Youthful-Difference 0x2d811b…cafe57 Create alert
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$61
Unrealized P&L
-$283
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved (7d)
21
Trades (7d)
291
6,853 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.36K
$198.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 11-09 02:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 224 days
Categories
Other
47% 60% +$9,622
Politics
38% 57% +$484
Tech
9% 73% +$1,061
Sports
4% 42% -$5,175
Crypto
3% 79% +$734
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +490 $23 96¢ $468 +$445 08-01 03:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +599 $189 23¢ $138 -$51 11-06 20:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +720 $188 18¢ $133 -$55 11-09 00:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +802 $155 16¢ $124 -$31 11-09 02:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +954 $103 10¢ $91 -$12 11-09 00:17
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? Yes +473 $68 16¢ $78 +$10 11-09 02:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -96 -$69 70¢ $-67 +$2 06-15 02:28
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +378 $60 8¢ $32 -$29 11-05 02:40
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +78 $24 38¢ $29 +$5 11-06 16:13
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +336 $43 9¢ $29 -$14 11-06 21:01
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? No +97 $42 26¢ $26 -$17 10-28 22:49
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +489 $434 4¢ $22 -$412 07-31 07:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? Yes +515 $217 4¢ $22 -$195 11-09 00:05
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +330 $42 5¢ $15 -$26 11-07 16:51
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +114 $18 12¢ $14 -$4 11-04 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +450 $22 2¢ $11 -$11 11-04 17:01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? No +99 $23 10¢ $10 -$13 11-06 21:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +90 $23 8¢ $8 -$16 11-05 22:04
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 66¢ $7 +$3 10-26 02:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4 $37 80¢ $3 -$34 10-29 17:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +20 $32 14¢ $3 -$29 11-07 15:10
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $4 5¢ $2 -$2 11-04 01:37
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027? No +42 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 11-03 13:25
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +1 -$5 69¢ $1 +$6 10-31 17:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$124 84¢ $1 +$125 09-07 15:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1 $0 73¢ $1 +$1 10-30 04:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 -$3 90¢ $1 +$4 06-27 01:37
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +1 -$81 97¢ $1 +$81 08-26 02:21
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +54 $6 1¢ $1 -$6 10-29 01:22
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +1 -$1 46¢ $0 +$2 10-29 23:04