Realized P&L
-$3.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
11,815
lifetime
Volume
$2.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$212
Open exposure
$27.2K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
64% 33% $-3,352
Other
35% 0% $-638
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 412 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +5,185 $4,718 94¢ $4.8K +$130 06-08 22:16
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -4,321 $-4,187 94¢ $-4083 +$103 06-10 00:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -5,934 $-2,131 64¢ $-3768 $-1,637 05-31 19:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,220 $-3,587 82¢ $-3482 +$106 06-01 05:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,001 $1,431 90¢ $1.8K +$360 05-31 19:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2,436 $-1,340 70¢ $-1717 $-378 06-01 13:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5,370 $1,832 24¢ $1.3K $-570 06-09 19:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +1,126 $800 88¢ $997 +$197 06-09 17:31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -2,140 $-722 34¢ $-728 $-5 06-01 17:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +2,357 $693 30¢ $695 +$3 06-08 01:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +886 $550 74¢ $652 +$102 06-04 22:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -1,133 $-657 55¢ $-623 +$34 06-09 16:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,595 $678 38¢ $614 $-64 06-06 14:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,579 $1,283 16¢ $591 $-692 06-09 16:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +600 $552 96¢ $576 +$24 06-05 19:58
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -309 $-388 100¢ $-309 +$79 06-07 19:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -114 $-110 96¢ $-110 +$0 05-29 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1,050 $249 10¢ $100 $-149 06-01 14:03
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +500 $90 18¢ $92 +$2 06-01 14:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -279 $-896 32¢ $-91 +$805 06-09 22:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +3,300 $172 $81 $-91 06-04 20:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 06-06 04:38