Youthful-Difference 0x2d811b…cafe57
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$103
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
813
Trades
6,386
lifetime
Volume
$190.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.39K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-28 08:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Other
47% 61% +$9,712
Politics
38% 59% +$649
Tech
8% 75% +$1,318
Sports
4% 42% -$5,175
Crypto
3% 79% +$734
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +490 $23 93¢ $455 +$433 08-01 03:38
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +315 $172 53¢ $167 -$5 10-28 08:32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +172 $126 96¢ $165 +$39 10-27 15:40
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +405 $82 25¢ $101 +$20 10-27 01:08
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +65 $40 87¢ $57 +$17 10-26 18:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +99 $88 56¢ $55 -$33 10-28 00:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +120 $49 44¢ $53 +$4 10-27 15:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -96 -$69 55¢ $-53 +$16 06-15 02:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +53 $25 87¢ $46 +$21 10-27 07:52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $38 18¢ $43 +$5 10-28 00:22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +135 $40 32¢ $43 +$2 10-26 12:23
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +48 $32 74¢ $35 +$3 10-26 13:28
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +489 $434 7¢ $34 -$400 07-31 07:06
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +254 $48 12¢ $32 -$16 10-27 23:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +108 $23 24¢ $26 +$3 10-26 13:50
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +107 $17 6¢ $6 -$10 10-26 12:21
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +93 $6 6¢ $5 $0 10-26 13:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +45 $6 9¢ $4 -$2 10-26 13:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +65 $20 4¢ $3 -$17 10-26 00:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +143 $23 2¢ $2 -$21 10-25 21:53
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +55 $4 3¢ $2 -$3 10-24 04:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$124 84¢ $1 +$125 09-07 15:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 -$3 90¢ $1 +$4 06-27 01:37
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +1 -$81 94¢ $1 +$81 08-26 02:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -10 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 02:28
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +0 $163 15¢ $0 -$163 09-27 07:54