Tragic-Member — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$42.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 08-11 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

50% 100% +$4

Other

41% 80% +$24

Sports

5% — —

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	20	$1.6K	2,194	2,194	+0	open	—	07-07 01:15
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	12	$1.5K	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	08-11 07:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	10	$1.2K	1,537	1,537	+0	open	—	06-28 08:08
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	24	$1.0K	1,218	1,223	-5	open	—	05-22 06:11
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	12	$740	1,051	0	+1,051	open	—	07-18 02:14
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	7	$715	561	561	+0	open	—	07-17 01:50
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	8	$590	427	427	+0	open	—	06-17 19:11
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$547	758	758	+0	open	—	08-08 21:47
will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	10	$536	369	418	-49	open	—	06-20 20:17
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	6	$531	590	590	+0	open	—	07-17 09:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$510	358	358	+0	open	—	06-01 22:44
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 12 2026 20260630182730890	5	$497	571	0	+571	open	—	07-12 21:41
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	6	$484	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	07-10 23:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	10	$469	491	491	+0	open	—	06-14 22:00
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$460	260	260	+0	open	—	07-04 03:52
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	4	$457	733	733	+0	open	—	07-23 23:41
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	8	$423	606	397	+209	open	—	06-18 19:52
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260627173804884 615 954 754 586	7	$379	230	230	+0	open	—	07-07 20:08
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	5	$376	608	608	+0	open	—	07-09 23:44
iran closes its airspace by june 8	11	$354	554	554	+0	open	—	06-07 20:49
will trump speak to mohammed bin salman in june	50	$348	1,797	0	+1,797	open	—	07-02 14:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	9	$338	212	212	+0	open	—	04-21 23:11
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	7	$322	350	110	+240	open	—	06-09 01:54
will leaf leave g2 in 2026 20260805220638533	3	$302	199	199	+0	open	—	08-07 03:35
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	6	$286	208	208	+0	open	—	07-25 03:04
federal appropriations lapse on october 1 20260804220923652	2	$272	176	176	+0	open	—	08-06 03:51
will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	7	$265	263	263	+0	open	—	06-18 02:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$264	200	200	-0	open	—	06-14 21:37
us x cuba diplomatic meeting by july 31 20260616213226435	3	$263	400	400	+0	open	—	07-07 23:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	10	$258	266	266	+0	open	—	07-10 21:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 07:33:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	178	60¢	$107	0xda7ab3…
08-11 06:12:27	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	Yes	BUY	245	31¢	$76	0x80f019…
08-11 06:09:22	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	92	25¢	$23	0xbc205b…
08-11 06:08:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	Yes	BUY	174	33¢	$57	0x7b09bb…
08-11 06:01:12	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	764	11¢	$82	0xc2e1f7…
08-11 05:53:54	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	Yes	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0x1221b6…
08-11 05:50:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe96922…
08-11 05:49:24	situational awareness raises new capital by august 31 20260730182353379	Yes	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0x5ac6ec…
08-11 05:38:13	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x9d043a…
08-11 05:35:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0xf36a66…
08-11 05:14:51	will team falcons make playoffs 20260810160605040	Yes	BUY	131	88¢	$115	0x26c7fa…
08-10 22:14:01	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	449	57¢	$257	0xb44706…
08-10 22:09:37	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	627	58¢	$364	0xab0e3e…
08-10 06:19:22	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xe364de…
08-10 05:58:06	will bill walker advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd7d597…
08-10 05:57:04	will bill walker advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3868dd…
08-10 05:56:55	will bill walker advance from the 2026 alaska governor primary election	Yes	BUY	186	21¢	$39	0x52b13c…
08-10 05:48:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	186	14¢	$26	0x9adc38…
08-09 17:09:07	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	No	SELL	184	73¢	$134	0x13433f…
08-08 21:55:49	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	218	31¢	$68	0xe4107b…
08-08 21:55:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	SELL	132	52¢	$69	0x86a474…
08-08 21:47:58	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	114	80¢	$91	0x6437f0…
08-08 21:47:22	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	234	33¢	$78	0x152a31…
08-08 21:46:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	112	65¢	$73	0xdec6dc…
08-08 07:04:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	112	42¢	$47	0x2f9d75…
08-08 06:51:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	132	37¢	$49	0x5757fe…
08-08 06:43:58	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	158	19¢	$30	0x70541c…
08-08 06:01:31	will the gta 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long 20260807064756492	No	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0xe079f9…
08-08 01:23:31	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x66daed…
08-07 20:57:07	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	56	55¢	$31	0x5db260…
08-07 03:39:43	grok web outage by august 31 2026 20260728191715772	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x290f39…
08-07 03:35:03	will leaf leave g2 in 2026 20260805220638533	No	SELL	179	80¢	$143	0x86bbcf…
08-07 02:35:31	will demon1 leave envy in 2026 20260805220638530	No	SELL	177	43¢	$75	0x2b1fd0…
08-06 23:33:20	will anyones legend make a roster change by december 20260805205516486	Yes	SELL	79	60¢	$47	0x66aeb0…
08-06 22:40:51	will primmie leave full sense in 2026 20260805220638524	No	BUY	80	42¢	$33	0x274c26…
08-06 22:37:14	will fnatic make a roster change by december 20260805205516458	Yes	BUY	194	46¢	$90	0x94b0b4…
