Immaterial-Ptarmigan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.87K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

1,331

lifetime

Volume

$189.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 11-08 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Politics

47% 22% +$9,454

Other

46% 39% -$1,627

Sports

5% 35% +$122

Crypto

1% 25% -$82

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	23	$11.5K	13,809	13,809	+0	Yes	+$10,351	03-01 04:23
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	14	$11.5K	9,361	9,361	+0	Yes	+$6,016	10-27 23:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	20	$7.2K	12,069	12,069	+0	open	—	10-30 11:55
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	22	$6.2K	19,414	10,790	+8,624	No	+$1,080	06-14 10:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	54	$6.0K	50,352	50,352	+0	No	-$2,922	05-25 15:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$5.6K	27,872	27,872	+0	No	-$1,117	04-21 17:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	28	$4.8K	78,316	78,316	+0	No	-$36	03-25 13:08
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	118	$4.0K	84,949	72,237	+12,713	No	-$474	07-26 19:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	11	$3.9K	3,010	3,010	+0	No	+$1,996	04-22 03:21
iran closes its airspace by june 8	12	$3.9K	7,860	7,860	+0	Yes	+$2,101	06-07 19:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$3.5K	12,596	12,596	+0	No	-$354	06-17 17:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	16	$2.8K	3,619	3,619	+0	No	+$812	04-24 12:00
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	13	$2.8K	10,418	10,418	+0	No	-$558	07-28 12:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$2.7K	1,773	1,773	+0	Yes	+$107	03-16 22:45
israel closes its airspace by june 10	41	$2.6K	36,869	0	+36,869	No	-$2,624	06-10 22:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	6	$2.5K	6,382	6,382	+0	No	+$15	03-28 10:38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$2.5K	10,285	10,285	+0	No	-$846	07-14 20:50
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	18	$2.3K	6,399	6,388	+11	No	+$168	07-13 20:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	31	$2.2K	26,900	25,955	+945	No	-$849	06-07 21:27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$2.1K	5,512	0	+5,512	No	-$2,064	05-30 16:12
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	34	$2.0K	13,844	13,844	+0	No	-$9	07-31 23:54
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	13	$1.9K	7,800	7,800	+0	No	-$218	05-30 04:06
Iran leadership change by May 31?	14	$1.9K	19,716	19,716	+0	No	-$880	05-23 18:25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	4	$1.6K	1,233	1,233	+0	Yes	+$881	10-25 22:01
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$1.5K	3,633	3,633	+0	No	-$144	03-13 13:58
israel closes its airspace by june 8	20	$1.5K	2,980	2,235	+745	No	-$385	06-08 07:30
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	6	$1.5K	11,313	8,813	+2,500	No	-$222	02-19 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$1.3K	22,608	20,608	+2,000	No	-$14	07-20 11:37
israel closes its airspace by july 24	19	$1.3K	8,450	8,450	+0	No	-$347	07-24 08:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	14	$1.3K	12,180	12,180	+0	No	-$264	05-22 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 23:53:01	Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)	Pelicans	BUY	345	51¢	$176	0x40a916…
11-08 21:55:57	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	345	99¢	$341	0xa403ea…
11-08 21:47:34	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08?	No	SELL	390	100¢	$390	0x74dee9…
11-08 21:05:21	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	390	41¢	$160	0x30dddd…
11-08 20:47:46	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xc94089…
11-08 20:42:33	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xf9bce6…
11-08 20:36:00	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	SELL	618	100¢	$617	0xe900c3…
11-08 18:52:28	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	54	36¢	$20	0x0af2bb…
11-08 18:51:22	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x6ac615…
11-08 18:00:33	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x2640ce…
11-08 17:21:58	Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xd5171e…
11-08 17:21:43	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	348	29¢	$100	0x8eb9ef…
11-08 17:21:34	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	412	34¢	$140	0x3ed807…
11-07 19:02:33	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	881	43¢	$379	0xb585fe…
11-07 18:43:01	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	1,154	52¢	$600	0x341ec2…
11-07 16:59:58	Will Maccabi Netanya FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	SELL	612	12¢	$76	0x0802c9…
11-07 16:43:04	Will Maccabi Netanya FC win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xad01a7…
11-07 16:02:34	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xf2f63c…
11-07 15:30:43	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?	No	SELL	208	5¢	$10	0xec42e7…
11-07 14:32:51	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x69a2b4…
11-07 11:18:51	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	385	39¢	$150	0x9d6bc6…
11-06 22:48:54	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x56207a…
11-06 21:32:15	Spread: Partizan (-3.5)	Maccabi Tel Aviv	SELL	234	3¢	$7	0xa0db51…
11-06 19:11:39	Spread: Partizan (-3.5)	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	234	43¢	$100	0x1aa653…
11-06 18:54:25	Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	SELL	643	100¢	$642	0x57f22b…
11-06 18:15:45	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xfa730b…
11-06 17:00:39	Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0x5525b3…
11-06 16:30:30	Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xea042a…
11-06 14:01:04	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul	Ben Shelton	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x239959…
11-06 13:50:49	Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Maccabi Petah Tikva FC	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xa4003c…
