Profuse-Swine-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$146

Unrealized P&L

-$326

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,316 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.37K

$440.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$864

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-07 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Politics

64% 42% +$6,491

Other

33% 28% +$2,724

Sports

3% 24% -$1,383

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	+18,517	$1,060	4¢	$676	-$384	11-06 22:16
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,024	$47	8¢	$79	+$32	11-05 17:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	+402	$40	17¢	$69	+$29	11-05 17:58
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	+110	$8	30¢	$34	+$26	11-05 17:58
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+13	-$1	29¢	$4	+$4	11-04 22:56
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	+20	$4	12¢	$2	-$2	10-25 09:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+0	$33	1¢	$0	-$33	11-06 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	120	$26.5K	88,264	88,264	+0	No	-$718	06-26 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	97	$19.8K	85,172	85,172	+0	open	—	09-15 13:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	53	$19.3K	57,915	57,915	+0	No	+$3,825	06-14 20:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	37	$14.4K	31,809	31,809	+0	open	—	08-01 19:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$10.6K	9,023	9,023	+0	Yes	+$5,265	10-27 23:36
israel closes its airspace by june 8	43	$10.3K	15,046	15,046	+0	No	-$629	06-08 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	39	$10.2K	77,989	77,989	+0	No	+$191	05-24 13:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	111	$9.8K	113,611	113,611	+0	No	+$553	06-14 16:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	12	$9.4K	31,377	31,377	+0	No	-$51	07-28 18:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	44	$9.4K	26,980	26,980	+0	No	+$4,983	06-29 10:48
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	41	$8.6K	16,715	16,715	+0	No	+$1,564	06-24 22:17
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	56	$8.4K	36,801	35,317	+1,485	No	-$1,420	07-31 19:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$7.3K	14,542	14,542	+0	open	—	10-27 16:06
Iran leadership change by September 30?	120	$6.5K	103,073	41,382	+61,690	No	-$959	09-30 11:53
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	21	$5.7K	13,952	2,556	+11,397	Yes	+$7,122	07-05 23:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$5.3K	8,170	5,170	+3,000	Yes	-$696	06-14 22:35
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$5.2K	55,550	48,894	+6,656	No	-$268	06-29 23:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	48	$5.0K	66,639	66,639	+0	No	-$981	05-26 10:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	45	$4.9K	38,268	27,670	+10,598	No	-$1,909	06-09 11:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	21	$4.6K	10,208	10,208	+0	Yes	+$669	07-24 19:10
Iran leadership change by May 31?	83	$4.5K	30,933	30,933	+0	No	-$314	05-23 17:39
Iran leadership change by December 31?	15	$4.5K	14,681	14,681	+0	open	—	11-07 10:58
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	27	$4.3K	16,070	16,070	+0	No	+$410	07-25 01:04
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	220	$4.2K	22,592	15,093	+7,499	No	-$937	08-30 19:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$4.1K	20,273	20,273	+0	No	+$156	05-26 04:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$4.0K	27,197	27,197	+0	No	-$63	05-26 19:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	105	$3.8K	55,156	45,032	+10,125	No	-$733	05-18 15:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	38	$3.6K	66,564	66,564	+0	No	+$201	07-21 10:10
Iran leadership change by June 30?	47	$3.5K	33,077	23,196	+9,881	No	+$8	06-28 18:11
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	11	$3.4K	6,595	6,595	+0	open	—	08-16 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 16:17:19	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	283	44¢	$125	0xbb0009…
11-07 15:45:16	Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xb0a4a4…
11-07 12:32:27	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,190	23¢	$275	0x4b4a43…
11-07 10:58:21	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,438	8¢	$115	0x675da3…
11-06 22:17:34	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0xd05add…
11-06 22:16:39	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0xaf523e…
11-06 22:16:19	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	997	5¢	$50	0x6911dd…
11-06 22:16:01	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0xdf727a…
11-06 22:15:43	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	4,076	5¢	$200	0x536384…
11-06 21:39:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	926	4¢	$40	0x41f579…
11-06 21:39:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	926	5¢	$50	0xeee045…
11-06 21:22:16	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	654	22¢	$144	0xd00c34…
11-06 16:58:21	Besiktas vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	288	52¢	$150	0x8942f7…
11-06 14:20:18	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	SELL	3,000	4¢	$126	0x3467e3…
11-06 14:19:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	831	5¢	$38	0x3f47f4…
11-06 13:23:54	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0xd3e0c9…
11-06 13:23:04	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x746c11…
11-06 13:20:58	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x342989…
11-06 13:20:21	Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0xbe09ef…
11-06 12:30:13	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0x96d17e…
11-06 11:51:03	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	22¢	$13	0x794a51…
11-06 10:53:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	727	6¢	$43	0x15a072…
11-06 10:38:48	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x0acd6e…
11-06 05:07:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0xd30505…
11-06 03:57:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x368c8b…
11-06 01:14:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	359	6¢	$22	0x902cb9…
