Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
245
lifetime
Volume
$617
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
5 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 07-20 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
65% 80% $-4
Tech
22% 0% $-1
Other
13%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 78¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 05:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 13:33
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes -6 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 14:34
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 38¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 15:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-23 15:07