Profuse-Swine-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.00K

Unrealized P&L

-$900

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

329

Trades

4,203

lifetime

Volume

$432.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$103

Open exposure

$280

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-28 23:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Politics

63% 42% +$1,279

Other

33% 28% +$2,100

Sports

3% 24% -$1,383

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$88	14¢	$135	+$47	10-27 08:33
Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	+20,093	$566	1¢	$111	-$456	10-28 23:11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	+2,118	$506	1¢	$23	-$483	10-22 12:00
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+133	$20	8¢	$11	-$9	10-28 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	120	$26.5K	88,264	88,264	+0	No	-$718	06-26 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	97	$19.8K	85,172	85,172	+0	open	—	09-15 13:16
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	53	$19.3K	57,915	57,915	+0	No	+$3,825	06-14 20:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	37	$14.4K	31,809	31,809	+0	open	—	08-01 19:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$10.6K	9,023	9,023	+0	open	—	10-27 23:36
israel closes its airspace by june 8	43	$10.3K	15,046	15,046	+0	No	-$629	06-08 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	39	$10.2K	77,989	77,989	+0	No	+$191	05-24 13:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	111	$9.8K	113,611	113,611	+0	No	+$553	06-14 16:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	12	$9.4K	31,377	31,377	+0	No	-$51	07-28 18:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	44	$9.4K	26,980	26,980	+0	No	+$4,983	06-29 10:48
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	41	$8.6K	16,715	16,715	+0	No	+$1,564	06-24 22:17
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	56	$8.4K	36,801	35,317	+1,485	No	-$1,420	07-31 19:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$7.3K	14,542	14,542	+0	open	—	10-27 16:06
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	120	$6.5K	103,073	41,382	+61,690	No	-$959	09-30 11:53
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	21	$5.7K	13,952	2,556	+11,397	Yes	+$7,122	07-05 23:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$5.3K	8,170	5,170	+3,000	Yes	-$696	06-14 22:35
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$5.2K	55,550	48,894	+6,656	No	-$268	06-29 23:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	48	$5.0K	66,639	66,639	+0	No	-$981	05-26 10:09
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	45	$4.9K	38,268	27,670	+10,598	No	-$1,909	06-09 11:36
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	21	$4.6K	10,208	10,208	+0	Yes	+$669	07-24 19:10
Iran leadership change by May 31?	83	$4.5K	30,933	30,933	+0	No	-$314	05-23 17:39
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	27	$4.3K	16,070	16,070	+0	No	+$410	07-25 01:04
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	220	$4.2K	22,592	15,093	+7,499	No	-$937	08-30 19:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$4.1K	20,273	20,273	+0	No	+$156	05-26 04:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$4.0K	27,197	27,197	+0	No	-$63	05-26 19:49
Iran leadership change by December 31?	8	$3.8K	12,181	11,181	+1,000	open	—	10-27 08:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	105	$3.8K	55,156	45,032	+10,125	No	-$733	05-18 15:16
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	38	$3.6K	66,564	66,564	+0	No	+$201	07-21 10:10
Iran leadership change by June 30?	47	$3.5K	33,077	23,196	+9,881	No	+$8	06-28 18:11
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	11	$3.4K	6,595	6,595	+0	open	—	08-16 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:11:01	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xef8448…
10-28 22:58:29	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0xc826ac…
10-28 20:36:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xa9c5c1…
10-28 17:51:10	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x76b404…
10-28 12:47:02	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x8cb4c8…
10-28 11:36:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	400	22¢	$87	0xb27c50…
10-28 08:28:04	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$46	0xd15098…
10-28 02:15:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	399	25¢	$100	0xda9a1d…
10-28 01:04:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7e6a29…
10-28 01:03:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x109957…
10-27 23:36:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8,023	95¢	$7,622	0x4e618b…
10-27 23:07:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	631	34¢	$212	0x836540…
10-27 23:02:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	631	40¢	$250	0x3e4406…
10-27 20:09:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,089	55¢	$599	0x7f23b7…
10-27 20:09:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	28	55¢	$16	0x9b57d5…
10-27 20:09:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	46	55¢	$25	0x6a93a2…
10-27 20:08:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xf5f7c6…
10-27 20:08:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	55	55¢	$30	0x1d7dc7…
10-27 20:08:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0xbd5bf6…
10-27 20:08:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x19ed09…
10-27 20:08:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	300	55¢	$165	0x41db98…
10-27 20:08:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xb1fa1a…
10-27 20:08:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x2184b2…
10-27 20:08:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	282	55¢	$155	0x525857…
10-27 20:08:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x4f85fc…
10-27 20:01:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0xf04be3…
