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.74K
Hit rate
98.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
8,177
lifetime
Volume
$538.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$11.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-30 18:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
81% 75% +$2,477
Crypto
9% 0% $-1
Other
8% 100% +$2
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 510 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +4,870 $4,801 100¢ $4.9K +$64 06-29 23:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +2,149 $938 100¢ $2.1K +$1,206 06-23 09:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +896 $663 100¢ $892 +$230 06-15 04:44
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +924 $776 86¢ $799 +$23 06-30 20:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -763 $-757 86¢ $-653 +$105 06-17 06:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +944 $418 44¢ $416 $-2 06-13 20:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +407 $314 100¢ $406 +$92 06-15 18:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +292 $275 100¢ $292 +$17 06-04 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,587 $202 15¢ $230 +$28 06-21 16:34
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +223 $205 100¢ $223 +$18 06-20 16:00
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? Yes +200 $190 99¢ $199 +$9 06-17 19:47
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +149 $86 93¢ $139 +$53 06-30 23:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,543 $733 $113 $-620 06-30 16:56
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 93¢ $113 +$2 06-08 01:59
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +341 $68 26¢ $90 +$22 06-28 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $57 70¢ $70 +$14 06-12 18:59
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -74 $-70 95¢ $-70 +$0 06-17 13:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +55 $41 74¢ $40 $-1 06-16 16:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +377 $59 11¢ $40 $-19 06-22 16:52
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +38 $38 98¢ $37 $-1 06-12 13:52
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +159 $35 20¢ $33 $-2 06-16 18:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $77 30¢ $30 $-47 06-20 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +2,865 $422 $13 $-409 06-22 00:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,772 $2,497 $4 $-2,493 06-20 22:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +631 $82 $2 $-80 06-15 20:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +20 $2 $1 $-0 06-25 20:18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +357 $-70 $1 +$71 06-18 18:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +500 $12 $0 $-12 06-02 21:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 25¢ $0 $-0 06-21 17:14
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +92 $4 $0 $-4 06-17 17:39