(anonymous) 0x7ba94a…4360ab
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
17
Trades
6,563
lifetime
Volume
$6.81K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$46
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-30 08:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
77% 54% +$0
Other
16% 0% $-6
Sports
5% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-14 94¢ $-14 +$0 06-27 00:04
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -4 $-4 98¢ $-4 $-0 06-29 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4 $-3 86¢ $-3 +$0 06-17 05:43
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-29 19:41
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-29 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 $-1 14¢ $-2 $-1 06-21 16:04
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -3 $-2 76¢ $-2 +$0 06-29 19:41
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -2 $-2 89¢ $-2 +$0 06-08 03:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 06-29 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-3 100¢ $-1 +$2 06-22 01:03
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 15:09
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 19:41
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-13 20:26
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 19:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -2 $-1 62¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 19:41
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -4 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 19:41
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -8 $-1 9¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 19:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -6 $-1 10¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 19:41
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -1 $-1 42¢ $-1 +$0 06-29 19:42
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 19:41
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -6 $3 10¢ $-1 $-4 06-29 19:41
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-19 23:51