First-Prison 0x8a1e1e…21bd03
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$313
Unrealized P&L
+$53
Hit rate
31.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
665
lifetime
Volume
$80.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$4.29K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-09 13:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
91% 50% $-25
Other
9% 0% $-288
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +3,712 $1,700 64¢ $2.4K +$694 06-04 09:22
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -1,231 $-989 80¢ $-991 $-1 06-09 07:18
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +2,458 $640 13¢ $317 $-323 06-08 12:32
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +4,075 $160 3¢ $141 $-19 06-08 09:08
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +7,130 $139 2¢ $121 $-18 06-08 09:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +435 $248 26¢ $111 $-137 06-08 11:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +5,286 $120 2¢ $87 $-33 06-04 18:23
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +698 $100 10¢ $70 $-30 06-01 08:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -767 $-48 5¢ $-42 +$7 06-02 20:09
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +354 $100 4¢ $13 $-86 05-31 17:12
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes -71 $-1 2¢ $-2 $-1 05-31 11:59