Scholarly-Waffle 0xb45beb…2d28f4
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
6
Trades
225
lifetime
Volume
$577
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$16
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 06-29 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
64% 80% $-4
Tech
23% 0% $-1
Other
12% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 84¢ $-5 $-0 06-02 05:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +18 $10 26¢ $5 $-5 06-21 14:09
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 48¢ $2 $-0 07-02 01:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 13:33
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Yes -6 $-2 18¢ $-1 +$1 05-31 14:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 06-29 23:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 39¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 15:07
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 15:07