First-Prison 0x8a1e1e…21bd03
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$313
Unrealized P&L
-$943
Hit rate
31.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
703
lifetime
Volume
$89.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$1.94K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-11 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
91% 50% $-25
Other
8% 0% $-288
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -1,911 $-604 32¢ $-621 $-17 06-11 22:14
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -725 $-689 48¢ $-345 +$345 06-11 22:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,930 $350 16¢ $318 $-32 06-11 22:20
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -273 $-200 50¢ $-137 +$63 06-11 17:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +2,962 $710 4¢ $117 $-593 06-11 13:05
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +4,700 $180 2¢ $82 $-98 06-11 22:36
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +7,130 $139 1¢ $71 $-68 06-08 09:02
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +435 $248 12¢ $52 $-196 06-08 11:00
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +698 $100 6¢ $45 $-55 06-01 08:06
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -767 $-48 6¢ $-44 +$4 06-02 20:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +5,286 $120 1¢ $34 $-86 06-04 18:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +1,170 $100 2¢ $26 $-74 06-11 13:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +200 $30 12¢ $23 $-7 06-11 13:15
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +2,000 $50 1¢ $15 $-35 06-11 13:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +354 $100 1¢ $4 $-96 05-31 17:12
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes -71 $-1 2¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 11:59