Tragic-Member 0x738a48…885996 Create alert
hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.97K
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
68.2%
Resolved
786
Trades
2,444
lifetime
Volume
$86.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-05 08:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
51% 60% +$3,260
Politics
42% 52% +$4,634
Sports
3% 52% -$19
Tech
2% 54% -$61
Crypto
1% 44% +$245
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$87
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? No +206 $128 75¢ $154 +$26 10-23 10:53
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? Yes +159 $57 90¢ $143 +$86 10-29 04:45
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? No +150 $99 90¢ $136 +$37 10-28 01:53
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay? No +115 $74 100¢ $115 +$41 10-30 02:59
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat? Yes +106 $70 99¢ $105 +$35 10-15 12:23
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +114 $62 84¢ $96 +$34 10-30 03:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +115 $73 79¢ $91 +$17 10-27 23:03
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +96 $30 93¢ $89 +$59 09-06 04:56
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000? Yes +148 $68 54¢ $81 +$13 10-29 04:48
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? No +235 $54 34¢ $80 +$26 09-06 04:03
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +100 $41 75¢ $75 +$34 07-24 00:32
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000? Yes +91 $30 77¢ $70 +$40 10-16 15:43
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +71 $54 97¢ $68 +$14 10-21 20:08
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 35m tonnes at end of october 2026 Yes +150 $84 40¢ $61 -$23 10-15 06:18
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +374 $131 16¢ $58 -$73 09-02 20:01
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? No +70 $42 60¢ $42 +$0 10-30 08:20
target q3 comparable sales growth 5 or more Yes +121 $32 30¢ $36 +$4 10-16 14:58
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next? Yes +84 $31 36¢ $30 -$1 07-27 20:39
US imports Russian diesel before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? Yes +300 $45 7¢ $21 -$24 11-05 08:35
SPLC found guilty in 2026? No -23 -$13 87¢ $-20 -$7 06-12 18:04
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +50 $19 32¢ $16 -$3 10-21 18:39
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? Yes +235 $89 5¢ $12 -$77 10-28 01:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $29 22¢ $11 -$18 07-30 18:28
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000? Yes +123 $65 9¢ $11 -$54 10-29 04:14
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 $0 05-30 05:42
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? Yes +169 $93 4¢ $6 -$87 09-02 21:49
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.50 on December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $16 9¢ $4 -$12 07-27 21:59
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? Yes +40 $26 2¢ $1 -$25 10-21 13:35
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat? Yes +120 $84 0¢ $0 -$84 10-21 18:26
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +51 $30 0¢ $0 -$30 08-10 05:28