(anonymous) 0x34a9e2…d74cfd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
3,985
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$379
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 06-09 18:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
66% — —
Other
18% — —
Politics
9% — —
Sports
5% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 1477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +44 $30 88¢ $39 +$10 06-01 10:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +39 $30 87¢ $34 +$4 06-01 13:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 06-03 06:40
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +31 $30 98¢ $30 +$0 06-01 20:40
Trump out as President by June 30? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 +$0 06-06 09:16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +31 $30 97¢ $30 $-0 06-06 07:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +34 $30 86¢ $29 $-1 06-02 14:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +33 $30 88¢ $29 $-1 06-01 14:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +35 $30 82¢ $29 $-1 06-08 11:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +25 $20 90¢ $23 +$3 06-04 21:01
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +34 $22 64¢ $22 $-0 06-10 00:26
Kash Patel out by June 30? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 06-09 15:26
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +12 $10 85¢ $10 $-1 06-02 01:16
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +30 $7 29¢ $9 +$1 06-08 22:19
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +12 $7 64¢ $8 +$0 06-06 18:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +123 $5 3¢ $3 $-1 06-07 04:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +25 $3 10¢ $2 $-1 06-07 19:00
Will Tucker Carlson announce Presidential run by June 30? Yes +125 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 05-27 20:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +7 $-0 18¢ $1 +$1 05-31 15:45
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +2 $2 37¢ $1 $-1 06-08 05:22
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 06-07 00:39