Strident-Export — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.92K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.13K

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

866

Trades

16,573

lifetime

Volume

$914.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$14.5K

30 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 08-27 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Politics

73% 56% -$3,670

Other

17% 53% -$6,374

Crypto

7% 50% +$607

Sports

2% 61% +$2,702

Tech

1% 69% -$185

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 455 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-10,300	-$8,487	81¢	$-8328	+$159	06-08 08:00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-10,300	-$1,793	19¢	$-1972	-$179	06-08 08:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-2,197	-$2,645	82¢	$-1790	+$855	08-27 07:27
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+1,251	$286	92¢	$1.1K	+$859	08-01 12:41
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	-600	-$595	97¢	$-583	+$12	08-23 17:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+912	$112	18¢	$169	+$57	07-13 19:02
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+1,251	$2,926	8¢	$106	-$2,820	08-27 07:38
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	-89	-$87	98¢	$-87	$0	08-27 07:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+100	$59	87¢	$87	+$28	08-27 07:31
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	No	+75	$67	88¢	$66	-$1	08-24 09:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+47	-$56	98¢	$46	+$102	05-20 13:44
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	+35	$18	96¢	$33	+$15	08-27 07:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+100	$88	13¢	$13	-$75	08-17 22:47
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	+13	$11	96¢	$12	+$1	08-27 07:35
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+75	$260	12¢	$9	-$250	08-27 07:28
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	+4	-$111	96¢	$4	+$115	08-12 09:01
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	+4	$5	92¢	$4	$0	08-27 07:34
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+35	$6	4¢	$2	-$4	08-16 22:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+47	$4	2¢	$1	-$3	05-09 00:46
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026	Yes	+13	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-22 20:00
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	+4	$54	8¢	$0	-$54	08-17 20:00
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	+9	$3	2¢	$0	-$2	06-19 03:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+4	-$9	4¢	$0	+$9	08-27 07:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	06-21 17:14
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	+0	-$16	96¢	$0	+$16	08-19 00:31
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+0	$28	6¢	$0	-$28	08-27 07:33
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885	No	+0	$0	60¢	$0	$0	08-18 05:43
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	+0	-$24	97¢	$0	+$24	07-25 20:46
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	+0	-$59	94¢	$0	+$59	08-12 20:00
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+0	$17	37¢	$0	-$17	08-17 19:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	424	$62.6K	40,853	42,139	-1,285	open	—	08-27 07:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	487	$48.0K	51,275	32,572	+18,703	Yes	+$943	06-17 23:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	185	$30.1K	20,170	19,977	+194	No	+$995	06-03 23:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	259	$21.6K	37,285	32,301	+4,984	No	-$1,161	05-31 01:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	222	$18.8K	18,482	16,373	+2,109	Yes	+$359	06-16 01:07
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	408	$17.1K	22,044	14,367	+7,677	Yes	-$682	08-11 22:58
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	166	$16.5K	15,642	13,500	+2,142	Yes	+$519	04-21 15:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	67	$12.7K	8,269	8,304	-35	Yes	+$252	04-21 17:56
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	202	$12.6K	17,955	12,201	+5,754	No	-$2,184	04-22 04:42
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	170	$12.4K	14,050	5,479	+8,571	Yes	-$196	07-20 21:34
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	132	$12.0K	11,700	9,199	+2,501	open	—	08-27 07:38
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	43	$10.5K	5,615	5,477	+137	Yes	+$63	06-18 12:11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$10.3K	0	20,600	-20,600	open	—	06-08 08:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	212	$10.1K	20,064	16,064	+4,000	No	-$1,002	06-23 09:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	121	$9.7K	22,386	17,421	+4,965	No	-$558	04-26 15:27
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	47	$8.9K	6,029	4,076	+1,953	Yes	+$160	06-17 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	143	$8.9K	21,006	18,581	+2,425	No	-$1,247	05-23 21:46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	26	$7.8K	4,213	3,868	+345	Yes	+$84	04-21 00:12
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	62	$7.8K	5,843	3,832	+2,012	Yes	+$81	06-11 17:58
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	32	$7.6K	6,052	6,052	+0	No	-$210	06-17 19:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	26	$7.3K	2,525	5,052	-2,526	No	-$37	06-13 21:00
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	17	$7.3K	5,969	2,000	+3,969	Yes	+$569	07-28 01:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	174	$7.2K	18,589	11,426	+7,163	No	-$1,256	04-23 17:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	32	$7.1K	9,895	4,000	+5,895	Yes	+$1,868	05-09 05:55
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	347	$7.1K	13,413	12,423	+990	Yes	+$2,617	07-08 13:30
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	121	$7.1K	6,338	4,409	+1,930	Yes	-$432	06-07 22:56
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	50	$7.0K	7,003	5,158	+1,845	Yes	-$424	06-14 14:00
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	19	$6.8K	5,185	1,638	+3,547	Yes	-$37	06-18 21:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	155	$6.7K	7,281	7,353	-73	Yes	-$63	04-21 16:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	205	$6.7K	6,499	4,933	+1,566	Yes	+$1,174	06-14 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 07:38:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	209	0¢	$0	0x4be933…
08-27 07:38:03	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xdf5424…
08-27 07:37:58	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x34c982…
08-27 07:37:54	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x46d503…
08-27 07:37:46	Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x49aa2a…
08-27 07:37:43	Will Clavicular visit North Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x10d258…
08-27 07:37:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x1296dd…
08-27 07:37:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1a519c…
08-27 07:37:30	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?	No	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x65b95a…
08-27 07:37:25	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x881f27…
08-27 07:37:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	2,111	0¢	$2	0xd97b41…
08-27 07:37:15	Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x7858c9…
08-27 07:37:09	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xc3211a…
08-27 07:37:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x29a8f0…
