Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?
Yes won
Total volume
$1,461
Trades
92
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-12
First seen
2026-10-08
last 10-13 15:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+9.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $422
vs crowd: 91% YES on $984)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $483 | $41 | +$443 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $273 | $26 | +$247 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $87 | $18 | +$69 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $47 | $9 | +$39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $421 | $1 | +$420 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $31 | $8 | +$23 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $65 | — | +$65 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | $96 | — | +$96 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $18 | $12 | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $30 | $21 | +$9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 8 | $231 | $47 | +$184 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +239 | $35 | $35 | 5 | 10-09 06:13 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | +142 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 10-13 14:31 |
| Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | Yes | +66 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 10-13 02:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +60 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 10-09 07:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +60 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 10-09 07:37 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-12 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +49 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 10-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1de4…070a | Yes | +46 | $45 | $45 | 1 | 10-11 18:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xffc6…2da7 | No | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-09 02:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +29 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 10-11 17:19 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 10-13 15:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-12 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b84…a108 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-08 07:20 |
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-08 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 17:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xda65…e87e | No | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-09 02:20 |
| Regal-Lyrics 0xfe9f…8e23 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-08 07:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xda65…e87e | Yes | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-09 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | +14 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-09 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 10-09 06:13 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-11 17:19 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-09 02:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ba5…14c1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-12 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | No | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 10-09 06:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 15:46:06 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0xa69071… |
| 10-13 15:46:06 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa69071… |
| 10-13 15:46:06 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa69071… |
| 10-13 15:46:06 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | Yes | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0xa69071… |
| 10-13 14:31:40 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | BUY | 142 | 100¢ | $142 | 0x35e34c… |
| 10-13 14:31:40 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | SELL | 142 | 100¢ | $142 | 0x35e34c… |
| 10-13 02:11:06 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | SELL | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x3b89a9… |
| 10-13 02:11:06 | Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0x3b89a9… |
| 10-13 02:11:06 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x3b89a9… |
| 10-12 23:57:29 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe6bb88… |
| 10-12 23:57:29 | (anonymous) 0x3ec5…c370 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe6bb88… |
| 10-12 00:54:33 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | No | SELL | 71 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x664f8b… |
| 10-12 00:54:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x664f8b… |
| 10-12 00:54:33 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x664f8b… |
| 10-12 00:54:33 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x664f8b… |
| 10-12 00:54:33 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x664f8b… |
| 10-12 00:02:44 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd952f8… |
| 10-12 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x5ba5…14c1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xd952f8… |
| 10-12 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0xd952f8… |
| 10-12 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | No | BUY | 71 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd952f8… |
| 10-12 00:02:44 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xd952f8… |
| 10-11 18:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x38ae2d… |
| 10-11 18:02:15 | (anonymous) 0x1de4…070a | Yes | BUY | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0x38ae2d… |
| 10-11 17:58:22 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | SELL | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xceca5b… |
| 10-11 17:58:22 | (anonymous) 0xe056…9230 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0xceca5b… |
| 10-11 17:19:13 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x476a16… |
| 10-11 17:19:13 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x476a16… |
| 10-11 17:19:06 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf0ffaf… |
| 10-11 17:19:06 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xf0ffaf… |
| 10-11 17:19:06 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf0ffaf… |
| 10-11 17:19:03 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x86b803… |
| 10-11 17:19:03 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x86b803… |
| 10-11 17:19:00 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 13 | 97¢ | $13 | 0x1b64ed… |
| 10-11 17:19:00 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | BUY | 13 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1b64ed… |
| 10-11 17:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf051bd… |
| 10-11 17:18:55 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0xf051bd… |
| 10-11 17:18:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf051bd… |
| 10-11 17:18:52 | Authorized-Spreadsheet 0x8704…3b94 | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x285618… |
| 10-11 17:18:52 | Lean-Trolley 0x3c76…d4ee | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x285618… |
| 10-11 04:04:17 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 19 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x192b33… |
| 10-11 04:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | SELL | 11 | 53¢ | $6 | 0x192b33… |
| 10-11 04:04:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x192b33… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0x2db1f4… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x2db1f4… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xe148a2… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xe148a2… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 79 | 91¢ | $72 | 0x2db1f4… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x2db1f4… |
| 10-09 07:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe148a2… |
| 10-09 06:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 8 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x80e3cb… |
| 10-09 06:40:27 | (anonymous) 0xe056…9230 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 91¢ | $26 | 0x80e3cb… |
| 10-09 06:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x80e3cb… |
| 10-09 06:40:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x80e3cb… |
| 10-09 06:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1a4383… |
| 10-09 06:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x1a4383… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 88¢ | $70 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | No | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 176 | 12¢ | $21 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | SELL | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x590dc9… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x590dc9… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:46 | (anonymous) 0xda65…e87e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x733d43… |
| 10-09 06:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x6887b1… |
| 10-09 06:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x6887b1… |
| 10-09 06:13:45 | (anonymous) 0x3ef6…1091 | No | BUY | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2067fe… |
| 10-09 06:13:45 | (anonymous) 0xda65…e87e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 88¢ | $12 | 0x6887b1… |
| 10-09 06:13:45 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x2067fe… |
| 10-09 02:21:15 | Aggravating-Heartwood 0x92c8…ebd8 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x26bde9… |
| 10-09 02:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x1e75…63f1 | No | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x26bde9… |
| 10-09 02:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x26bde9… |
| 10-09 02:20:18 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 88¢ | $53 | 0xfe06e6… |
| 10-09 02:20:18 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfe06e6… |
| 10-09 02:20:18 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfe06e6… |
| 10-09 02:20:18 | (anonymous) 0xda65…e87e | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xfe06e6… |
| 10-09 02:05:17 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 87¢ | $18 | 0x3de77f… |
| 10-09 02:05:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x3de77f… |
| 10-09 02:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xffc6…2da7 | No | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xb0ec12… |
| 10-09 02:05:15 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 87¢ | $38 | 0xb0ec12… |
| 10-09 02:05:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb0ec12… |
| 10-09 02:05:09 | Defiant-Gamebird 0xa344…8141 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 87¢ | $57 | 0x3e114e… |
| 10-09 02:05:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x3e114e… |
| 10-09 02:05:09 | Murky-Freak 0x9998…e858 | No | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3e114e… |
| 10-09 02:05:09 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x3e114e… |
| 10-08 11:02:39 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | No | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xf1b9a5… |
| 10-08 11:02:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xf1b9a5… |
| 10-08 10:50:56 | Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xe4b862… |
| 10-08 10:50:56 | (anonymous) 0xe3a0…5793 | No | BUY | 20 | 52¢ | $10 | 0xe4b862… |
| 10-08 07:20:20 | (anonymous) 0x7b84…a108 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xfb9a04… |
| 10-08 07:20:20 | Regal-Lyrics 0xfe9f…8e23 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xfb9a04… |