Understated-Patient 0xefde9f…9c783d
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$24.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$58
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
1,598
Trades
33,556
lifetime
Volume
$3.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$100
Open exposure
$12.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 18:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Politics
60% 60% -$18,480
Other
31% 59% -$8,361
Crypto
5% 59% -$2,120
Sports
4% 58% +$5,489
Tech
1% 60% -$1,561
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$173
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +1,500 $1,114 78¢ $1.2K +$49 10-27 02:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,125 $831 97¢ $1.1K +$260 10-24 14:21
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 $880 99¢ $990 +$110 10-23 19:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +900 $661 94¢ $841 +$181 10-25 21:56
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +2,900 $596 28¢ $798 +$201 10-24 20:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,850 $900 36¢ $671 -$230 10-26 00:20
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,200 $600 52¢ $630 +$30 10-27 00:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +4,000 $413 12¢ $460 +$47 10-18 06:33
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +700 $469 66¢ $458 -$10 10-25 08:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +600 $370 74¢ $441 +$71 10-26 18:25
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +600 $438 72¢ $432 -$6 10-23 16:59
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +600 $444 72¢ $429 -$15 10-26 15:43
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $425 86¢ $428 +$2 10-25 22:54
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? No +1,200 $516 36¢ $426 -$90 10-17 03:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +750 $411 55¢ $415 +$4 10-26 08:42
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Yes +1,568 $428 25¢ $392 -$36 10-27 14:11
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +450 $315 68¢ $304 -$11 10-26 20:38
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +463 $287 60¢ $280 -$7 10-26 11:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +288 $160 88¢ $255 +$95 10-15 12:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +407 $124 60¢ $242 +$118 10-26 22:56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +500 $300 46¢ $230 -$70 10-25 11:20
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +250 $177 90¢ $225 +$48 10-26 17:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +813 $314 27¢ $220 -$95 10-26 19:42
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +444 $161 46¢ $204 +$44 10-27 00:26
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $296 18¢ $185 -$111 10-26 16:27
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +250 $177 70¢ $176 -$1 10-26 16:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +372 $103 34¢ $128 +$25 10-25 23:58
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,394 $106 8¢ $119 +$12 10-27 02:42
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +576 $80 16¢ $95 +$15 10-27 08:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,100 $644 6¢ $72 -$573 10-27 18:40