Smooth-Temp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$368

Unrealized P&L

+$56

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,873

lifetime

Volume

$175.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$543

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-09 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

81% 0% $-368

Other

13% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	+1,339	$247	20¢	$275	+$28	06-09 19:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	+464	$144	40¢	$183	+$39	06-09 12:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	+371	$148	20¢	$76	$-72	05-31 23:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-53	$-70	16¢	$-9	+$61	06-07 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	416	$20.1K	34,385	35,096	-710	open	—	04-04 19:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	313	$9.8K	40,987	28,743	+12,243	open	—	03-27 18:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	444	$9.6K	10,381	10,389	-7	open	—	03-31 21:38
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	102	$8.0K	17,665	13,751	+3,914	open	—	04-07 22:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1,082	$7.7K	53,629	53,629	+0	open	—	04-13 16:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	95	$7.5K	7,177	4,214	+2,963	open	—	06-02 11:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	51	$7.1K	6,884	884	+6,000	open	—	04-21 15:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	54	$6.7K	3,466	3,466	+0	open	—	03-24 08:45
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$5.9K	2,900	3,035	-135	open	—	05-25 22:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	65	$5.6K	26,546	22,389	+4,157	open	—	05-31 19:54
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	116	$5.2K	9,639	9,639	-0	open	—	04-07 23:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	71	$4.0K	8,515	2,310	+6,205	open	—	04-07 22:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	67	$3.1K	20,475	20,314	+161	open	—	04-07 22:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$3.1K	1,577	1,577	+0	open	—	05-14 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	57	$3.1K	7,755	7,755	-0	open	—	05-04 16:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	53	$2.7K	15,937	4,757	+11,181	open	—	05-13 18:32
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	19	$2.6K	1,621	1,241	+379	open	—	05-27 22:31
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	32	$2.6K	1,672	1,208	+464	open	—	04-21 20:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	70	$2.6K	3,306	3,355	-49	open	—	05-29 19:03
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	90	$2.4K	2,228	1,476	+753	open	—	04-03 02:20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	80	$2.4K	1,981	2,037	-56	open	—	04-21 22:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,625	823	+1,802	open	—	06-01 12:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	10	$2.1K	1,888	1,665	+223	open	—	05-29 14:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	15	$2.1K	1,611	1,611	+0	open	—	03-01 13:21
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-03 16:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	102	$1.9K	1,331	871	+460	open	—	04-15 23:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	20	$1.8K	18,926	17,479	+1,448	open	—	05-18 13:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	8	$1.8K	907	907	+0	open	—	05-12 06:31
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	81	$1.7K	1,533	1,533	+0	open	—	04-21 20:24
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	47	$1.7K	1,119	1,114	+5	open	—	04-17 00:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:52:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	745	18¢	$137	0xf84d7b…
06-09 19:52:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0xdad495…
06-09 15:33:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0x68e2b3…
06-09 13:49:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	112	66¢	$74	0x8c17af…
06-09 13:47:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	112	69¢	$77	0xee642e…
06-09 13:45:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	380	9¢	$34	0x4a8155…
06-09 12:29:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	179	36¢	$64	0x249d77…
06-09 10:25:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	116	19¢	$23	0x058788…
06-09 10:08:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	35	19¢	$7	0x05a799…
06-09 09:59:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xd26a3a…
06-09 09:20:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x7fb7cd…
06-09 09:03:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	194	18¢	$35	0x96a2ea…
06-08 11:29:42	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	101	95¢	$96	0x13a96a…
06-08 11:29:04	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x221507…
06-08 11:28:48	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x61ef95…
06-08 11:28:46	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xab62cd…
06-08 11:28:39	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe4ca76…
06-07 22:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	18¢	$46	0x9270ef…
06-07 20:33:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0x3a28ae…
06-07 20:33:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x206a6a…
06-07 20:33:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x08cbf2…
06-07 20:33:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x9d5774…
06-07 20:33:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0x63d1fe…
06-07 20:33:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0x6a5d4d…
06-07 20:32:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0xc450bf…
06-07 20:32:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xf5dbda…
06-07 20:32:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xc0b081…
06-07 20:32:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x583633…
06-07 20:32:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd14ea4…
06-07 20:12:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	549	43¢	$236	0x8acb1e…
06-07 20:11:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	539	43¢	$232	0x27c9da…
06-07 20:10:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x36af37…
06-07 20:09:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	18	41¢	$8	0x5d9eeb…
06-07 20:09:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	110	41¢	$45	0xc1f86d…
06-07 20:09:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x2e4549…
06-07 20:09:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x179508…
06-07 20:03:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	153	26¢	$40	0xa0e3eb…
06-07 20:02:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xa9a93a…
06-07 20:02:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	66	33¢	$22	0xeb1530…
06-07 20:02:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	570	35¢	$198	0x0ae637…
06-07 19:58:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	119	59¢	$70	0x46d470…
06-07 19:56:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	60	42¢	$25	0x7c9d2d…
06-07 19:56:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x87945f…
06-07 19:56:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5925b0…
06-07 19:56:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x5ff675…
06-07 19:54:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0x8d815f…
06-07 19:54:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0x197a16…
06-07 19:49:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0xf5ab73…
06-07 19:48:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	93	48¢	$45	0xed2c5e…
06-07 19:48:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	59	49¢	$29	0x4f6324…
06-07 19:44:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	214	42¢	$90	0x3e3f32…
06-07 19:44:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x0ee83b…
06-07 19:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	92	42¢	$38	0xf9c0dc…
06-07 19:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xf309e5…
06-07 19:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0x995d22…
06-07 19:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x6b65c8…
06-07 19:44:01	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x242d2a…
06-07 19:43:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x6ac769…
06-07 19:41:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x83cad1…
06-07 19:32:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	44	38¢	$17	0xd71bba…
06-07 19:32:54	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	126	39¢	$48	0x06070e…
06-07 19:32:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	198	35¢	$69	0x9b7df4…
06-07 19:32:24	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0x510379…
06-07 19:30:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xc59f29…
06-07 19:30:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x201ba1…
06-07 19:15:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x466de1…
06-07 19:07:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	96	35¢	$34	0x956707…
06-07 19:07:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x21d7de…
06-07 19:06:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xffa4dc…
06-07 19:05:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	75	34¢	$25	0x681c0f…
06-07 15:34:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	123	7¢	$9	0xfbd046…
06-07 15:33:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0xa5d11d…
06-07 14:13:06	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0x84ae12…
06-07 13:31:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0x02d9a2…
06-05 17:31:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	71	36¢	$26	0x905936…
06-05 17:30:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0xd68880…
06-05 17:28:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x6f6896…
06-05 17:04:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xacb4b8…
06-05 17:01:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x720cd4…
06-05 17:00:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xbca5df…
06-05 15:50:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x41c417…
06-05 15:23:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xc66652…
06-05 15:22:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0xf75826…
06-05 15:20:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x34d177…
06-05 13:48:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	36	29¢	$10	0x0f46a3…
06-05 02:21:22	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x69c958…
06-05 02:20:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xe4c491…
06-02 11:19:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,625	99¢	$2,593	0x9f3617…
06-02 11:19:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x28cd91…
06-02 11:19:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	336	99¢	$332	0x54a200…
06-01 16:46:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0xf55220…
06-01 16:46:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x5642a8…
06-01 16:46:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x7763bf…
06-01 16:45:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	45¢	$26	0x7bfae9…
06-01 16:45:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x184d66…
06-01 16:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x99aa16…
06-01 16:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x4d7060…
06-01 16:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x44e735…
06-01 16:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x1ee3db…
06-01 16:45:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0xdf266b…