Profuse-Swine-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,188

lifetime

Volume

$260.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$63

1 position

First seen

2026-04-30

last 07-21 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

66% 25% $-394

Other

32% 0% $-761

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes		+846	$68	8¢	$63	$-4	07-12 17:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	108	$22.4K	72,877	85,806	-12,929	open	—	06-26 09:08
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	49	$18.5K	39,371	54,915	-15,544	open	—	06-14 20:34
israel closes its airspace by june 8	43	$10.3K	15,046	15,046	+0	open	—	06-08 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	37	$9.5K	77,989	66,603	+11,385	open	—	05-24 13:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	25	$8.6K	20,554	20,554	-0	open	—	07-21 04:56
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	37	$8.5K	16,715	16,244	+471	open	—	06-24 22:17
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	39	$8.2K	19,708	23,980	-4,271	open	—	06-29 10:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	64	$7.3K	34,482	34,482	-0	open	—	07-20 21:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	84	$6.1K	89,980	91,793	-1,814	open	—	06-14 16:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	36	$5.8K	21,176	11,852	+9,324	open	—	07-21 14:29
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	21	$5.7K	13,952	2,556	+11,397	open	—	07-05 23:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	47	$4.8K	63,504	66,639	-3,135	open	—	05-26 10:09
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	14	$4.8K	7,080	5,170	+1,910	open	—	06-14 22:35
Iran leadership change by May 31?	82	$4.3K	24,680	30,933	-6,253	open	—	05-23 17:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	43	$4.3K	33,625	27,670	+5,955	open	—	06-09 11:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$4.0K	27,197	27,197	+0	open	—	05-26 19:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	16	$4.0K	20,273	16,182	+4,091	open	—	05-26 04:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	104	$3.5K	50,804	45,032	+5,773	open	—	05-18 15:16
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	20	$3.5K	14,330	14,330	+0	open	—	07-19 17:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	49	$3.4K	19,026	14,794	+4,232	No	+$13	05-08 19:26
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	16	$3.2K	2,014	2,014	+0	open	—	07-17 17:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	35	$3.2K	62,310	53,133	+9,177	open	—	07-18 20:30
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	12	$3.2K	5,394	5,394	+0	open	—	07-12 13:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$3.1K	5,395	5,395	+0	open	—	05-10 16:57
Iran leadership change by December 31?	5	$3.1K	8,681	8,681	+0	open	—	07-12 12:23
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	10	$2.9K	2,874	2,874	+0	open	—	06-04 08:42
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	26	$2.7K	9,329	9,329	+0	open	—	05-29 15:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	48	$2.6K	18,997	18,010	+987	open	—	05-22 23:02
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	15	$2.5K	10,908	10,075	+833	open	—	06-26 18:16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	22	$2.4K	6,640	0	+6,640	open	—	05-15 16:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 14:29:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xa29726…
07-21 14:26:42	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,333	6¢	$80	0xcc35c6…
07-21 13:42:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x5cba7e…
07-21 08:02:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x73efd7…
07-21 08:02:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	133	11¢	$15	0x98cc71…
07-21 08:02:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x3dbe3d…
07-21 06:32:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	556	11¢	$61	0x4b057a…
07-21 06:15:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	1,026	11¢	$113	0xedd5f7…
07-21 05:42:25	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	4,413	2¢	$109	0xf45c4e…
07-21 05:36:16	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	Yes	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0x6ff67e…
07-21 05:06:21	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	1,800	4¢	$74	0xdfa066…
07-21 04:56:49	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	877	4¢	$38	0xd9e62b…
07-21 04:56:40	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	1,085	2¢	$25	0xe90231…
07-21 04:56:33	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	192	22¢	$41	0x7f19fb…
07-21 04:56:24	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x5734e0…
07-21 04:56:18	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	625	11¢	$70	0xa795f7…
07-21 04:56:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	25¢	$150	0x1c0484…
07-20 21:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	609	10¢	$61	0xdb740e…
07-20 21:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	600	10¢	$60	0x6a0b39…
07-20 21:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,718	10¢	$572	0x4dccf1…
07-20 21:20:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	373	10¢	$37	0x2d2809…
07-20 21:20:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0x79998e…
07-20 19:53:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xaba89c…
07-20 17:31:03	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	877	6¢	$50	0xab2273…
07-20 17:30:55	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	1,085	5¢	$50	0x6f18d4…
07-20 17:17:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,067	4¢	$48	0x0e762c…
07-20 16:47:09	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	773	11¢	$85	0xabca2a…