08-27 07:37:00	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xdb150d…
08-27 07:36:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xf402e2…
08-27 07:36:51	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	1¢	$6	0x852db9…
08-27 07:36:48	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xdf1d8b…
08-27 07:36:42	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	Yes	SELL	150	4¢	$6	0x8632b9…
08-27 07:36:36	Will no press briefing air by August 31?	Yes	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0xf51e6d…
08-27 07:36:31	Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	19¢	$6	0xef0d39…
08-27 07:36:24	Will Mary Peltola win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf46ee1…
08-27 07:36:19	Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0x8b8f2d…
08-27 07:36:16	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x46c9a8…
08-27 07:36:12	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	SELL	262	3¢	$9	0x70b10a…
08-27 07:36:07	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x9453a9…
08-27 07:36:01	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6b67cb…
08-27 07:35:57	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x2c4949…
08-27 07:35:52	Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?	Yes	SELL	690	1¢	$8	0x2802bf…
08-27 07:35:48	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0xae04c9…
08-27 07:35:43	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?	Yes	SELL	206	7¢	$14	0xd21d9f…
08-27 07:35:36	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0xc77dea…
08-27 07:35:28	Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xe07bb1…
08-27 07:35:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	536	3¢	$17	0x5b5f92…
08-27 07:35:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xe49729…
08-27 07:35:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa06379…
08-27 07:35:09	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x2f2ca3…
08-27 07:35:03	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xf38e4b…
08-27 07:34:57	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	287	9¢	$26	0x0e8a00…
08-27 07:34:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	36¢	$29	0x03a53e…
08-27 07:34:45	Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x50a5d8…
08-27 07:34:30	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,061	1¢	$13	0xb5528d…
08-27 07:34:22	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	14¢	$30	0x4a5e69…
08-27 07:34:18	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x8f2d3f…
08-27 07:34:13	Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31	No	SELL	36	88¢	$31	0xf08065…
08-27 07:34:07	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	151	21¢	$32	0xd70118…
08-27 07:34:01	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	44	72¢	$32	0xd376e1…
08-27 07:33:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	99	32¢	$32	0x5939ed…
08-27 07:33:49	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x0adf63…
08-27 07:33:45	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	140	23¢	$32	0xa01445…
08-27 07:33:39	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x714b4a…
08-27 07:33:34	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	435	8¢	$35	0x5ff948…
08-27 07:33:30	Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x714973…
08-27 07:33:24	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	83¢	$37	0x18279c…
08-27 07:33:18	GTA VI released by November 30?	Yes	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x570720…
08-27 07:33:13	Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?	No	SELL	54	75¢	$41	0x18fa5e…
08-27 07:33:06	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xf7054a…
08-27 07:33:01	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	55	79¢	$43	0x125902…
08-27 07:32:54	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	23¢	$42	0x97578a…
08-27 07:32:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	664	7¢	$47	0xa38552…
08-27 07:32:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,150	2¢	$44	0xf0907d…
08-27 07:32:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0xd102b0…
08-27 07:32:33	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	203	27¢	$55	0x78a1d7…
08-27 07:32:28	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	79	93¢	$74	0x11b014…
08-27 07:32:24	Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0x5d0c2a…
08-27 07:32:15	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x4399d5…
08-27 07:32:07	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0x9c88e2…
08-27 07:32:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	No	SELL	101	79¢	$80	0x854d22…
08-27 07:31:58	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x80d98c…
08-27 07:31:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	120	86¢	$103	0xe897e9…
08-27 07:31:48	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	304	37¢	$112	0x24a781…
08-27 07:31:40	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	181	67¢	$122	0x639da3…
08-27 07:31:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	133	98¢	$130	0xa45ff3…
08-27 07:31:30	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1,464	9¢	$130	0x57f75d…
08-27 07:30:16	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	No	SELL	140	96¢	$135	0x7be260…
08-27 07:30:12	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	55¢	$152	0x182c60…
08-27 07:30:07	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	SELL	168	98¢	$165	0xd8fd2c…
08-27 07:30:01	Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	SELL	180	91¢	$164	0x5a19de…
08-27 07:29:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	192	92¢	$177	0x2e8f2b…
08-27 07:29:52	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$179	0x110a6d…
08-27 07:29:45	Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xee16d7…
08-27 07:29:39	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	No	SELL	222	90¢	$200	0xc3336e…
08-27 07:29:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	939	20¢	$188	0x55bffb…
08-27 07:29:28	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,520	12¢	$182	0x76a835…
08-27 07:29:22	Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?	No	SELL	214	99¢	$212	0xc82660…
08-27 07:29:15	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	243	87¢	$211	0x8d8c01…
08-27 07:29:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	240	92¢	$221	0xad4843…
08-27 07:29:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,126	21¢	$236	0x03caf1…
08-27 07:28:58	Iran coup attempt by December 31?	No	SELL	288	91¢	$262	0xed3f8e…
08-27 07:28:39	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	No	SELL	302	87¢	$263	0xc1ee8f…
08-27 07:28:30	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,180	12¢	$262	0x811d55…
08-27 07:28:24	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	Yes	SELL	372	74¢	$275	0x857d1e…
08-27 07:28:16	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	340	87¢	$296	0x395cc9…
08-27 07:28:12	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,155	26¢	$295	0x446f36…
08-27 07:28:04	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	79¢	$316	0x01387c…
08-27 07:28:01	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	No	SELL	655	48¢	$312	0xffbeff…
08-27 07:27:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,115	33¢	$368	0x67e87d…
08-27 07:27:48	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,373	24¢	$577	0x89fd4a…
08-27 07:27:42	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	815	88¢	$717	0xff778f…
08-27 07:27:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,111	73¢	$811	0x8344a3…