Lean-Trolley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,381

lifetime

Volume

$881.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

48% 75% $-24

Other

48% 100% +$37

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 113 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?	Yes		+65	$61	98¢	$64	+$3	06-19 16:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	50	$29.3K	21,896	11,285	+10,610	open	—	02-03 23:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	10	$15.5K	15,500	0	+15,500	open	—	03-04 19:26
will israel strike lebanon on january 27 2026	11	$11.1K	6,599	4,556	+2,042	open	—	01-27 09:36
will there be at least 800 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	24	$10.6K	10,620	0	+10,620	open	—	02-13 15:20
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	17	$10.6K	8,500	2,100	+6,400	open	—	03-05 12:04
maduro mugshot released by january 16	31	$10.2K	6,638	3,601	+3,037	open	—	01-17 05:12
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	12	$10.2K	5,180	5,180	+0	open	—	06-19 00:27
will israel strike lebanon on march 4 2026	10	$10.0K	10,063	0	+10,063	open	—	03-04 13:45
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 10 2026	57	$10.0K	5,182	5,085	+97	open	—	03-08 22:42
will iran strike uae in march	11	$9.9K	9,919	0	+9,919	open	—	03-05 22:07
will israel strike lebanon on february 5 2026	10	$9.4K	9,444	0	+9,444	open	—	02-05 18:13
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 14	11	$9.4K	4,712	4,718	-6	open	—	02-14 21:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$9.3K	9,400	0	+9,400	open	—	04-30 20:15
will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	4	$8.4K	4,198	4,197	+0	open	—	04-24 00:38
will trump talk to xi jinping in february	5	$8.0K	8,050	0	+8,050	open	—	02-04 17:16
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	12	$7.6K	7,651	0	+7,651	open	—	02-02 23:23
will israel strike lebanon on february 1 2026	22	$7.3K	7,305	0	+7,305	open	—	02-01 15:14
will trump say hottest during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	7	$7.3K	7,267	0	+7,267	open	—	04-21 15:07
will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	27	$7.3K	5,430	1,871	+3,559	open	—	01-28 12:35
military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	3	$7.2K	3,596	3,596	+0	open	—	03-25 13:58
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 5	4	$6.8K	6,824	0	+6,824	open	—	03-06 02:31
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	15	$6.7K	6,868	0	+6,868	open	—	02-12 01:59
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 3	8	$6.6K	6,627	0	+6,627	open	—	03-04 03:19
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	31	$6.6K	6,586	0	+6,586	open	—	02-15 22:02
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 26 2026	7	$6.4K	6,372	0	+6,372	open	—	03-26 15:13
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 13	16	$6.3K	6,830	0	+6,830	open	—	02-14 02:08
andy burnham becomes an mp by june 30	28	$6.3K	6,382	0	+6,382	open	—	06-22 13:39
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	14	$6.2K	6,064	144	+5,920	open	—	03-04 08:09
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$6.1K	6,100	0	+6,100	open	—	01-24 09:15
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	23	$6.1K	5,430	5,430	+0	open	—	02-14 03:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:19:49	will speed say brother 10 times on stream 20260625191836823	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0e9626…
06-30 12:05:38	will speed say red card on stream 20260625191836836	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x0619dd…
06-30 09:59:43	will speed say yellow card on stream 20260625191836835	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x329910…
06-30 07:51:35	will anyone say partner during love island e24 20260625173908441	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0xbf124f…
06-30 07:50:05	will anyone say chat 10 times during love island e24 20260625173908431	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x097b1a…
06-30 06:46:55	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x61028d…
06-30 06:46:47	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xe41764…
06-30 06:46:44	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x083571…
06-30 06:42:05	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xab24e4…
06-30 06:40:35	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	96	2¢	$2	0xca7654…
06-30 06:39:58	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x96ef9d…
06-30 06:39:53	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x0143d3…
06-30 06:38:52	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf0d784…
06-30 06:19:38	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1abd7a…
06-30 05:46:44	will speed say hat trick on stream 20260625191836826	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x3fa631…
06-30 05:25:35	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x27ff46…
06-30 04:23:52	will speed say brother 10 times on stream 20260625191836823	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9e6446…
06-30 04:23:10	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x8798be…
06-30 04:23:07	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x435aec…
06-30 04:23:05	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x006685…
06-30 04:23:04	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x34fd28…
06-30 04:23:01	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	109	87¢	$95	0xdd2aa6…
06-30 04:22:59	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	109	86¢	$94	0xa250a8…
06-30 04:22:56	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x854bb5…
06-30 04:22:55	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x96766f…
06-30 04:22:52	will speed say six seven on stream 20260625191836828	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x38f928…
06-30 04:21:35	will speed say recover on stream 20260625191836829	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0xaf5d4f…
06-30 04:20:40	will speed say red card on stream 20260625191836836	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd63fb6…
06-30 04:20:28	will speed say green apple on stream 20260625191836837	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xcfae74…
06-30 04:20:10	will speed say red card on stream 20260625191836836	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed541d…
06-30 04:19:43	will speed say yellow card on stream 20260625191836835	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x57b0c9…
06-30 04:19:26	will speed say recover on stream 20260625191836829	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa11c78…
06-30 04:19:22	will speed say recover on stream 20260625191836829	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0xac34fe…
06-30 04:19:11	will speed say recover on stream 20260625191836829	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x13ee24…
06-30 04:17:14	will speed say hat trick on stream 20260625191836826	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xc4a47c…
06-30 04:15:56	will speed say brother 10 times on stream 20260625191836823	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x673a7d…