07-20 16:44:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,228	4¢	$100	0x79feb5…
07-20 12:25:00	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	972	7¢	$68	0x701587…
07-20 12:24:39	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x6e72ee…
07-20 12:24:34	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x377235…
07-20 12:24:33	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x492a16…
07-20 12:09:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	555	9¢	$50	0x5b6571…
07-20 12:09:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x09e966…
07-20 11:04:43	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0b2c39…
07-20 10:23:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0xaafc05…
07-20 10:23:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x23bf48…
07-20 10:23:27	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x04712e…
07-20 10:03:30	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x115240…
07-20 09:41:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	483	12¢	$58	0x4e57b6…
07-20 09:29:48	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd58d91…
07-20 09:28:55	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x7418c4…
07-20 09:27:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	819	7¢	$57	0xa3e8cb…
07-20 09:24:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	442	7¢	$31	0x6f0ccb…
07-20 09:19:42	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	327	7¢	$23	0x465b2a…
07-20 09:02:40	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xf3e650…
07-20 09:02:40	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x0e42f7…
07-20 09:02:39	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xdb0272…
07-20 08:45:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf84930…
07-20 08:45:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x4d927f…
07-20 08:45:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xf68364…
07-20 08:45:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x359e9c…
07-20 08:45:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xf4c10b…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	507	5¢	$26	0xfc4748…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xbdd115…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	370	5¢	$19	0xaa85f3…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0x6e9197…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x3bb59f…
07-20 08:40:22	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	381	5¢	$19	0x1c754c…
07-20 08:40:19	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	3,478	5¢	$177	0x854df0…
07-20 08:39:04	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x331b63…
07-20 08:39:01	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x63894b…
07-20 08:38:58	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x772a1f…
07-20 08:38:54	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x29986d…
07-20 08:38:51	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x89bffd…
07-20 08:38:46	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe1c4dd…
07-20 08:38:42	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xd0fe82…
07-20 08:38:39	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa87dff…
07-20 08:38:36	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcefff4…
07-20 08:38:33	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa523a9…
07-20 08:38:30	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x34e4cf…
07-20 08:38:27	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xc1423a…
07-20 08:38:24	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x9d2431…
07-20 08:37:40	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x41b808…
07-20 08:37:40	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x2f9fb6…
07-20 08:37:39	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x89e5fd…
07-20 08:37:37	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	375	11¢	$41	0x3ad366…
07-20 08:35:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x90b86c…
07-20 08:34:10	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xbb25f3…
07-20 08:34:09	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x0c311d…
07-20 08:34:07	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x47f6b7…
07-20 08:34:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xc470ea…
07-20 08:34:06	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3a8ce5…
07-20 08:32:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xab634e…
07-20 08:32:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x01ea20…
07-20 08:32:54	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xce8313…
07-20 08:32:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xc33648…
07-20 08:31:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	1,240	16¢	$200	0xf82403…
07-20 08:30:42	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	735	7¢	$50	0xac98c1…
07-20 08:30:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0xdb3b17…
07-20 08:30:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x5cdf3e…
07-20 08:30:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,247	9¢	$200	0x16b3f1…
07-20 08:27:30	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xd82b8f…
07-20 08:27:30	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x79aae7…
07-20 08:27:28	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x86797c…
07-20 08:27:21	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x138922…
07-20 08:27:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x43d191…
07-20 08:25:00	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7080d8…
07-20 08:23:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	223	7¢	$16	0xd9b73f…
07-20 08:22:12	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x83a156…