Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$193
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5,977
lifetime
Volume
$66.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$929
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-17
last 07-20 17:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
33%
Crypto
32%
Other
26%
Tech
6%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 1477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +260 $252 100¢ $260 +$9 06-21 04:29
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +345 $159 44¢ $152 $-7 07-08 18:32
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +112 $88 88¢ $99 +$11 07-06 06:53
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +203 $124 46¢ $95 $-30 07-13 16:44
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +441 $252 12¢ $51 $-201 06-30 16:02
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +56 $49 90¢ $50 +$1 07-06 16:46
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +59 $42 80¢ $47 +$5 06-25 20:57
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +60 $45 78¢ $46 +$1 07-08 02:05
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +59 $31 60¢ $35 +$4 06-22 19:56
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +29 $9 55¢ $16 +$7 07-15 05:16
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-1 07-10 20:11
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +12 $7 82¢ $10 +$2 06-06 18:20
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +13 $9 76¢ $10 +$1 06-26 03:43
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +40 $16 21¢ $8 $-7 06-23 18:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +10 $7 80¢ $8 +$1 06-25 20:57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? Yes +30 $7 28¢ $8 +$1 07-09 20:56
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 06-24 17:18
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $4 60¢ $5 +$1 07-02 17:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +30 $7 15¢ $4 $-3 06-08 22:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +16 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 07-12 00:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +8 $6 18¢ $1 $-5 07-06 13:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2 $-12 26¢ $0 +$13 07-19 13:18
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 06-16 13:13