Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.10K

Unrealized P&L

+$103

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

2,192

Trades

12,028

lifetime

Volume

$195.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$858

22 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-22 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 142 days

Categories

Other

48% 75% +$3,143

Politics

31% 54% +$439

Crypto

13% 46% +$576

Tech

4% 83% +$932

Sports

4% 47% -$990

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+434	$262	86¢	$373	+$111	09-21 13:04
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	+218	$143	87¢	$189	+$46	07-08 09:51
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+88	$42	100¢	$88	+$46	07-06 12:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	Yes	+70	$57	95¢	$66	+$9	07-29 19:51
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	+434	$337	14¢	$61	-$276	10-17 07:39
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	+38	$17	92¢	$35	+$18	09-04 13:10
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	+218	$131	13¢	$28	-$103	09-02 14:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?	No	+110	$11	5¢	$6	-$6	07-12 04:42
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	+4	-$23	82¢	$4	+$27	08-08 13:41
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948	Yes	+38	$17	8¢	$3	-$14	07-13 12:07
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	+2	$2	86¢	$2	+$0	07-07 22:20
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+2	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-11 03:12
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	+4	-$9	18¢	$1	+$10	07-06 13:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+57	$6	1¢	$1	-$6	06-05 21:38
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	Yes	+2	$74	14¢	$0	-$74	09-02 14:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+8	$6	4¢	$0	-$6	07-06 13:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+0	-$1	68¢	$0	+$1	09-11 13:57
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+0	$0	82¢	$0	+$0	06-16 13:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$225	86¢	$0	+$225	09-07 15:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	No	+0	-$91	90¢	$0	+$91	08-21 22:31
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	+0	-$1	85¢	$0	+$1	07-26 12:30
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+0	-$1	71¢	$0	+$1	08-30 22:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	15	$3.0K	2,407	2,314	+93	BoomBoys	+$1,083	08-21 04:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	35	$2.6K	1,889	1,889	+0	open	—	09-07 15:42
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	33	$2.4K	2,151	2,054	+98	No	+$404	08-12 02:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$2.0K	1,469	1,469	-0	open	—	10-22 18:14
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	15	$1.9K	1,170	1,170	-0	open	—	10-22 19:24
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	40	$1.8K	1,991	610	+1,381	No	+$231	08-08 18:38
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	23	$1.7K	1,635	988	+647	Yes	+$717	08-12 16:25
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	20	$1.5K	1,885	1,675	+209	No	-$61	08-19 22:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	11	$1.5K	944	944	-0	open	—	10-22 17:07
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	11	$1.3K	743	743	+0	No	+$80	07-30 00:55
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?	13	$1.3K	1,554	520	+1,035	Yes	+$203	09-10 16:05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	5	$1.3K	663	663	+0	Yes	+$57	06-22 01:58
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	5	$1.2K	687	687	+0	open	—	07-31 06:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	7	$1.2K	1,583	0	+1,583	Yes	+$378	09-04 02:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.2K	1,481	0	+1,481	Yes	+$281	09-11 13:40
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,348	0	+1,348	Yes	+$162	09-11 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	110	$1.1K	2,503	0	+2,503	Up	+$244	05-18 14:04
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	9	$1.1K	911	911	+0	No	-$62	07-29 22:01
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?	3	$1.1K	554	554	+0	No	+$8	08-24 18:47
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	3	$995	1,590	0	+1,590	Yes	+$595	08-12 17:44
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-04?	11	$978	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$22	08-04 18:27
dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 08 21	1	$974	2,564	0	+2,564	Team Spirit	-$974	08-21 22:52
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	23	$968	703	524	+179	No	+$32	07-08 14:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	51	$966	967	854	+114	Yes	+$24	06-15 23:34
atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	6	$963	1,632	0	+1,632	Alexander Zverev	+$669	09-13 18:15
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	6	$952	1,624	0	+1,624	No	+$113	08-05 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	35	$933	1,194	1,150	+44	No	-$85	06-19 19:53
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	11	$932	674	674	+0	Yes	-$43	08-06 19:42
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	7	$927	1,061	0	+1,061	Yes	+$134	09-01 17:25
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	20	$907	591	591	+0	Yes	+$272	08-12 18:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 21:55:06	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x60c76d…
10-22 21:53:45	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x481b6a…
10-22 21:53:05	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xbdbaf7…
10-22 19:24:24	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	319	82¢	$261	0x46184d…
10-22 18:19:23	Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$7	0x93e789…
10-22 18:18:47	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ee484…
10-22 18:18:15	Will Veda launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xe102b4…
10-22 18:15:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	291	92¢	$268	0xaee3e3…
10-22 18:14:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	327	83¢	$271	0x198379…
10-22 17:07:56	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	354	81¢	$287	0xbddb32…
10-22 17:04:32	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x73b6d1…
10-22 17:03:38	Will Yeet launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x68a5e6…
10-22 17:02:23	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x461775…
10-22 17:01:06	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0x8d66fa…
10-22 16:48:02	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x092a60…
10-22 16:46:27	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	262	66¢	$173	0x0d4388…
10-22 16:45:36	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	292	76¢	$222	0x41dc89…
