Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
169
lifetime
Volume
$419
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$32
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 06-09 21:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
60% 80% $-4
Tech
27% 0% $-1
Other
12%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 $-1 06-09 21:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -7 $-5 84¢ $-6 $-1 06-01 06:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -9 $-3 64¢ $-6 $-2 05-28 14:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 80¢ $-5 +$0 06-02 05:09
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +4 $2 55¢ $2 +$0 06-09 21:09
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes -6 $-2 29¢ $-2 +$1 05-31 14:34
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-07 19:28