Realized P&L
+$425
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,746
lifetime
Volume
$74.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$219
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-10 00:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
43% 20% $-42
Politics
32% 100% +$442
Tech
10% 100% +$25
Sports
9% 0% $-0
Crypto
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +168 $108 64¢ $108 $-1 06-10 01:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -144 $-113 38¢ $-55 +$58 05-29 15:28
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +56 $51 84¢ $47 $-3 06-02 02:34
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +24 $19 36¢ $9 $-10 06-02 01:14