Pleased-Cart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$354

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

256

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$370.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$426

Open exposure

$1.07K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-05 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Politics

53% 76% +$17,835

Other

40% 84% +$21,890

Sports

6% 58% +$1,879

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% 31% -$238

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	+500	$330	90¢	$447	+$117	09-08 19:40
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	+430	$167	80¢	$342	+$174	09-08 19:05
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+166	$112	97¢	$160	+$48	06-01 14:52
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	+100	$81	94¢	$93	+$12	09-14 00:31
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$27	97¢	$29	+$1	09-11 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	17	$30.6K	30,502	1,265	+29,237	Yes	+$957	02-07 04:26
bitboy convicted	49	$19.0K	14,925	10,736	+4,189	No	+$7,353	03-31 20:38
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	70	$18.1K	22,846	0	+22,846	Yes	+$4,746	02-03 06:22
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	20	$17.8K	19,104	0	+19,104	Yes	+$1,333	07-10 11:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	16	$15.3K	12,793	7,122	+5,671	No	+$341	02-14 04:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$11.4K	12,117	0	+12,117	Yes	+$710	02-28 21:47
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	5	$11.3K	12,989	12,989	+0	Yes	-$2,153	01-25 01:34
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 9	11	$9.6K	13,067	0	+13,067	Yes	+$3,434	01-07 09:29
will jd vance clap 100 times or more during the state of the union	7	$8.8K	8,755	2,730	+6,025	No	+$518	02-25 04:34
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18 spread home 3pt5	3	$7.6K	9,800	5,000	+4,800	Patriots	+$2,160	01-18 22:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	9	$7.0K	7,818	4,000	+3,818	Yes	+$3,727	05-16 08:41
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	7	$6.6K	4,526	4,526	+0	No	+$891	07-30 04:10
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	6	$6.2K	6,777	0	+6,777	No	+$596	03-16 00:18
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 886	5	$5.6K	7,704	0	+7,704	Yes	+$2,064	01-15 07:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	11	$5.6K	11,340	5,000	+6,340	Yes	+$6,840	05-15 23:14
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 17 675	5	$5.5K	7,024	0	+7,024	Yes	+$1,475	01-15 07:12
will israel or the us target natanz uranium enrichment facility	4	$5.4K	2,717	2,717	+0	Yes	+$6	03-04 02:46
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 24 671	3	$5.1K	11,219	0	+11,219	No	-$4,970	01-23 04:10
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 13	9	$4.9K	6,262	0	+6,262	Yes	+$1,388	02-02 23:33
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	6	$4.5K	4,992	0	+4,992	Yes	+$146	07-10 11:16
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 900k 687	1	$4.2K	4,159	0	+4,159	Yes	+$8	02-16 05:11
will quentin tarantino be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$4.0K	4,989	0	+4,989	Yes	+$989	01-30 16:25
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 13 499	2	$3.8K	3,852	0	+3,852	Yes	+$11	02-07 03:34
Will MrBeast say "Challenge" during his next YouTube video?	1	$3.8K	3,765	0	+3,765	Yes	+$4	03-07 18:18
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	3	$3.7K	4,082	0	+4,082	Yes	+$424	05-22 11:46
will iran strike a gulf state on march 2	2	$3.3K	3,277	0	+3,277	Yes	+$4	03-05 07:36
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 15 2026	4	$3.1K	3,527	0	+3,527	Yes	+$385	01-31 15:14
will al gore be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$3.0K	3,966	0	+3,966	Yes	+$966	01-30 16:23
will ellen degeneres be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$3.0K	3,741	0	+3,741	Yes	+$741	01-30 16:24
will rachel maddow be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	1	$3.0K	3,832	0	+3,832	Yes	+$832	01-30 16:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 18:09:08	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	88¢	$139	0xb6ebf5…
09-21 08:44:18	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 21 and September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x5bf051…
09-14 00:31:03	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	22	81¢	$18	0x1a9e5a…
09-14 00:24:52	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	78	81¢	$63	0xdfaa8b…
09-11 06:05:01	Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$27	0x4bc18c…
09-11 06:04:24	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	SELL	3,379	6¢	$201	0x338d71…
09-09 22:58:57	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x949760…
09-09 18:48:15	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x1405c1…
09-08 19:40:10	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xa6214d…
09-08 19:37:58	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0xc94e09…
09-08 19:11:28	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x73d9aa…
09-08 19:06:48	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	137	66¢	$91	0x69e17e…
09-08 19:05:25	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	430	39¢	$167	0xe5cf97…
09-08 19:05:09	Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	213	66¢	$140	0xc70ae0…
09-07 09:22:06	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2540ad…
09-01 01:37:54	Will 80 to 99 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xf8464b…
09-01 01:37:52	Will 100 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x146814…
09-01 01:09:24	will tropical storm dolly strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	210	98¢	$206	0xf7b876…
09-01 01:09:24	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Dolly?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x2dac2d…
08-31 20:20:33	will tropical storm dolly strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x6e7ef6…
08-30 21:21:54	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between August 27 and August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xc0acab…
08-30 21:21:13	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	397	96¢	$381	0x60f96f…
08-30 20:25:19	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x21e3b6…
08-30 20:21:21	will tropical storm karina strengthen to a hurricane	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b90b4…
08-30 20:16:57	will tropical storm dolly strengthen to a hurricane	No	BUY	966	99¢	$955	0xac602d…
08-30 19:32:42	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22134e…
