Realized P&L
+$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
-$52
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
76
Trades
6,043
lifetime
Volume
$669.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$4.64K
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 07-19 14:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
72% 51% +$800
Politics
23% 67% +$361
Crypto
5%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 144 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2,530 $-2,378 94¢ $-2391 $-13 07-09 17:08
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -1,553 $-1,146 70¢ $-1095 +$51 06-13 08:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -883 $-742 76¢ $-667 +$75 07-07 18:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -491 $-388 88¢ $-429 $-42 06-02 15:08
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -51 $-41 79¢ $-40 +$1 07-16 16:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,262 $109 $-15 $-124 07-04 19:35