Basic-Walker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved

125

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$4.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 07-07 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

71% 28% -$44

Politics

27% 17% -$9

Tech

1% 20% -$7

Sports

1% 9% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 14% -$1

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	63	$634	640	640	+0	Yes	-$8	03-29 07:33
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	43	$520	549	549	+0	Yes	-$13	04-01 10:34
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	20	$442	426	426	+0	Up	-$3	03-29 08:22
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 100 119	76	$434	470	470	+0	Yes	-$6	03-28 14:37
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?	22	$421	473	473	+0	No	-$2	04-02 10:06
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	18	$266	160	160	+0	No	-$1	04-01 05:45
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 12c	21	$254	341	341	+0	Yes	-$5	03-30 08:23
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	32	$218	203	203	+0	Yes	$0	03-24 06:21
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 80 99	18	$215	222	222	+0	Yes	$0	03-31 14:13
will the social democrats win 35 39 seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	30	$208	227	205	+22	Yes	+$7	03-24 13:46
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	7	$146	150	150	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 12:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$122	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	03-23 11:19
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 100 119	12	$98	110	110	+0	No	-$2	03-24 10:34
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	10	$94	85	85	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 10:36
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 65 89	11	$82	88	88	+0	Yes	-$1	03-27 14:36
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	6	$71	100	100	+0	No	-$2	03-30 13:43
donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 100 119	2	$54	50	50	+0	No	-$1	04-02 09:25
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	9	$53	59	59	+0	No	+$1	03-21 17:36
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 18c	10	$46	82	82	+0	No	-$5	04-01 06:01
donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 80 99	10	$45	51	51	+0	No	$0	03-28 06:27
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$27	23	23	+0	No	$0	03-29 12:14
will qqq reach 615 by april 13 2026	2	$18	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	04-13 15:54
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	4	$15	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	04-22 15:43
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 75m and 80m	3	$15	20	20	+0	No	$0	03-21 09:41
gpt 5pt5 released by april 22 2026	2	$10	20	20	+0	No	-$3	04-14 18:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-19 06:23
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	4	$7	6	6	+0	No	$0	03-29 12:24
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	$0	04-01 10:24
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-09 05:38
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$6	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-06 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 16:18:38	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x85ae3f…
07-06 17:28:32	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb9dd46…
07-06 17:25:22	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x07b4b9…
07-05 07:47:50	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf6dd97…
06-30 15:47:01	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x876d4d…
06-29 16:00:10	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x24807f…
06-29 15:51:37	Another Elon baby by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40ad6f…
06-28 08:29:13	Another Elon baby by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ffa79…
06-28 08:26:44	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x88370e…
06-27 09:34:34	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2c357c…
06-24 14:28:17	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc5b758…
06-22 15:26:43	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9f811e…
06-22 15:20:55	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47289d…
06-21 05:53:07	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5f382f…
06-21 05:50:38	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x43206e…
06-20 04:41:55	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94a8dd…
06-19 16:50:31	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x51bc58…
06-18 16:53:13	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01aaf4…
06-18 16:49:52	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc03eb6…
06-17 13:52:55	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x876611…
06-16 15:49:44	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3bf74…
06-15 15:30:34	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e90bd…
06-15 15:26:52	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x76e5cd…
06-13 16:40:34	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe17f48…
06-13 10:34:58	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc614d6…
06-12 15:19:04	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd87953…
06-12 15:14:00	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48feb3…
06-11 15:34:52	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb03848…
06-11 15:34:16	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0851be…
06-10 15:31:48	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x32ffcf…
06-10 15:28:51	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8f2c7e…
06-09 05:40:25	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda3638…
06-09 05:38:00	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x566a7f…
06-08 16:13:55	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea3b5a…
06-08 16:05:36	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x490b6a…
06-07 10:56:18	Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05f90b…
06-07 10:48:34	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa2c0ef…
06-06 06:26:40	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19e488…
06-03 13:32:38	Will Stephen Kina win Chopped Castaways Season 1?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x10726e…
06-03 13:32:27	Will Stephen Kina win Chopped Castaways Season 1?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x409ff8…
06-03 13:26:55	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb94eba…
06-01 14:53:21	Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x142896…
06-01 14:45:45	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x83f9f3…
05-31 14:25:47	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd46343…
05-31 14:21:45	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x42afb7…
05-30 06:23:49	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ecb37…
05-30 06:19:47	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x06c016…
05-29 15:03:29	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x68ba79…
05-29 15:00:11	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4cd542…
05-28 06:27:57	Eric Swalwell arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x639baf…
05-28 06:24:46	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f6185…
05-27 06:17:57	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x418d24…
05-27 06:12:39	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1011f7…
05-26 05:06:54	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd92d29…
05-26 05:00:54	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8b2d68…
05-25 05:00:23	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf99f30…
05-25 05:00:00	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x318d75…
05-24 08:56:56	Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8ee05a…
05-23 06:15:05	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2789d7…
05-22 07:04:46	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1e351c…
05-21 14:55:02	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7fcb36…
05-20 05:32:32	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91f9aa…
05-20 05:30:14	Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x05b359…
05-19 06:32:25	Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2b42c…
05-19 06:32:08	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x603479…
05-18 05:43:37	Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f01e4…
05-18 05:40:56	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc5509d…
05-17 06:26:42	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3e195…
05-17 06:23:33	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5e65c9…
05-16 04:59:02	Bill Gates charged by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x022bfd…
05-16 04:56:55	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdd189e…
05-15 17:31:40	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x972518…
05-15 17:28:24	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e9d5e…
05-15 05:20:54	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc2b880…
05-15 05:18:20	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe55244…
05-14 06:03:44	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf210f1…
05-14 06:03:28	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x538bf9…
05-13 05:26:10	Will MrBeast hit 123 billion views by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x857924…
05-13 05:24:01	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4ac0ad…
05-12 10:09:18	Anthropic CEO arrested?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb50511…
05-12 10:07:18	Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa78721…
05-11 06:31:02	Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecfee5…
05-11 06:28:51	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a5a3b…
05-10 09:39:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a4cf1…
05-10 09:35:42	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7d6a6…
05-09 08:06:03	New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69be09…
05-09 05:54:59	Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe85a61…
05-08 05:38:54	Will the Powerball jackpot hit $1 billion by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa43ef2…
05-08 05:36:41	Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x50c184…
05-07 05:58:40	Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c6251…
05-07 05:54:38	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x879c63…
05-05 12:57:18	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe37dbc…
05-05 12:47:02	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd63fb7…
05-04 17:34:00	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf5603…
05-03 09:43:46	Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x531098…
05-03 09:39:42	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f22be…
05-01 06:58:12	MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7de3c…
05-01 06:03:12	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7149d…
04-30 16:43:36	will forsen beat xqcs minecraft speedrun record by april 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd1b3ab…
04-30 15:53:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb17132…