Smooth-Temp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$368

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,368

lifetime

Volume

$209.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-11 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-368

Other

19% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	416	$20.1K	34,385	35,096	-710	open	—	04-04 19:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	96	$14.1K	11,698	2,923	+8,776	open	—	08-05 01:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	313	$9.8K	40,987	28,743	+12,243	open	—	03-27 18:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	444	$9.6K	10,381	10,389	-7	open	—	03-31 21:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	102	$8.0K	17,665	13,751	+3,914	open	—	04-07 22:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1,082	$7.7K	53,629	53,629	+0	open	—	04-13 16:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	95	$7.5K	7,177	4,214	+2,963	open	—	06-02 11:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	51	$7.1K	6,884	884	+6,000	open	—	04-21 15:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	54	$6.7K	3,466	3,466	+0	open	—	03-24 08:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$5.9K	2,900	3,035	-135	open	—	05-25 22:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	65	$5.6K	26,546	22,389	+4,157	open	—	05-31 19:54
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	116	$5.2K	9,639	9,639	-0	open	—	04-07 23:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	42	$4.2K	3,585	1,655	+1,930	open	—	06-14 21:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	71	$4.0K	8,515	2,310	+6,205	open	—	04-07 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	67	$3.1K	20,475	20,314	+161	open	—	04-07 22:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	05-14 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	57	$3.1K	7,755	7,755	-0	open	—	05-04 16:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	53	$2.7K	15,937	4,757	+11,181	open	—	05-13 18:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	19	$2.6K	1,621	1,241	+379	open	—	05-27 22:31
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	32	$2.6K	1,672	1,208	+464	open	—	04-21 20:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	70	$2.6K	3,306	3,355	-49	open	—	05-29 19:03
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	90	$2.4K	2,228	1,476	+753	open	—	04-03 02:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	80	$2.4K	1,981	2,037	-56	open	—	04-21 22:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$2.2K	1,888	1,888	+0	open	—	06-12 06:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,625	823	+1,802	open	—	06-01 12:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$2.1K	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	03-01 13:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	41	$2.1K	2,262	1,985	+277	open	—	06-15 15:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-03 16:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	102	$1.9K	1,331	871	+460	open	—	04-15 23:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$1.8K	18,926	17,479	+1,448	open	—	05-18 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:13:10	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x0dd24a…
08-11 19:56:16	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	220	98¢	$214	0x8bc6cf…
08-11 19:29:28	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	121	97¢	$117	0x6e30e8…
08-11 19:28:25	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	367	96¢	$352	0xda629e…
08-10 16:28:06	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	192	61¢	$117	0xb20b74…
08-10 16:23:45	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x747375…
08-10 15:53:06	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0x0d2200…
08-08 11:29:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 11 20260807213124700	No	BUY	335	99¢	$331	0x4fdb3e…
08-07 18:59:39	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x468da7…
08-07 16:33:06	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x223088…
08-07 15:09:57	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	192	13¢	$24	0x2a6c10…
08-07 15:07:37	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	192	13¢	$24	0x65e85c…
08-07 11:31:51	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	108	45¢	$49	0xd6d020…
08-07 11:29:57	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	130	45¢	$58	0x9d9ce2…
08-07 11:28:40	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	130	45¢	$58	0x15dd74…
08-07 11:28:31	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x96916d…
08-06 15:21:20	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x700bb9…
08-06 15:19:50	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x445dc1…
08-06 15:17:09	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xa8cd86…
08-06 14:03:35	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xf52f80…
08-06 13:58:50	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x48f815…
08-06 13:57:27	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x94ce67…
08-06 13:57:14	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xb7fb20…
08-06 13:21:53	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	1	65¢	$0	0x0b3d84…
08-06 13:21:29	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	274	65¢	$178	0x8d795e…
08-06 13:21:27	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb01e7c…
08-06 12:17:27	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	116	63¢	$73	0x2f4aa5…
08-06 11:49:26	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	252	62¢	$156	0x4e4912…
08-06 11:28:33	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x1e1241…
08-06 08:55:44	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x4ae928…
08-05 20:00:32	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	455	4¢	$18	0x13a003…
08-05 18:19:12	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x017a61…
08-05 18:18:30	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x69cb3b…
08-05 18:08:48	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x2f6ffe…
08-05 17:25:32	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	497	9¢	$45	0x73f638…
08-05 16:32:11	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	101	7¢	$7	0xb508c2…
08-05 16:24:29	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	72	8¢	$6	0xd957a3…
08-05 16:15:51	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0xe7541e…
08-05 16:15:51	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	133	10¢	$13	0x3e63ed…
08-05 16:15:50	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	505	10¢	$51	0x1c1e8e…
08-05 01:55:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xecbaeb…
08-05 00:57:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6dec0a…
08-05 00:57:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb0f4f3…
08-04 20:46:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x1d6984…
08-04 17:12:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xf4f866…
08-04 15:50:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x70f65a…
08-04 11:21:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x66c540…
08-04 09:31:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x18e670…
08-04 08:28:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x82b593…
08-04 07:31:42	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc7a333…
08-04 06:58:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x82863b…
08-04 00:17:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xac8482…
08-04 00:06:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xaaaf7d…
08-03 22:23:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	108	96¢	$104	0x59caa7…
08-03 21:32:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb53d8b…
08-03 21:28:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x02fd66…
08-03 21:22:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x49210e…
08-03 16:59:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x74c1ec…
08-03 16:10:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb6e8d1…
08-03 15:18:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xbb094c…
08-03 13:35:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x8a3331…
08-03 12:32:51	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1430a5…
08-03 09:07:08	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x930ef5…
08-03 08:38:30	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x3e12fa…
08-03 06:14:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4712b2…
08-03 06:08:26	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x38d9f3…
08-03 04:27:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfa64d3…
08-03 03:23:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf0d155…
08-03 03:16:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf5aa51…
08-03 03:07:44	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf8a33c…
08-03 03:00:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2a9918…
08-03 02:29:23	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x364cfb…
08-03 01:01:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa41b26…
08-02 21:33:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x036d77…
08-02 21:09:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x720a9e…
08-02 21:05:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x37e20e…
08-02 19:21:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7f505f…
08-02 18:44:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc9fb7d…
08-02 18:18:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x197d09…
08-02 17:32:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x132739…
08-02 16:33:57	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x87497e…
08-02 15:21:33	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xc4dd59…
08-02 15:04:12	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x582bd3…
08-02 13:48:59	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2821f8…
08-02 09:07:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	32	70¢	$23	0x68a8c2…
08-02 00:01:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x72adc9…
08-01 20:52:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x9c8330…
08-01 20:52:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x63c6df…
08-01 18:56:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	164	76¢	$124	0xf512ad…
08-01 18:54:09	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	102	74¢	$75	0xbe1c13…
08-01 18:37:36	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	SELL	137	31¢	$42	0x70032a…
08-01 18:37:35	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	70	32¢	$23	0x8816e7…
08-01 18:37:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	No	BUY	70	32¢	$23	0x130e9b…
08-01 16:09:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	23	76¢	$18	0xa20357…
08-01 16:08:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xcc4d9e…
08-01 16:07:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	90	78¢	$70	0x848a4a…
08-01 16:06:45	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	62	78¢	$48	0xaae81d…
08-01 15:58:26	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x1a7560…
08-01 15:58:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xbfbfc2…
08-01 15:58:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x7a07c7…