Understated-Patient 0xefde9f…9c783d
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$8.34K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.62K
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
23
Trades
26,430
lifetime
Volume
$2.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$4.75K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
64% 56% $-7,661
Other
28% 56% $-519
Crypto
5% 100% +$12
Sports
2% 50% $-176
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 473 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +3,922 $1,546 40¢ $1.6K +$23 07-07 11:44
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No -958 $-527 90¢ $-862 $-335 05-29 20:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,000 $780 72¢ $715 $-65 07-15 19:33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -1,100 $-616 60¢ $-660 $-44 06-02 14:11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -663 $-405 68¢ $-454 $-50 06-06 02:31
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +200 $199 100¢ $200 +$1 05-27 20:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +218 $-3 68¢ $147 +$150 07-13 10:28
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? Yes -330 $-111 23¢ $-76 +$35 06-11 22:23
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +84 $43 76¢ $64 +$21 07-14 04:12
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -2 $-1 68¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-56 99¢ $0 +$56 06-22 16:01
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +0 $-56 91¢ $0 +$56 07-03 04:54
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +0 $-46 34¢ $0 +$46 07-20 04:10
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -0 $-18 28¢ $-0 +$18 07-20 15:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $1,508 1¢ $0 $-1,508 07-15 12:04
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $25 18¢ $0 $-25 07-05 22:34