10-27 20:01:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	968	50¢	$484	0xeec9a2…
10-27 20:00:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	459	22¢	$100	0x8b9a03…
10-27 19:55:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa05405…
10-27 19:42:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x3fead2…
10-27 19:37:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xa60c9f…
10-27 19:20:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x1ce1a9…
10-27 19:08:17	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	744	29¢	$217	0x556185…
10-27 19:04:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x27c923…
10-27 19:04:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	275	33¢	$91	0xfd2c30…
10-27 19:04:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	624	33¢	$206	0x6e67e9…
10-27 18:57:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x1a17ff…
10-27 18:57:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x9cd387…
10-27 18:57:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8cd897…
10-27 18:57:18	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x0a083e…
10-27 18:57:12	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x964f2e…
10-27 18:57:12	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0x42dd36…
10-27 18:44:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0x8f4a2e…
10-27 18:42:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,250	16¢	$200	0xd4e8b9…
10-27 18:39:23	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x8ad3f8…
10-27 18:37:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x18f315…
10-27 18:33:09	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x7823eb…
10-27 18:27:56	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	355	22¢	$79	0xa37978…
10-27 18:26:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	127	37¢	$47	0xc56c19…
10-27 18:26:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$38	0x7fe1f7…
10-27 18:05:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x0ca6b0…
10-27 17:55:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xdcbd3a…
10-27 17:25:30	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0xacba4e…
10-27 17:13:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0xeada1d…
10-27 17:09:06	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x4cc65c…
10-27 16:56:06	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0xe0585d…
10-27 16:06:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,000	22¢	$660	0x920269…
10-27 15:41:27	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x8df7dd…
10-27 15:35:35	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x5eecc2…
10-27 15:35:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xb52e47…
10-27 15:22:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,655	22¢	$804	0xe14d36…
10-27 13:36:23	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,501	1¢	$33	0x110fdc…
10-27 13:21:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	127	31¢	$40	0x18ca69…
10-27 13:21:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0x740245…
10-27 13:00:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,291	22¢	$284	0x97130e…
10-27 13:00:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,364	22¢	$300	0xc8e1c8…
10-27 08:33:02	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x559994…
10-27 02:24:08	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x587ac2…
10-26 23:44:48	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xc2bb85…
10-26 19:28:00	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xc6106f…
10-26 17:28:42	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xe7c161…
10-26 17:28:42	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xcf4bbd…
10-26 17:28:41	Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0xbe61fd…
10-26 16:00:38	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x54034a…
10-26 15:56:54	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,001	1¢	$30	0x2964ef…
10-26 10:02:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,693	27¢	$727	0x87af50…
10-25 22:12:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x47d877…
10-25 21:49:11	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x32aba8…
10-25 21:46:33	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	319	69¢	$220	0x253399…
10-25 20:20:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x81face…
10-25 20:14:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x746763…
10-25 20:10:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x679386…
10-25 20:05:09	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	190	21¢	$40	0xaf56b1…
10-25 11:51:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0x6f2add…
10-25 11:51:09	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,243	6¢	$72	0x3db9ea…
10-25 09:09:44	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x14a972…
10-24 20:29:33	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xa59699…
10-24 20:18:17	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xdd4bce…
10-24 19:25:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xe64059…
10-24 15:21:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0x5b3128…
10-24 14:38:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	114	27¢	$31	0x0e19fb…
10-24 14:32:39	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$32	0xbd8c11…
10-24 14:03:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	64	27¢	$17	0xdd5719…
10-24 13:52:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0xd7ab8f…
10-24 13:51:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0x1dffe5…
10-24 13:35:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x08634a…
10-24 13:34:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	272	27¢	$73	0xac6f88…
10-24 11:57:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,111	27¢	$300	0x5d630a…
10-23 16:08:02	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	889	9¢	$80	0xfbe178…
10-23 08:44:00	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	646	9¢	$58	0xa06db4…