Profuse-Swine-Design — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$339

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

4,268 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$343

$437.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$497

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-04 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Politics

64% 42% +$6,484

Other

33% 27% +$1,842

Sports

3% 24% -$1,383

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	+12,000	$735	4¢	$420	-$315	11-04 21:41
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	+938	$98	8¢	$70	-$28	11-03 22:46
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+13	-$1	26¢	$3	+$4	11-04 22:56
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?	Yes	+20	$4	15¢	$3	-$1	10-25 09:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	120	$26.5K	88,264	88,264	+0	No	-$718	06-26 09:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	97	$19.8K	85,172	85,172	+0	open	—	09-15 13:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?	53	$19.3K	57,915	57,915	+0	No	+$3,825	06-14 20:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	37	$14.4K	31,809	31,809	+0	open	—	08-01 19:34
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	16	$10.6K	9,023	9,023	+0	Yes	+$5,265	10-27 23:36
israel closes its airspace by june 8	43	$10.3K	15,046	15,046	+0	No	-$629	06-08 12:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	39	$10.2K	77,989	77,989	+0	No	+$191	05-24 13:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	111	$9.8K	113,611	113,611	+0	No	+$553	06-14 16:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	12	$9.4K	31,377	31,377	+0	No	-$51	07-28 18:12
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	44	$9.4K	26,980	26,980	+0	No	+$4,983	06-29 10:48
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	41	$8.6K	16,715	16,715	+0	No	+$1,564	06-24 22:17
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?	56	$8.4K	36,801	35,317	+1,485	No	-$1,420	07-31 19:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	38	$7.3K	14,542	14,542	+0	open	—	10-27 16:06
Iran leadership change by September 30?	120	$6.5K	103,073	41,382	+61,690	No	-$959	09-30 11:53
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	21	$5.7K	13,952	2,556	+11,397	Yes	+$7,122	07-05 23:06
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$5.3K	8,170	5,170	+3,000	Yes	-$696	06-14 22:35
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$5.2K	55,550	48,894	+6,656	No	-$268	06-29 23:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	48	$5.0K	66,639	66,639	+0	No	-$981	05-26 10:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	45	$4.9K	38,268	27,670	+10,598	No	-$1,909	06-09 11:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?	21	$4.6K	10,208	10,208	+0	Yes	+$669	07-24 19:10
Iran leadership change by May 31?	83	$4.5K	30,933	30,933	+0	No	-$314	05-23 17:39
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	27	$4.3K	16,070	16,070	+0	No	+$410	07-25 01:04
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	220	$4.2K	22,592	15,093	+7,499	No	-$937	08-30 19:36
Iran leadership change by December 31?	12	$4.2K	13,681	12,743	+938	open	—	11-03 22:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$4.1K	20,273	20,273	+0	No	+$156	05-26 04:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	18	$4.0K	27,197	27,197	+0	No	-$63	05-26 19:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	105	$3.8K	55,156	45,032	+10,125	No	-$733	05-18 15:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?	38	$3.6K	66,564	66,564	+0	No	+$201	07-21 10:10
Iran leadership change by June 30?	47	$3.5K	33,077	23,196	+9,881	No	+$8	06-28 18:11
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	11	$3.4K	6,595	6,595	+0	open	—	08-16 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:56:57	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x9b4133…
11-04 21:41:04	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x3176a2…
11-04 18:25:40	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$30	0x0dc2e7…
11-04 17:41:39	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	3¢	$34	0xd6a895…
11-04 14:14:04	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$80	0xbd486a…
11-04 08:15:58	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	631	5¢	$32	0xce5789…
11-04 06:58:09	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xe2b28a…
11-04 06:58:07	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	369	5¢	$18	0x480cc6…
11-03 22:46:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	312	12¢	$37	0x70dc74…
11-03 18:53:24	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	279	28¢	$78	0x83e28c…
11-03 16:49:31	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x5a3775…
11-03 16:49:28	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	30¢	$30	0x90d655…
11-03 16:23:39	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2c5a7d…
11-03 15:21:46	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,995	6¢	$120	0x060ea0…
11-03 14:58:16	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	28¢	$135	0x9c96f9…
11-03 08:44:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,250	13¢	$162	0xac9e1c…
11-03 08:43:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,293	25¢	$329	0xbf03e2…
11-03 03:10:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	220	29¢	$64	0xa5772d…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xea4680…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	85	29¢	$25	0xdc80b3…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xd64229…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	174	29¢	$50	0xb8e180…
11-03 03:07:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x8ae5f1…
11-03 00:43:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	SELL	81	70¢	$56	0x8fb3c2…
11-02 20:54:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	81	10¢	$8	0x7f6da4…
11-02 20:54:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	SELL	340	8¢	$27	0xfea0e5…
11-02 20:53:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	340	6¢	$20	0xd4b0e3…