08-06 22:20:36	will meteor leave t1 in 2026 20260805220638526	Yes	BUY	175	28¢	$49	0x159afc…
08-06 22:19:32	will cryocells leave 100 thieves in 2026 20260805220638528	No	BUY	85	61¢	$52	0xeffdda…
08-06 22:16:41	will dplus kia make a roster change by december 20260805205516474	Yes	BUY	234	40¢	$94	0xd2e7b6…
08-06 22:15:33	will anyones legend make a roster change by december 20260805205516486	Yes	BUY	79	52¢	$41	0x77de8d…
08-06 22:10:05	will cloud9 make a roster change by december 20260805205516478	Yes	BUY	203	53¢	$108	0xf79490…
08-06 21:53:36	will g2 esports make a roster change by december 20260805205516459	Yes	BUY	267	27¢	$73	0x24298e…
08-06 21:52:17	will suzhou lng esports make a roster change by december 20260805205516496	No	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0x39b2f5…
08-06 21:50:44	will asuna leave 100 thieves in 2026 20260805220638529	No	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x7dbd76…
08-06 21:49:45	will invy leave paper rex in 2026 20260805220638523	No	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0x756a38…
08-06 21:47:23	will leaf leave g2 in 2026 20260805220638533	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe58a78…
08-06 21:44:32	will leaf leave g2 in 2026 20260805220638533	No	BUY	199	70¢	$140	0x6aff73…
08-06 21:43:03	will demon1 leave envy in 2026 20260805220638530	No	BUY	177	30¢	$53	0x53eb69…
08-06 21:31:47	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	Yes	BUY	75	36¢	$27	0x8dcc72…
08-06 03:51:03	federal appropriations lapse on october 1 20260804220923652	No	SELL	176	85¢	$150	0xb7338c…
08-06 03:44:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x9a831d…
08-06 03:43:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	148	16¢	$24	0x9ae22c…
08-06 03:41:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	109	35¢	$38	0x9827e2…
08-06 02:58:26	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0x621f7e…
08-06 02:58:24	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xba13c2…
08-06 02:41:30	federal appropriations lapse on october 1 20260804220923652	No	BUY	176	70¢	$123	0x324e4d…
08-06 02:22:09	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x57694c…
08-06 02:21:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	118	11¢	$13	0x537596…
08-06 00:16:35	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	400	24¢	$97	0x458422…
08-05 05:42:35	will kamala harris announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241611	No	BUY	138	32¢	$44	0x748954…
08-05 05:40:32	will glenn youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241648	No	BUY	85	64¢	$54	0xaa3085…
08-05 05:39:20	will brian kemp announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241655	No	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x093d41…
08-05 05:37:36	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742051	Yes	BUY	395	22¢	$87	0xfac54a…
08-05 05:15:14	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb82f1d…
08-05 05:13:39	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260804183343485	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xd11ee6…
08-05 05:05:20	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	Yes	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x2a7dc2…
08-05 04:52:50	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x7bb168…
08-05 04:45:44	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x64a5ae…
08-04 09:44:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	634	38¢	$241	0x165056…
08-04 07:19:03	will perplexitys valuation hit low 16pt5b by august 31 20260730185559509	No	BUY	137	66¢	$90	0x504381…
08-03 08:47:12	anthropic vs openai greater valuation growth august 2026 20260801002110202	OpenAI	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x9bb1fb…
08-03 04:55:51	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x43b660…
08-03 04:47:08	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,486	37¢	$550	0x91951c…
08-03 04:03:20	will gleans valuation hit low 6pt5b by august 31 20260731174449785	No	BUY	190	45¢	$85	0xda5283…
08-03 02:26:08	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	SELL	300	36¢	$107	0x4a6506…
08-03 00:36:05	will avengers secret wars be delayed 20260721153722642	No	SELL	85	69¢	$59	0x5ce4cb…
08-03 00:02:05	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x50d6a5…
08-01 15:05:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	230	19¢	$44	0x7d3a7a…
08-01 09:51:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb73d33…
08-01 09:40:12	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb8c88b…
08-01 09:08:35	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x35e759…
08-01 08:00:39	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdfdbd8…
08-01 07:47:29	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	26	26¢	$7	0x377f54…
08-01 06:58:17	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	600	19¢	$115	0x235be8…
07-31 18:36:51	will gleans valuation hit low 6b by december 31 20260701011238544	No	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xff32a3…
07-31 07:19:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa524fa…
07-31 07:09:15	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0xf1e96d…
07-31 06:44:32	will databricks valuation hit high 200b by december 31	Yes	SELL	69	55¢	$38	0x23fa23…
07-31 06:12:20	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0x01c8c3…
07-31 01:46:53	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x97a12d…
07-31 01:34:44	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x72430a…
07-31 01:15:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xd6e322…
07-30 20:47:15	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	340	62¢	$210	0x771820…
07-30 18:36:53	james comey charges dropped by december 31 20260729183700711	Yes	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x1995de…
07-30 12:52:41	will bytedances valuation hit high 650b by december 31 20260701011753596	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x970771…
07-30 10:55:53	will hyatt hotels h q2 system wide hotels revpar be above 156 20260725195253869	Yes	SELL	119	64¢	$76	0xf20b3a…
07-28 19:52:20	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	Yes	SELL	128	89¢	$114	0x6f4f44…
07-28 10:42:44	will there be at least 20000 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by august 31 2026 20260727151618911	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x530cd5…
07-28 04:51:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	130	30¢	$39	0x86df16…
07-28 04:12:42	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 140pt5 20260725194931755	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfcef82…