Realized P&L
-$313
Unrealized P&L
-$38
Hit rate
31.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
798
lifetime
Volume
$94.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$914
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-23 18:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
88% 50% $-25
Other
11% 0% $-288
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7,769 $732 11¢ $816 +$84 07-11 22:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +247 $50 22¢ $53 +$3 07-13 15:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes -767 $-48 $-35 +$13 06-02 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +33 $148 30¢ $10 $-138 07-23 13:45