Immaterial-Ptarmigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.22K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

545

lifetime

Volume

$89.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 06-17 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

64% — —

Other

34% 75% +$1,065

Sports

1% 100% +$151

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$11.5K	13,809	13,809	+0	open	—	03-01 04:23
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	21	$6.0K	14,196	10,790	+3,406	open	—	06-14 10:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	51	$5.9K	49,788	50,352	-564	open	—	05-25 15:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$5.6K	27,872	27,872	+0	open	—	04-21 17:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	28	$4.8K	78,316	78,316	+0	open	—	03-25 13:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	11	$3.9K	3,010	3,010	+0	open	—	04-22 03:21
iran closes its airspace by june 8	12	$3.9K	7,860	7,860	+0	open	—	06-07 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$3.5K	12,596	12,596	+0	open	—	06-17 17:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	16	$2.8K	3,619	3,619	+0	open	—	04-24 12:00
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$2.7K	1,773	1,773	+0	open	—	03-16 22:45
israel closes its airspace by june 10	41	$2.6K	36,869	0	+36,869	open	—	06-10 22:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$2.5K	6,382	6,382	+0	open	—	03-28 10:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	31	$2.2K	26,900	25,955	+945	open	—	06-07 21:27
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$1.9K	7,800	7,800	+0	open	—	05-30 04:06
Iran leadership change by May 31?	14	$1.9K	19,716	19,716	+0	open	—	05-23 18:25
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$1.5K	3,633	3,633	+0	open	—	03-13 13:58
israel closes its airspace by june 8	20	$1.5K	2,980	2,235	+745	open	—	06-08 07:30
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	6	$1.5K	11,313	8,813	+2,500	open	—	02-19 19:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	14	$1.3K	12,180	12,180	+0	open	—	05-22 21:45
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	4	$1.2K	2,730	0	+2,730	open	—	05-15 15:46
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	2	$997	698	698	+0	Under	+$397	05-06 21:06
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	15	$832	4,926	4,926	+0	open	—	05-25 21:47
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	4	$814	3,757	3,757	+0	open	—	03-14 12:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$794	2,956	1,635	+1,321	open	—	06-14 18:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	5	$790	36,364	0	+36,364	open	—	05-16 00:55
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 psg1	2	$788	560	560	+0	open	—	03-11 21:54
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$755	3,021	3,021	+0	open	—	02-20 14:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$743	2,321	1,059	+1,263	open	—	05-23 06:01
israel closes its airspace by june 9	14	$737	21,870	0	+21,870	open	—	06-09 22:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$722	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-23 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 17:42:37	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	294	32¢	$94	0xd683b8…
06-17 17:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	476	20¢	$95	0x7a851a…
06-17 16:00:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x2a9108…
06-14 18:22:51	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	6,000	8¢	$474	0x31534c…
06-14 18:04:10	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	140	7¢	$10	0xd499cc…
06-14 18:01:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,374	18¢	$247	0x503345…
06-14 18:01:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	222	18¢	$40	0xb825f8…
06-14 18:01:16	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0x310b35…
06-14 10:38:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,956	17¢	$500	0x7c2229…
06-14 10:36:40	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	3,406	3¢	$100	0xe6c02c…
06-14 10:36:33	israel closes its airspace by june 14	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$100	0xda92fb…
06-14 10:36:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4,920	20¢	$969	0x701916…
06-12 11:50:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	320	22¢	$70	0x040013…
06-11 19:48:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,444	24¢	$1,067	0x4f54ce…
06-11 19:48:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x19c56c…
06-11 19:48:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	151	24¢	$36	0xa137bb…
06-10 22:32:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x749d1c…
06-10 21:40:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5,788	7¢	$399	0xb7a27c…
06-10 21:39:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf41e1d…
06-10 21:35:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	554	5¢	$28	0x219a7c…
06-10 21:33:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	132	5¢	$7	0xd62e18…
06-10 21:30:37	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	194	5¢	$10	0x260c2c…
06-10 21:27:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,111	5¢	$56	0xffe3a3…
06-10 21:27:15	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x2903ab…
06-10 21:26:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	7,200	7¢	$504	0x7bf6c9…
06-10 20:20:48	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,509	4¢	$54	0x7a86d1…
06-10 20:19:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xfd451c…
06-10 20:13:42	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x1b8220…
06-10 20:11:46	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5,100	4¢	$209	0x3efeaf…
06-10 20:11:33	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	3,400	4¢	$139	0xb9439f…