11-06 13:13:45	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x3b4426…
11-06 12:38:57	Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Maccabi Petah Tikva FC	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x5410b7…
11-06 00:01:37	Magic vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x6bb5bd…
11-05 22:02:09	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	513	100¢	$513	0xcd2d71…
11-05 22:02:01	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	909	100¢	$908	0x76f6fe…
11-05 20:12:07	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xa8a6ae…
11-05 19:44:03	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	513	46¢	$236	0xde9ec3…
11-05 19:37:44	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?	No	SELL	714	100¢	$714	0x1a06e2…
11-05 19:10:55	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	435	5¢	$22	0x21a68a…
11-05 19:09:24	Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?	No	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0xbe0f1f…
11-05 18:46:55	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xc73a48…
11-05 18:26:45	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0xb7b21c…
11-04 19:39:46	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x418f41…
11-04 19:39:28	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0xd34a60…
11-04 19:21:21	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	233	2¢	$6	0x88e96e…
11-04 19:21:04	Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x2ec205…
11-04 18:56:36	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x3159c1…
11-04 18:54:54	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x2b8f92…
11-04 17:41:46	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0xba837a…
11-03 21:50:22	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	SELL	408	100¢	$407	0x736512…
11-03 21:50:03	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	No	SELL	244	98¢	$240	0x4dcae6…
11-03 21:30:22	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	172	22¢	$38	0x9032ac…
11-03 21:19:42	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xb35677…
11-03 20:56:34	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x99b5b7…
11-03 20:56:22	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x728ce1…
11-03 20:16:00	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	444	99¢	$440	0xd3ec19…
11-03 20:01:15	Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0xde5129…
11-02 20:35:16	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	481	100¢	$480	0xc3d1ff…
11-02 20:34:39	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x01f195…
11-02 20:02:31	Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x0fa22a…
11-02 18:20:37	Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x4aab2a…
11-02 18:15:55	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x85ad18…
11-02 17:57:22	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x24cbfb…
11-02 17:40:39	Spread: Hapoel Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x467bd2…
11-02 10:43:00	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	268	47¢	$126	0xbdfcb1…
11-02 10:42:28	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,429	7¢	$100	0x9d9088…
11-01 18:22:19	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	426	99¢	$421	0x3d8744…
11-01 16:40:12	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xdf529c…
11-01 16:39:34	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xc47b3d…
11-01 14:07:28	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xa4f84c…
10-31 21:44:12	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	769	100¢	$768	0x3cfa7d…
10-31 19:46:15	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	769	26¢	$200	0x0b1e59…
10-31 17:29:27	FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	630	3¢	$19	0x7745a0…
10-31 17:28:52	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund to score first vs. FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x60410b…
10-31 15:40:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x495c13…
10-31 11:51:49	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xe09d11…
10-30 21:40:36	Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)	Barcelona	SELL	253	99¢	$250	0x46cc9b…
10-30 20:17:27	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x8bdf07…
10-30 19:34:55	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	418	1¢	$4	0x734743…
10-30 19:33:51	Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)	Barcelona	BUY	253	57¢	$144	0x23773a…
10-30 19:30:03	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	377	99¢	$374	0xb8f782…
10-30 19:29:49	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	SELL	711	100¢	$710	0xf56f3e…
10-30 19:18:19	Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xc10259…
10-30 18:24:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc03e40…
10-30 18:20:25	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x83766d…
10-30 18:20:18	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x227b11…
10-30 18:13:22	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	418	48¢	$200	0x9b022d…
10-30 16:46:07	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x66ba01…
10-30 16:41:36	BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xc1743c…
10-30 11:55:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,394	40¢	$558	0x1e1f9b…
10-29 15:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x395876…
10-29 04:11:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,006	45¢	$903	0x2a79cd…
10-28 23:10:08	1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x4e8b61…
10-28 23:08:14	1H Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	240	48¢	$115	0x828210…
10-28 21:24:17	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	415	100¢	$415	0x43d607…
10-28 20:35:59	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	415	48¢	$200	0x98fa56…
10-28 05:02:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	600	51¢	$306	0x4550dd…
10-28 00:27:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0xf8bf53…
10-28 00:23:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,400	43¢	$1,032	0x5ed10d…
10-27 23:35:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9,361	93¢	$8,746	0x2ef2dd…