Vapid-Workshop 0x9ca119…cc13b5
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.76K
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
13,682
lifetime
Volume
$2.87M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$33.1K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
64% 33% $-3,352
Other
35% 0% $-638
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 412 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +12,982 $6,232 52¢ $6.8K +$518 07-20 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,741 $3,794 83¢ $4.8K +$971 07-20 14:40
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +5,182 $2,672 68¢ $3.5K +$826 07-03 18:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +6,000 $4,380 55¢ $3.3K $-1,110 07-07 10:29
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3,496 $-3,599 82¢ $-2866 +$732 06-24 00:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2,436 $-1,340 99¢ $-2401 $-1,061 06-01 13:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +3,421 $1,757 64¢ $2.2K +$450 06-29 14:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,280 $1,403 72¢ $1.7K +$250 07-18 12:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +4,418 $781 36¢ $1.6K +$831 07-16 12:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -1,065 $-928 84¢ $-889 +$38 07-10 15:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,400 $1,052 64¢ $889 $-163 07-20 14:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +886 $550 80¢ $714 +$164 06-04 22:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,595 $678 32¢ $518 $-159 06-06 14:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -4,076 $-527 12¢ $-510 +$17 07-14 10:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +26,233 $6,146 1¢ $380 $-5,766 07-11 14:53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +982 $79 13¢ $129 +$49 07-12 09:02
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -93 $-78 84¢ $-78 $-0 07-11 06:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $-650 46¢ $0 +$650 07-17 00:54