10-22 16:43:53	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x9c8e73…
10-22 16:41:12	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x425f2e…
10-22 16:18:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	53	82¢	$44	0x0400a7…
10-22 09:57:41	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x36e568…
10-22 09:25:23	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	317	81¢	$258	0x6ae7fc…
10-22 09:25:23	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x056529…
10-22 09:04:24	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$33	0x94bc38…
10-22 09:02:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	327	84¢	$275	0x46aa69…
10-22 09:00:50	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	296	82¢	$243	0x15a0b5…
10-21 14:17:11	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x9a42f3…
10-21 14:16:42	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xab3137…
10-21 14:16:00	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	SELL	236	83¢	$196	0x6d5343…
10-20 18:37:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	218	85¢	$185	0xbe7e29…
10-17 11:05:50	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x58baa3…
10-17 07:39:15	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	293	23¢	$67	0x5ead9c…
10-16 01:42:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	291	85¢	$247	0x55c8a1…
10-14 09:45:49	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1f941e…
10-13 23:13:52	Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	48¢	$4	0xc7a3e2…
10-09 19:47:34	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	292	82¢	$241	0xddbaa6…
10-05 12:14:32	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc52895…
10-05 09:09:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x55ab06…
10-05 09:08:53	UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x05b78e…
10-05 09:08:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x4e6b2e…
10-05 09:07:32	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x467461…
10-05 09:05:26	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x28c771…
10-05 09:03:04	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3f3017…
10-01 12:46:36	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	SELL	82	33¢	$27	0x512dd4…
10-01 12:39:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?	Yes	SELL	452	33¢	$149	0x9296c1…
09-28 22:45:12	next astra model 6pt1 released by october 9 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0x2e7481…
09-28 22:09:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0x3f6a3b…
09-28 21:58:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	40	86¢	$35	0xe40044…
09-28 17:49:09	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc2bcb2…
09-26 20:35:26	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	168	90¢	$152	0xb4317e…
09-25 18:55:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x99a5ff…
09-25 18:55:50	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	73	57¢	$42	0x71f320…
09-25 18:54:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	77	57¢	$44	0x1d4f22…
09-25 18:54:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x03bc31…
09-25 18:37:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0x213803…
09-25 18:33:15	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xeb0efb…
09-25 18:20:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x48415b…
09-25 18:16:38	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xdd4f49…
09-25 18:09:36	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x4aa23a…
09-25 18:09:32	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	312	56¢	$175	0xc09094…
09-25 17:44:51	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xa1e133…
09-25 17:43:21	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	No	BUY	84	97¢	$82	0x8207b4…
09-25 17:27:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x79c111…
09-25 17:24:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x1bcd28…
09-25 17:24:00	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0xec8d54…
09-25 17:23:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	360	77¢	$277	0x2c0bb9…
09-25 17:23:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0x3f41a6…
09-25 17:23:08	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x20d93d…
09-25 17:21:35	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xeb5334…
09-25 17:21:03	Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xc34c90…
09-25 04:18:48	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc993cd…
09-24 10:03:27	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7e05c3…
09-24 10:01:51	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x095ffa…
09-24 10:01:48	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x825a01…
09-24 06:04:30	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	38	72¢	$27	0x4aa335…
09-24 04:58:51	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xfec835…
09-23 18:09:13	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	3¢	$11	0x20d279…
09-23 13:13:41	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x1837b7…
09-23 07:45:49	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xc4b308…
09-23 04:55:46	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xeb9449…
09-23 04:35:38	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0xf9066c…
09-23 04:35:22	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x568cb8…
09-23 04:35:13	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x62f499…
09-23 01:02:58	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xcb0360…
09-22 20:54:28	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x6149ab…
09-22 18:11:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	86¢	$66	0x3f5fb8…
09-22 18:11:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	165	14¢	$23	0xa6655e…
09-22 18:11:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	297	14¢	$43	0x754baa…
09-22 16:57:31	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xc91859…
09-22 16:51:42	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	352	93¢	$328	0x5da266…
09-22 16:40:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	481	79¢	$379	0x28d2a8…
09-22 04:29:51	will the next gpt sol model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1480 by june 30 2027	No	BUY	154	92¢	$142	0xb1925c…
09-22 04:25:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	76	64¢	$49	0x9ecbea…
09-22 04:25:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x5e790d…
09-22 04:25:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	87	64¢	$56	0xdf410c…
09-22 04:25:45	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x0db7b3…
09-22 04:12:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	413	98¢	$406	0xe05fd3…
09-22 01:48:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	87¢	$72	0xa4221c…
09-22 01:45:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	463	68¢	$315	0x86b4d2…
09-21 21:37:46	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0x5fb251…