Smooth-Temp 0x1ec6d9…2b7edb Create alert
whale 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$655
Unrealized P&L
+$2.00K
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
218
Trades
8,165
lifetime
Volume
$300.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$7.66K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 10-31 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% +$2,186
Other
27% 52% -$224
Crypto
9% 44% -$711
Tech
1% 20% -$597
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,307 $1,889 55¢ $2.9K +$1,003 10-22 12:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,806 $1,581 90¢ $1.6K +$36 10-22 12:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,662 $903 18¢ $1.0K +$145 10-22 20:59
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +810 $641 99¢ $799 +$158 09-23 18:10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +283 -$305 78¢ $219 +$524 10-29 20:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +755 $174 29¢ $215 +$41 10-15 18:32
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +495 $183 42¢ $206 +$22 10-07 19:23
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +244 $43 70¢ $172 +$129 10-26 13:37
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,247 $197 12¢ $156 -$41 10-11 17:29
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +154 $139 98¢ $151 +$12 09-30 12:18
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +465 $128 28¢ $128 +$0 09-27 14:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? No +52 $55 90¢ $47 -$7 10-30 17:38
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +479 $57 2¢ $10 -$48 09-15 18:39
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -236 -$25 1¢ $-2 +$22 08-07 15:09
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +1 -$2 40¢ $0 +$2 08-12 16:01
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? Yes +1 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 09-14 12:00