08-30 19:31:37	US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x954444…
08-30 19:31:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x202468…
08-18 17:00:27	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7b7c44…
08-17 04:20:04	Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	1,621	24¢	$385	0xf4028e…
08-17 02:38:18	Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	37	21¢	$8	0xd4e828…
08-17 02:04:46	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$10	0x12431d…
08-15 22:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xcc2764…
08-15 22:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5aab0e…
08-15 22:29:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x05e3c6…
08-15 04:50:43	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	830	31¢	$257	0xfd27b8…
08-15 04:31:52	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0xeae173…
08-15 04:31:52	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x52455e…
08-15 04:31:51	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	210	30¢	$63	0x699086…
08-15 04:14:55	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	120	30¢	$36	0x66bda9…
08-15 04:00:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x6154eb…
08-15 04:00:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x5f64ef…
08-15 03:31:07	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x541a5c…
08-15 03:25:25	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	SELL	21	33¢	$7	0x63f01e…
08-15 03:03:22	will tropical storm lala make landfall in hawaii as a hurricane 1786718341036	Yes	BUY	1,371	27¢	$367	0xad81da…
08-15 02:07:21	Will 40 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x39a683…
08-15 02:04:48	Will fewer than 40 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x262d02…
08-10 22:57:00	Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf20b00…
08-10 22:56:49	Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7aab66…
08-10 22:56:37	Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	89¢	$112	0x707a44…
08-07 06:57:15	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	Yes	BUY	384	99¢	$379	0x3fed85…
08-07 06:56:33	Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xdf4b8f…
08-07 06:51:57	Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?	Yes	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0x4105cf…
08-07 06:50:27	Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall?	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x294a12…
08-01 14:47:14	will trump say snake in july 20260702143051784	Yes	BUY	664	100¢	$662	0x2dd0d9…
08-01 13:44:53	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	SELL	732	80¢	$589	0x252c50…
08-01 12:47:53	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	Yes	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x5debe6…
08-01 12:32:30	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	699	25¢	$175	0xf546ca…
08-01 12:32:24	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xfedae3…
08-01 12:32:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xab87d4…
08-01 12:32:12	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1719d3…
08-01 12:32:11	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x68b8de…
08-01 12:32:09	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x5c0db5…
07-30 14:52:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	509	78¢	$396	0x11147c…
07-30 04:10:59	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	4,526	82¢	$3,732	0x2d463f…
07-29 20:41:21	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82942d…
07-29 20:36:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 20260710184334565	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xc7db50…
07-29 20:35:41	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ba7cd…
07-29 20:35:03	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 20260710184334565	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x54a39e…
07-29 20:06:18	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x59b5f8…
07-29 20:04:11	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1b6b89…
07-29 19:51:27	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0xacd908…
07-29 19:50:50	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xfadf74…
07-29 19:50:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf83de7…
07-29 19:50:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x33e518…
07-29 19:50:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0x237f35…
07-29 19:50:33	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	4,402	63¢	$2,758	0x98c6da…
07-29 19:46:47	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8e85a5…
07-29 19:29:42	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xbf3e59…
07-29 19:00:00	will warsh say balance sheet during july press conference 20260720204109040	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb29b5c…
07-29 18:06:30	will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	Yes	BUY	1,221	90¢	$1,100	0x31e9d0…
07-29 18:04:44	Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	784	100¢	$784	0xf8ead9…
07-29 18:03:39	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	1,224	100¢	$1,223	0x96d5f8…
07-29 18:00:51	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	508	100¢	$508	0xb60713…
07-29 18:00:39	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5acdd1…
07-29 18:00:35	Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	255	97¢	$248	0x795d72…
07-14 16:12:28	Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	90¢	$392	0x29f055…
07-11 16:15:56	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	523	99¢	$516	0xa4f8d2…
07-10 16:03:53	Will more than 310 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,379	100¢	$1,378	0xaddfb0…
07-10 11:17:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	9,500	99¢	$9,405	0x88512f…
07-10 11:16:58	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$53	0x6b9887…
07-10 11:16:50	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe59639…
07-10 11:16:49	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x81e88f…
07-10 11:16:44	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	2,136	99¢	$2,110	0x3051ef…
07-10 11:16:44	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2d3528…
07-10 11:16:29	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	177	96¢	$170	0x719875…
07-10 11:16:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	1,141	94¢	$1,076	0x2c35c4…
07-10 11:16:17	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	4,124	93¢	$3,845	0x541924…
07-10 08:05:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x09c783…
07-10 07:57:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	630	85¢	$538	0x9d84d0…