Realized P&L
-$1.16K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.16K
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,603
lifetime
Volume
$200.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$239
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-30 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
66% 25% $-394
Other
34% 0% $-761
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -12,929 $-1,765 $-97 +$1,668 06-26 09:08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -820 $-82 11¢ $-86 $-4 06-30 07:57
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +12,731 $15 $25 +$10 06-30 19:25
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +9,881 $61 $10 $-51 06-28 18:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -4,271 $-4,905 $-9 +$4,897 06-29 10:48
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,089 $-43 $-7 +$36 06-15 10:20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -5,167 $-536 $-5 +$531 06-14 16:10
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +171 $-73 $1 +$74 06-14 11:07