06-10 20:11:25	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$82	0x131348…
06-10 19:24:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	2,400	9¢	$216	0xc5072d…
06-10 18:41:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	1,300	8¢	$104	0xc385a6…
06-10 15:46:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xe6cd06…
06-10 15:45:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4,600	9¢	$414	0x60246a…
06-10 13:06:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xd6b4b1…
06-10 12:28:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8c75e5…
06-10 12:26:45	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x1d65f1…
06-10 12:19:10	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe8090f…
06-10 12:05:18	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x456912…
06-10 12:05:18	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	3,000	3¢	$81	0x164a64…
06-10 11:54:00	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0x7c79c6…
06-10 11:52:22	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x80edf3…
06-10 11:48:18	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	46	3¢	$1	0x1da98d…
06-09 22:26:48	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x9abb62…
06-09 22:26:43	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xc73b36…
06-09 22:26:07	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$13	0x7c7c31…
06-09 22:25:51	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	5,500	3¢	$182	0xe4bd3c…
06-09 22:25:42	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,981	3¢	$65	0x601faf…
06-09 22:21:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	951	3¢	$31	0x605210…
06-09 22:17:40	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$33	0xfe1ac6…
06-09 22:16:40	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x5ae136…
06-09 22:16:03	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	237	10¢	$23	0x5b251b…
06-09 22:14:58	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	3,864	12¢	$452	0x358de7…
06-09 22:14:39	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xaca799…
06-09 22:14:24	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	66	12¢	$8	0xedb7c1…
06-09 22:14:19	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	970	12¢	$113	0xa66555…
06-09 22:14:19	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x9fe8cf…
06-09 22:14:18	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	5,155	3¢	$170	0xa9403f…
06-09 22:14:12	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	2,509	4¢	$90	0x453570…
06-09 22:13:57	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb2d4c4…
06-09 22:13:52	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	73	12¢	$9	0xaa7cbd…
06-09 22:13:33	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0x748404…
06-09 22:13:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x86ef8d…
06-09 22:13:30	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	221	10¢	$21	0x6676e3…
06-09 22:13:28	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0x1fa9df…
06-09 22:13:16	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x663d85…
06-09 22:12:54	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	575	10¢	$55	0x7d2a35…
06-09 22:12:52	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	2,331	4¢	$84	0x0e4fa6…
06-09 22:12:31	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	3,372	10¢	$324	0xd039a1…
06-09 22:12:22	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$5	0x0c50d0…
06-09 22:11:13	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x037140…
06-09 18:31:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1,810	7¢	$123	0x229378…
06-09 18:12:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xbf15ce…
06-09 18:12:30	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x96e44f…
06-09 18:03:55	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	1,495	3¢	$51	0x4b0477…
06-09 18:02:55	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	105	3¢	$4	0xa9fe0a…
06-09 17:55:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x058660…
06-09 17:54:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5234c1…
06-09 17:54:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x39872f…
06-09 17:54:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0389a7…
06-09 17:53:37	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x5bebaf…
06-09 17:53:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	222	6¢	$13	0xbf707b…
06-09 17:51:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	400	6¢	$22	0x4866d8…
06-09 17:00:21	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x7480c5…
06-09 16:52:01	israel closes its airspace by june 10	Yes	BUY	2,321	17¢	$400	0x4b5206…
06-08 19:35:03	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$13	0x1c66e9…
06-08 12:56:37	btc updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	235	43¢	$100	0xd17c38…
06-08 12:36:15	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	BUY	833	48¢	$400	0xd40d44…
06-08 11:23:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,800	3¢	$95	0xfa50f8…
06-08 11:23:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,660	3¢	$85	0x4344bf…
06-08 11:23:15	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,500	5¢	$76	0x65cc8d…
06-08 09:22:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	2,570	57¢	$1,465	0x4b0fd7…
06-08 07:30:52	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	65	25¢	$16	0xa1806d…
06-08 07:30:45	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xb605e6…
06-08 07:30:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,600	25¢	$400	0xb1d5df…
06-08 07:30:30	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	492	25¢	$123	0x9aa1f8…
06-08 07:29:28	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xd2f700…
06-08 07:29:09	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x8aa59b…
06-08 07:28:58	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x1cc668…