11-06 00:44:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xe8b7bf…
11-06 00:44:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	73	6¢	$4	0xf644fa…
11-06 00:44:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	136	6¢	$8	0xc5286b…
11-06 00:36:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	800	6¢	$48	0x317729…
11-06 00:31:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x34d93c…
11-05 23:47:12	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	909	100¢	$908	0xb6f227…
11-05 23:04:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xabee42…
11-05 23:04:34	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	3,302	5¢	$150	0xe19f21…
11-05 22:49:27	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0xffebd1…
11-05 22:10:10	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$45	0x5937b7…
11-05 20:33:22	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Barcelona	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xf96283…
11-05 20:33:07	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Barcelona	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	378	8¢	$30	0xa712f0…
11-05 19:57:43	Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x31b227…
11-05 19:08:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	187	6¢	$11	0xb6e5ae…
11-05 19:07:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	71	5¢	$4	0x2133a0…
11-05 19:04:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	546	2¢	$9	0x18bf11…
11-05 18:27:42	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x019766…
11-05 17:58:27	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0x041011…
11-05 17:58:21	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	402	10¢	$40	0x9961f0…
11-05 17:57:06	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,024	6¢	$60	0x40d60d…
11-05 15:23:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	546	2¢	$10	0xee02df…
11-05 15:06:52	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xcbd4f1…
11-05 14:52:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x908182…
11-04 22:56:57	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x9b4133…
11-04 21:41:04	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x3176a2…
11-04 18:25:40	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x0dc2e7…
11-04 17:41:39	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$34	0xd6a895…
11-04 14:14:04	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0xbd486a…
11-04 08:15:58	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	631	5¢	$32	0xce5789…
11-04 06:58:09	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xe2b28a…
11-04 06:58:07	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	369	5¢	$18	0x480cc6…
11-03 22:46:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	312	12¢	$37	0x70dc74…
11-03 18:53:24	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	28¢	$78	0x83e28c…
11-03 16:49:31	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x5a3775…
11-03 16:49:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	30¢	$30	0x90d655…
11-03 16:23:39	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2c5a7d…
11-03 15:21:46	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,995	6¢	$120	0x060ea0…
11-03 14:58:16	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	28¢	$135	0x9c96f9…
11-03 08:44:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,250	13¢	$162	0xac9e1c…
11-03 08:43:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,293	25¢	$329	0xbf03e2…
11-03 03:10:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	220	29¢	$64	0xa5772d…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xea4680…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	85	29¢	$25	0xdc80b3…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xd64229…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	174	29¢	$50	0xb8e180…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x8ae5f1…
11-03 00:43:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	81	70¢	$56	0x8fb3c2…
11-02 20:54:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x7f6da4…
11-02 20:54:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	340	8¢	$27	0xfea0e5…
11-02 20:53:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0xd4b0e3…
11-02 20:15:24	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0c9407…
11-02 18:11:13	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,600	7¢	$112	0x62c597…
11-02 13:56:22	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	34¢	$44	0x9a6a7e…
11-02 11:19:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x5556b5…
11-02 09:41:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0xa1d83b…
11-02 09:40:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0xabe65b…
11-01 19:32:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,192	25¢	$298	0xf344d5…
11-01 18:15:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	700	20¢	$140	0x9bf292…
11-01 08:52:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	2,000	12¢	$247	0x944b84…
11-01 07:41:00	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x6b9a3e…
11-01 07:40:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	683	14¢	$96	0x2da555…
11-01 06:44:10	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0xddfa3f…
11-01 06:44:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x76599f…
11-01 06:44:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x6ff980…
11-01 05:58:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	1,356	15¢	$203	0xa1e311…
11-01 03:07:28	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	190	9¢	$17	0x3bb0eb…
11-01 02:52:00	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xec5508…
11-01 02:30:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5bdcbd…
11-01 01:50:03	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xbb641f…
11-01 01:16:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc09553…
11-01 01:07:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	319	15¢	$48	0x8c781b…
11-01 00:37:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xd48136…
11-01 00:30:07	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x75cf9d…
10-31 23:43:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	187	14¢	$26	0x805b9a…