Realized P&L
+$2.48K
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
98.1%
Resolved
16
Trades
9,629
lifetime
Volume
$604.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$7.02K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-22 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
79% 75% +$2,477
Other
9% 100% +$2
Crypto
9% 0% $-1
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6,776 $5,072 72¢ $4.9K $-159 07-20 14:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $512 90¢ $537 +$25 07-20 21:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,587 $200 28¢ $436 +$236 07-13 19:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +944 $418 36¢ $335 $-82 06-13 20:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +223 $205 100¢ $223 +$18 06-20 16:00
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +121 $111 94¢ $114 +$4 06-08 01:59
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +341 $68 30¢ $101 +$32 06-28 16:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $57 78¢ $78 +$22 06-12 18:59
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -74 $-70 97¢ $-72 $-2 06-17 13:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +55 $41 78¢ $43 +$2 06-16 16:23
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +440 $64 $40 $-24 07-21 19:54
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +159 $35 22¢ $35 +$0 06-16 18:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,264 $113 $28 $-85 07-13 04:48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +100 $77 22¢ $22 $-55 06-20 08:26
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +132 $14 12¢ $16 +$3 07-20 12:59
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +60 $13 22¢ $13 +$1 07-16 04:17
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +29 $-13 42¢ $12 +$25 07-19 02:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 18¢ $0 $-0 06-21 17:14
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No -19 $66 $-0 $-66 06-20 16:00