Focused-Jeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$145

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

437

Trades

931

lifetime

Volume

$115.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$356

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 11-09 19:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

59% 25% -$3,201

Politics

35% 26% +$8,558

Sports

4% 30% -$1,797

Crypto

1% 11% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	-513	-$236	50¢	$-254	-$18	05-01 11:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+1,852	$50	3¢	$47	-$3	11-07 12:25
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	-1,101	-$216	2¢	$-23	+$192	07-23 12:09
Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	+1,032	$40	2¢	$20	-$20	11-07 12:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+65	$18	18¢	$12	-$6	11-04 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	38	$9.6K	3,532	8,607	-5,075	No	+$50	05-25 23:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	15	$4.8K	7,940	7,576	+364	Yes	+$3,071	04-21 11:14
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$4.6K	2,658	2,658	+0	No	+$598	03-24 22:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$3.3K	3,434	3,434	+0	No	+$2,933	05-25 23:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$3.3K	4,315	4,315	+0	No	+$532	04-19 14:21
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	13	$3.2K	8,562	6,186	+2,376	No	+$1,250	06-14 14:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	5	$2.5K	2,417	2,417	+0	No	+$2,190	05-25 23:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	3	$2.3K	2,143	2,143	+0	No	+$1,869	05-25 23:13
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	12	$1.8K	5,921	2,112	+3,809	Yes	+$531	04-21 11:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$1.7K	10,114	10,114	+0	No	+$205	05-24 14:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,243	1,243	+0	No	+$805	04-22 08:26
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,177	1,177	+0	Yes	+$320	04-16 15:43
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.5K	15,211	0	+15,211	No	-$1,500	06-10 06:10
cdr atm rso 2026 04 18 atm	8	$1.4K	2,875	389	+2,486	No	-$1,046	04-18 19:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$1.4K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	+$175	04-24 16:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$1.4K	1,142	1,142	+0	No	+$756	03-31 10:47
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	4	$1.3K	9,719	1,378	+8,341	Yes	-$1,040	03-02 15:22
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$1.2K	751	751	+0	No	+$212	03-30 09:18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	2	$1.2K	2,857	0	+2,857	No	-$1,200	05-24 17:39
iran closes its airspace by june 15	3	$1.2K	2,165	2,165	+0	Yes	+$798	06-07 20:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$1.2K	1,510	0	+1,510	Yes	+$318	04-17 15:32
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	3	$1.1K	920	920	+0	Over	+$689	06-17 20:54
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	6	$1.1K	2,392	1,211	+1,182	No	-$377	04-15 19:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$1.0K	2,208	2,208	+0	No	-$200	04-21 11:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$979	6,533	6,533	+0	No	+$279	06-21 21:54
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	2	$966	638	629	+9	76ers	+$299	04-16 03:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$871	845	823	+22	No	+$319	04-08 17:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$870	13,180	961	+12,219	No	+$162	04-30 20:07
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	6	$851	810	810	+0	Yes	+$611	07-15 20:55
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$841	1,292	1,292	+0	No	+$761	07-14 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 19:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe27d12…
11-09 19:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6c1d54…
11-08 20:47:55	Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x769580…
11-08 20:46:54	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xa6191d…
11-08 20:17:22	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xdf40fd…
11-08 06:52:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?	Yes	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe73f6c…
11-07 20:00:49	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	588	16¢	$94	0x3d9710…
11-07 19:57:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x399d4a…
11-07 19:57:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,176	2¢	$20	0x09bfe9…
11-07 17:11:49	Will Maccabi Netanya FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	SELL	125	94¢	$118	0x1d1f3d…
11-07 16:11:07	Will Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Maccabi Netanya FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x08d675…
11-07 16:11:00	Will Maccabi Netanya FC win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xecccc8…
11-07 16:10:37	Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xb7a67a…
11-07 12:25:42	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,852	3¢	$50	0x07b155…
11-07 12:25:18	Iran leadership change by November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,032	4¢	$40	0x6389b1…
11-07 12:24:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	1,165	2¢	$20	0x5acfec…
11-04 21:34:58	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xcd23a8…
11-04 21:34:48	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0x9ab7dc…
11-04 20:08:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x85cc27…
11-04 20:07:40	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xd2ba14…
11-04 20:07:16	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0xce644c…
11-04 20:06:27	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x69e07f…
10-28 07:13:11	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	170	95¢	$161	0x122939…
10-27 09:06:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	170	18¢	$30	0x03494c…
10-27 09:06:00	Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	440	16¢	$70	0xf7ca67…
10-25 20:56:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	297	33¢	$98	0xa2b0f6…
10-25 20:51:17	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x816f4a…
10-20 18:28:23	FC Barcelona to win the second half?	Yes	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0xf88f4a…
