Realized P&L
+$211
Unrealized P&L
-$133
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
139
lifetime
Volume
$30.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$217
Open exposure
$3.82K
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 06-02 13:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
60% 0% $-35
Tech
35% 100% +$246
Politics
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes -3,079 $-2,473 94¢ $-2879 $-405 06-01 20:16
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? Yes -500 $-390 81¢ $-405 $-15 06-02 00:34
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? No -1,034 $-507 20¢ $-212 +$295 05-29 23:05
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes -258 $-219 80¢ $-205 +$14 06-02 00:34
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,844 $-94 $-115 $-21 06-01 20:16