Youthful-Difference 0x2d811b…cafe57
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$425
Unrealized P&L
-$227
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
8
Trades
3,100
lifetime
Volume
$90.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$852
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-30 17:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
39% 100% +$442
Other
38% 20% $-42
Tech
10% 100% +$25
Sports
8% 0% $-0
Crypto
5% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes +211 $201 96¢ $204 +$3 06-18 04:53
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -165 $-142 100¢ $-165 $-22 06-26 10:40
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +156 $95 99¢ $154 +$59 06-22 22:17
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +149 $132 100¢ $148 +$16 06-25 12:38
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +56 $51 99¢ $55 +$5 06-02 02:34
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +185 $103 28¢ $51 $-53 06-30 16:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -63 $-40 59¢ $-37 +$3 06-27 01:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +33 $29 100¢ $33 +$4 06-20 14:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +14 $4 30¢ $4 $-0 06-19 21:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +477 $146 0¢ $1 $-144 06-19 19:32
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +27 $17 1¢ $0 $-16 06-10 18:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -10 $-0 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 02:28
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -42 $136 0¢ $-0 $-137 06-15 18:26
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450? No -0 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 02:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +1 $-56 0¢ $0 +$56 06-25 15:27