Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$707

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-22 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

86% 50% +$0

Other

13% 100% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	5	$72	60	60	+0	No	$-1	05-04 16:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	7	$63	45	45	+0	open	—	05-22 11:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	4	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	05-18 19:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	2	$54	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-07 12:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$50	41	46	-5	open	—	05-20 03:22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	05-06 02:07
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$42	35	35	+0	open	—	05-17 19:00
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 13:25
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 22:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 12:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$29	0	30	-30	open	—	05-11 11:20
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$2	05-11 16:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$16	0	20	-20	open	—	05-10 20:12
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	04-27 17:55
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	3	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 20:00
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 20:02
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 11:31
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 20:01
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 18:18
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 19:58
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-11 16:01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 16:10
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 17:39
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 16:17
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$5	15	15	+0	open	—	05-22 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 08:49
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?	2	$4	5	2	+3	open	—	04-27 18:27
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-22 11:25
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 09:54
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	1	$3	5	0	+5	T1	+$2	05-08 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 12:19:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb3dcd8…
05-22 11:31:43	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x91bca1…
05-22 11:25:46	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x46cc85…
05-22 11:23:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x5fb73f…
05-22 11:18:45	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x671c7f…
05-22 11:18:17	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5ff2fa…
05-22 11:17:54	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x14e9d8…
05-20 21:00:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x211098…
05-20 03:22:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb4ad92…
05-19 21:10:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x7bba4d…
05-19 18:00:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xc70fb9…
05-19 17:07:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1cef80…
05-19 14:29:34	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4f2d24…
05-18 19:41:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x8f6fd4…
05-18 19:17:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x5e7e83…
05-18 18:39:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8d9fdc…
05-18 15:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x91d11b…
05-18 14:52:16	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xc4e53f…
05-18 13:25:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa0ff82…
05-18 03:07:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xe91eff…
05-17 19:24:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0xb5d237…
05-17 19:00:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x275115…
05-17 17:57:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x722d40…
05-17 16:52:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x2f00b6…
05-17 13:16:10	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe2f613…
05-16 13:58:22	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x32690e…
05-16 13:53:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8b77ea…
05-16 04:38:57	U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x697c4e…
05-15 21:10:27	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf413a6…
05-15 20:02:21	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa01ddd…
05-15 20:01:30	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf16e5b…
05-15 20:00:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8ae6ff…
05-15 17:39:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x341fe8…
05-15 17:15:01	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x025a68…
05-15 17:04:24	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf3dc6e…
05-15 16:51:22	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2ae830…
05-15 16:17:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc6e2d3…
05-15 15:53:14	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x04b7a1…
05-15 15:19:52	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd18654…
05-15 15:16:52	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x09fff0…
05-15 14:32:09	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x482b79…
05-15 11:36:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf17671…
05-14 20:28:10	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x5d8e39…
05-14 20:19:25	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x5cdf70…
05-14 20:16:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xca3853…
05-14 19:25:00	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa76919…
05-14 19:24:26	Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x553be0…
05-14 19:09:15	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xceaca2…
05-14 19:06:58	Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5e2714…
05-14 17:29:23	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5636e8…
05-14 16:10:18	LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x362e39…
05-14 16:06:20	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x9f82b1…
05-14 16:00:09	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaf8398…
05-12 19:59:42	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x0a5309…
05-12 19:58:42	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe758d2…
05-11 16:50:50	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xd57ea1…
05-11 16:01:41	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x8205d8…
05-11 15:57:08	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x406d49…
05-11 11:20:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x0299dd…
05-10 20:12:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xfca184…
05-08 08:14:29	LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6947a4…
05-07 14:28:07	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xb9aec8…
05-07 13:10:18	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcaacc5…
05-07 12:54:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xa857b0…
05-07 11:54:51	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc63060…
05-07 11:30:19	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x921dfb…
05-07 10:27:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x64e997…
05-06 22:20:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc7eeeb…
05-06 22:19:37	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xcc7f72…
05-06 22:18:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xae7f44…
05-06 22:17:59	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x1f3fc6…
05-06 22:16:17	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x62d001…
05-06 10:55:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x858730…
05-06 02:07:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x63d667…
05-06 00:39:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x7bbcd2…
05-06 00:36:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xf7180c…
05-06 00:33:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x62ef7f…
05-05 23:40:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdf1700…
05-05 23:26:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xe11627…
05-05 22:56:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x7246d7…
05-05 21:50:48	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe94d26…
05-05 17:44:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x01d5ed…
05-05 16:55:58	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x664407…
05-05 07:23:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc500e5…
05-04 22:15:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x78ddaa…
05-04 22:13:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc4f04b…
05-04 21:20:10	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x2479b5…
05-04 16:31:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x65e64d…
05-04 16:31:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xce09df…
05-04 16:25:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfea54b…
05-04 16:18:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x4f55a6…
05-04 16:15:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x02d25a…
05-04 16:12:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xdead50…
05-04 16:08:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0ef3f9…
05-01 18:43:06	Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfa83aa…
05-01 09:54:02	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x32018b…
05-01 09:50:42	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x72e36c…
05-01 07:52:10	U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa0d36f…
05-01 07:48:56	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xf6ef1a…
04-29 08:49:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3f3526…