Vapid-Workshop 0x9ca119…cc13b5
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.99K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.45K
Hit rate
41.4%
Resolved
7
Trades
12,809
lifetime
Volume
$2.75M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$215
Open exposure
$55.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
65% 33% $-3,352
Other
34% 0% $-638
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 412 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -14,805 $-14,805 100¢ $-14791 +$14 06-24 10:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5,746 $3,798 76¢ $4.3K +$540 06-16 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +12,106 $3,445 34¢ $4.2K +$732 06-30 14:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,220 $-3,587 86¢ $-3650 $-63 06-01 05:05
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -3,490 $-3,434 100¢ $-3485 $-51 06-13 17:02
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -3,223 $-3,184 100¢ $-3220 $-35 06-15 13:19
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +4,682 $2,372 60¢ $2.8K +$437 06-29 02:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -2,741 $-1,474 100¢ $-2734 $-1,259 06-19 17:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -3,496 $-3,599 70¢ $-2464 +$1,134 06-24 00:54
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +2,001 $1,431 100¢ $2.0K +$564 05-31 19:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +3,421 $1,757 57¢ $2.0K +$211 06-29 14:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,547 $1,501 50¢ $1.8K +$255 06-27 07:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +2,000 $1,560 84¢ $1.7K +$116 06-29 13:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,000 $1,660 82¢ $1.6K $-10 06-28 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -2,436 $-1,340 66¢ $-1596 $-256 06-01 13:11
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +886 $550 74¢ $660 +$111 06-04 22:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,595 $678 40¢ $638 $-40 06-06 14:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +600 $552 100¢ $599 +$47 06-05 19:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +2,179 $451 24¢ $534 +$83 06-30 12:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -3,594 $-469 12¢ $-449 +$20 06-19 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,500 $225 18¢ $438 +$212 06-25 13:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -114 $-110 100¢ $-114 $-4 05-29 09:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +110 $-312 100¢ $110 +$422 06-22 15:29
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -66 $-57 82¢ $-55 +$2 06-23 13:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +7 $-314 98¢ $6 +$320 06-27 03:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-06 04:38
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes -3,859 $129 0¢ $-6 $-135 06-17 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +525 $189 0¢ $2 $-187 06-28 21:01
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -235 $-5 1¢ $-1 +$4 06-26 04:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $-261 100¢ $0 +$261 06-18 14:16