10-20 18:27:29	ucl psg fcb 2026 10 20 ags joao cancelo 90029509	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x9e08f7…
10-20 18:26:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0x875922…
10-20 18:26:20	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	139	7¢	$10	0x6343cc…
10-20 18:25:39	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xb35487…
10-20 18:25:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,985	12¢	$238	0x2aa20c…
10-19 18:00:11	Will Beitar Jerusalem FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x03cd99…
10-19 17:59:36	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,808	1¢	$52	0xf8839a…
10-14 11:07:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xdc6350…
10-04 12:08:55	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0x887315…
09-30 10:59:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	1,818	22¢	$400	0x0637e5…
09-30 10:54:36	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,001	0¢	$10	0xb5267f…
09-30 10:54:32	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	8,655	3¢	$300	0x52a977…
09-30 10:49:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	1,697	3¢	$50	0x300535…
09-30 10:48:54	Iran leadership change by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xbd5027…
09-27 16:29:53	Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	648	35¢	$227	0x5c277a…
08-02 10:09:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xbc0671…
07-24 19:28:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x7e8e2e…
07-23 17:48:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	275	4¢	$10	0xaa49a9…
07-23 15:10:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0x3dba02…
07-23 12:09:54	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	900	12¢	$108	0x10ede3…
07-23 11:34:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	190	4¢	$7	0xc5361a…
07-23 06:42:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xa9a5da…
07-23 06:42:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xee3900…
07-23 06:41:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xf2f18d…
07-23 06:41:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0xf8a9e6…
07-23 06:40:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	1,537	1¢	$10	0x5cb122…
07-22 19:18:43	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	61	17¢	$10	0x821c31…
07-20 13:11:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xaaccef…
07-20 12:21:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	401	2¢	$10	0xca760b…
07-20 12:21:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	188	11¢	$20	0xf9da08…
07-20 06:54:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	341	15¢	$50	0x41d7dd…
07-20 06:53:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	No	BUY	970	4¢	$40	0xc70172…
07-20 06:51:07	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	740	14¢	$100	0x14f58a…
07-19 22:57:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x1a559a…
07-19 21:20:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	168	30¢	$50	0xd5adcf…
07-19 21:07:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	364	5¢	$20	0xc73651…
07-19 18:55:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	364	8¢	$30	0x949ba0…
07-19 18:54:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xe78027…
07-19 18:54:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0x5ade40…
07-19 18:54:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x60a4b2…
07-19 18:48:04	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x0229ff…
07-19 18:46:31	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x02ea44…
07-19 09:34:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	833	6¢	$50	0x5ef896…
07-19 09:33:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	769	19¢	$150	0xa6b2cb…
07-19 09:27:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x677cc7…
07-19 09:26:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts second half	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x553b01…
07-19 09:20:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts first half	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xb997a3…
07-18 23:13:30	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	8¢	$30	0xbbebde…
07-18 23:07:46	Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	75	12¢	$9	0xe00dcd…
07-18 23:05:28	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0xbd0504…
07-18 23:05:01	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x0a824f…
07-18 23:04:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	290	7¢	$20	0x438cb2…
07-18 21:05:18	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd856c8…
07-16 21:05:29	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	408	61¢	$249	0x5e1a36…
07-16 04:34:16	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	667	42¢	$277	0x6408a8…
07-15 20:57:04	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts second half	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x9dd658…
07-15 20:56:43	Argentina to win the second half?	Yes	SELL	324	87¢	$280	0x4128df…
07-15 20:55:46	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	410	10¢	$40	0xf963a3…
07-15 20:55:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	810	90¢	$731	0x3d0c63…
07-15 20:51:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x225e49…
07-15 20:50:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0x51f2d7…
07-15 20:50:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	407	15¢	$60	0x61af11…
07-15 20:50:08	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	216	75¢	$162	0xb3ab7d…
07-15 20:48:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd972ea…
07-15 20:48:58	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0x54a63c…
07-15 20:17:56	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	216	25¢	$55	0xe95f3e…
07-15 20:16:50	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	226	65¢	$146	0x4e7cde…
07-15 20:08:10	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	226	31¢	$70	0x9e0eff…
07-15 19:35:44	Argentina leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x445a15…
07-15 19:35:10	England leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xd5b6a3…
07-15 19:04:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x39ade9…
07-15 19:04:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts second half	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x4ab263…