Realized P&L
-$291
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
818
Trades
12,966
lifetime
Volume
$137.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$653
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 07-22 06:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 83% $-296
Other
27% 100% +$5
Politics
15%
Tech
3%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -178 $-152 70¢ $-125 +$27 07-05 21:55
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -115 $-98 86¢ $-99 $-2 05-31 21:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +86 $59 66¢ $57 $-2 07-21 02:06
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +78 $58 70¢ $54 $-4 07-19 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -54 $-123 99¢ $-53 +$70 07-09 03:21
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +147 $37 36¢ $52 +$15 07-11 16:26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +56 $50 90¢ $50 $-0 07-17 17:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +44 $38 94¢ $41 +$3 07-01 14:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $37 77¢ $39 +$2 07-06 16:05
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-26 100¢ $-33 $-7 06-21 06:24
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -22 $-19 88¢ $-19 $-1 07-15 18:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -26 $-16 60¢ $-16 $-0 06-18 21:42
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +100 $23 14¢ $14 $-10 07-20 04:43
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -2 $-4 60¢ $-1 +$3 07-12 02:53
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +35 $20 $0 $-20 06-13 18:17