11-02 20:15:24	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0c9407…
11-02 18:11:13	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,600	7¢	$112	0x62c597…
11-02 13:56:22	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	34¢	$44	0x9a6a7e…
11-02 11:19:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x5556b5…
11-02 09:41:04	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0xa1d83b…
11-02 09:40:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0xabe65b…
11-01 19:32:43	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	SELL	1,192	25¢	$298	0xf344d5…
11-01 18:15:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	SELL	700	20¢	$140	0x9bf292…
11-01 08:52:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	SELL	2,000	12¢	$247	0x944b84…
11-01 07:41:00	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x6b9a3e…
11-01 07:40:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	683	14¢	$96	0x2da555…
11-01 06:44:10	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	117	14¢	$16	0xddfa3f…
11-01 06:44:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x76599f…
11-01 06:44:03	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0x6ff980…
11-01 05:58:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	1,356	15¢	$203	0xa1e311…
11-01 03:07:28	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	190	9¢	$17	0x3bb0eb…
11-01 02:52:00	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xec5508…
11-01 02:30:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5bdcbd…
11-01 01:50:03	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xbb641f…
11-01 01:16:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc09553…
11-01 01:07:28	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	319	15¢	$48	0x8c781b…
11-01 00:37:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xd48136…
11-01 00:30:07	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x75cf9d…
10-31 23:43:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	187	14¢	$26	0x805b9a…
10-31 23:17:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?	No	BUY	215	15¢	$32	0xe2fa7f…
10-31 17:15:36	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,192	25¢	$298	0xfe7cbb…
10-31 14:01:40	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$8	0xc74eb6…
10-31 08:00:33	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	1,852	1¢	$15	0x400b9f…
10-31 01:08:51	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	5¢	$7	0x3c3de6…
10-30 22:19:10	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$21	0x794dbd…
10-30 21:18:25	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x8396b5…
10-30 18:28:18	Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xb545aa…
10-30 18:24:28	Anadolu Efes vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0x9db3e3…
10-30 10:51:06	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	260	0¢	$1	0xd16454…
10-29 10:43:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x097572…
10-29 09:15:28	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x79eb0f…
10-28 23:11:01	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xef8448…
10-28 22:58:29	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0xc826ac…
10-28 20:36:40	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0xa9c5c1…
10-28 17:51:10	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x76b404…
10-28 12:47:02	Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0x8cb4c8…
10-28 11:36:56	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	400	22¢	$87	0xb27c50…
10-28 08:28:04	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$46	0xd15098…
10-28 02:15:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	399	25¢	$100	0xda9a1d…
10-28 01:04:02	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7e6a29…
10-28 01:03:48	Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x109957…
10-27 23:36:36	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8,023	95¢	$7,622	0x4e618b…
10-27 23:07:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	SELL	631	34¢	$212	0x836540…
10-27 23:02:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	631	40¢	$250	0x3e4406…
10-27 20:09:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,089	55¢	$599	0x7f23b7…
10-27 20:09:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	28	55¢	$16	0x9b57d5…
10-27 20:09:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	46	55¢	$25	0x6a93a2…
10-27 20:08:53	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14	55¢	$8	0xf5f7c6…
10-27 20:08:48	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	55	55¢	$30	0x1d7dc7…
10-27 20:08:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$17	0xbd5bf6…
10-27 20:08:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x19ed09…
10-27 20:08:42	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	300	55¢	$165	0x41db98…
10-27 20:08:30	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xb1fa1a…
10-27 20:08:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x2184b2…
10-27 20:08:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	282	55¢	$155	0x525857…
10-27 20:08:09	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x4f85fc…
10-27 20:01:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0xf04be3…
10-27 20:01:32	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	968	50¢	$484	0xeec9a2…
10-27 20:00:02	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	459	22¢	$100	0x8b9a03…
10-27 19:55:39	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xa05405…
10-27 19:42:26	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	32¢	$320	0x3fead2…
10-27 19:37:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xa60c9f…
10-27 19:20:24	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x1ce1a9…
10-27 19:08:17	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	744	29¢	$217	0x556185…
10-27 19:04:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x27c923…
10-27 19:04:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	275	33¢	$91	0xfd2c30…
10-27 19:04:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	624	33¢	$206	0x6e67e9…
10-27 18:57:56	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x1a17ff…