Realized P&L
-$6
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
17
Trades
5,252
lifetime
Volume
$5.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-10 01:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
76% 54% +$0
Other
16% 0% $-6
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 399 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? No -2 $-2 93¢ $-2 $-0 06-08 03:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 46¢ $2 $-0 06-07 17:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $2 28¢ $2 $-0 06-02 06:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 16:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-09 13:50
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-01 21:33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-04 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 06-09 14:33
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-05 04:16
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-04 15:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-09 20:51
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? No -0 $-0 95¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 21:47