Understated-Patient 0xefde9f…9c783d
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$469
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
25,230
lifetime
Volume
$2.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$6.04K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
66% 56% $-7,661
Other
27% 56% $-519
Crypto
5% 100% +$12
Sports
2% 50% $-176
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 473 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1,000 $610 100¢ $996 +$385 06-18 08:06
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No -958 $-527 87¢ $-834 $-307 05-29 20:49
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +766 $648 91¢ $697 +$48 06-30 19:50
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -1,100 $-616 57¢ $-632 $-16 06-02 14:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -540 $-508 100¢ $-539 $-32 06-14 13:41
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +3,293 $622 15¢ $477 $-145 06-20 03:55
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -663 $-405 71¢ $-471 $-66 06-06 02:31
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +1,000 $420 42¢ $425 +$5 06-29 05:02
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +292 $174 99¢ $289 +$115 06-13 20:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $320 28¢ $275 $-45 06-30 20:09
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 05-27 20:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +218 $65 60¢ $130 +$64 06-28 14:38
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -330 $-111 16¢ $-54 +$57 06-11 22:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -2,726 $-709 0¢ $-12 +$697 06-17 10:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +1,210 $1,313 0¢ $3 $-1,310 06-19 20:19
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -2 $-1 71¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 11:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +6 $-17 16¢ $1 +$18 06-30 00:37
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026? Yes -82 $-2 0¢ $-0 +$2 06-15 13:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-56 70¢ $0 +$56 06-22 16:01
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -24 $-4 0¢ $-0 +$4 06-14 11:39