06-30 03:27:56	will anyone say cute during love island e24 20260625173908446	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x9c7214…
06-30 03:18:26	will anyone say partner during love island e24 20260625173908441	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xf83f01…
06-30 03:18:25	will anyone say partner during love island e24 20260625173908441	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x42551a…
06-30 03:18:23	will anyone say partner during love island e24 20260625173908441	Yes	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xddd9e4…
06-30 03:16:38	will love island episode not air 20260625173908447	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x235ce7…
06-30 03:12:16	will anyone say betray 3 times during love island e24 20260625173908433	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49dd4a…
06-30 03:12:13	will anyone say betray 3 times during love island e24 20260625173908433	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x6eca3a…
06-30 03:11:28	will anyone say chat 10 times during love island e24 20260625173908431	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xe16ecc…
06-30 03:11:26	will anyone say chat 10 times during love island e24 20260625173908431	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xec96e5…
06-30 03:11:23	will anyone say chat 10 times during love island e24 20260625173908431	Yes	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0xbc1e9e…
06-30 03:11:01	will anyone say chat 10 times during love island e24 20260625173908431	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xe17297…
06-30 03:10:01	will anyone say villa 20 times during love island e24 20260625173908430	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5b93c9…
06-30 00:48:08	will there be at least 2140 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	No	BUY	274	99¢	$271	0x584dd5…
06-28 21:24:13	us bank failure by june 30 227	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x07c437…
06-28 21:24:07	us bank failure by june 30 227	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x0a7552…
06-28 21:22:56	us bank failure by june 30 227	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6d2f97…
06-28 21:09:20	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c2494…
06-28 21:09:19	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2e3715…
06-28 21:06:44	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6626bd…
06-28 21:06:14	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x4a2308…
06-28 21:06:13	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4e82fc…
06-28 19:19:31	f1 austrian grand prix h2h hamilton vs piastri 2026 06 28	Piastri	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x5262f9…
06-28 19:19:04	f1 austrian grand prix h2h hamilton vs piastri 2026 06 28	Piastri	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xd3daa9…
06-28 19:18:59	f1 austrian grand prix h2h hamilton vs piastri 2026 06 28	Piastri	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xaeb49f…
06-28 19:18:41	f1 austrian grand prix h2h hamilton vs piastri 2026 06 28	Piastri	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb8f6b2…
06-28 19:18:37	f1 austrian grand prix h2h hamilton vs piastri 2026 06 28	Piastri	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x953efc…
06-28 19:18:10	f1 austrian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 06 28	Verstappen	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x5eb895…
06-28 19:18:07	f1 austrian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 06 28	Verstappen	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaa7ebe…
06-28 19:18:04	f1 austrian grand prix h2h leclerc vs verstappen 2026 06 28	Verstappen	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3a3a75…
06-28 19:16:14	f1 austrian grand prix h2h norris vs russell 2026 06 28	Russell	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x47bd61…
06-28 00:53:02	us bank failure by june 30 227	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xee9775…
06-27 21:18:43	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x70ea27…
06-27 21:18:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x914649…
06-27 19:57:34	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xd297ed…
06-27 19:57:05	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0xee49ef…
06-27 19:57:02	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x66ffca…
06-27 19:57:01	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x880be0…
06-27 19:56:58	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xea08aa…
06-27 19:56:56	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x595a43…
06-27 19:56:55	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 27 20260619212504661	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x3b84be…
06-26 22:27:04	will johnny somalis sentence be extended 20260615165847939	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0xa0c2e3…
06-26 22:26:58	will johnny somalis sentence be extended 20260615165847939	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x64431a…
06-26 22:26:56	will johnny somalis sentence be extended 20260615165847939	No	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0x7bdebc…
06-26 22:08:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 26 20260619212504660	No	BUY	83	99¢	$83	0x48629d…
06-26 06:42:31	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16930f…
06-26 06:42:29	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd58f9f…
06-26 06:42:28	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcf6bf5…
06-26 06:42:28	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38b246…
06-25 23:47:23	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 25 20260619212504659	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2f9238…
06-25 23:36:40	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 25 20260619212504659	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x593157…
06-25 23:36:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 25 20260619212504659	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0x943ecd…
06-25 23:18:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 25 20260619212504659	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b35ff…
06-25 21:42:34	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x363007…
06-25 20:49:14	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8d3604…
06-25 20:44:59	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2ed141…
06-25 20:42:25	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,316	100¢	$1,315	0x0fb58b…
06-25 20:39:35	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$698	0x0ebc38…
06-25 20:39:31	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x4ad9a8…
06-25 20:39:26	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1c2e5f…
06-25 20:39:25	Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	99¢	$248	0xa83c27…
06-25 08:23:16	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0xdc1aba…
06-24 20:37:04	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x7512ac…
06-24 20:37:01	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8794d2…
06-24 20:36:52	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x73ebe0…