Realized P&L
-$291
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
818
Trades
12,424
lifetime
Volume
$126.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.02K
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-02
last 07-01 06:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
58% 83% $-296
Other
25% 100% +$5
Politics
13%
Tech
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -206 $-177 86¢ $-178 $-1 07-01 03:33
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +114 $100 100¢ $114 +$14 06-07 19:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -115 $-98 86¢ $-99 $-2 05-31 21:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +129 $50 70¢ $89 +$40 06-18 00:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +92 $83 94¢ $86 +$3 06-22 01:37
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -80 $-84 99¢ $-80 +$4 06-29 16:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -79 $-68 86¢ $-67 +$1 06-26 15:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -50 $-78 99¢ $-50 +$28 06-29 16:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 07-01 00:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +69 $50 70¢ $49 $-1 06-20 06:34
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +41 $40 99¢ $41 +$1 06-29 01:04
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-26 100¢ $-33 $-7 06-21 06:24
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -52 $-27 57¢ $-30 $-3 07-01 12:06
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +30 $26 92¢ $28 +$1 06-29 08:28
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -26 $-16 60¢ $-16 $-0 06-18 21:42
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +9 $7 99¢ $9 +$1 07-01 10:12
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-14 100¢ $-5 +$10 06-29 23:25
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes +20 $3 $0 $-3 06-13 12:04
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +35 $20 $0 $-20 06-13 18:17