(anonymous) 0x34a9e2…d74cfd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$414
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
5,207
lifetime
Volume
$49.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$1.06K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-30 00:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
43% — —
Politics
29% — —
Other
20% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 1477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +260 $252 100¢ $260 +$9 06-21 04:29
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +184 $163 98¢ $180 +$18 06-25 12:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +98 $94 100¢ $98 +$4 06-11 12:39
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +248 $283 34¢ $85 $-199 06-29 02:04
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +60 $43 99¢ $59 +$17 06-22 17:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +59 $42 74¢ $43 +$2 06-25 20:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +39 $37 100¢ $39 +$2 06-19 15:46
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +59 $31 58¢ $34 +$4 06-22 19:56
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +34 $22 98¢ $34 +$12 06-10 00:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 06-03 06:40
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$1 06-01 20:40
Trump out as President by June 30? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 06-06 09:16
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +16 $14 99¢ $16 +$2 06-23 17:35
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $16 35¢ $14 $-2 06-23 18:28
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -14 $-13 99¢ $-14 $-1 06-14 16:46
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +15 $12 84¢ $13 +$0 06-26 03:49
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +12 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-02 01:16
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +13 $9 72¢ $9 +$0 06-26 03:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +32 $12 29¢ $9 $-3 06-19 21:06
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,291 $299 0¢ $9 $-290 06-23 20:24
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +12 $7 69¢ $8 +$1 06-06 18:20
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +8 $6 88¢ $7 +$1 06-24 17:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 06-25 20:57
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +6 $2 97¢ $6 +$4 06-27 09:51
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 +$0 06-24 21:38
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +30 $7 15¢ $4 $-3 06-08 22:19
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-16 19:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4 $-12 14¢ $1 +$12 06-19 21:24
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? Yes +125 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 05-27 20:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +123 $5 0¢ $0 $-5 06-07 04:45