Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

281

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$384

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 10-28 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

65% 96% +$144

Crypto

30% 88% -$163

Politics

5% 83% -$93

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No		+290	$283	97¢	$282	-$1	10-19 13:39
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+148	$100	68¢	$102	+$2	10-28 09:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	2	$283	290	0	+290	open	—	10-19 13:39
spy up or down on september 28 2026	6	$258	145	145	+0	Down	-$9	09-28 16:32
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 7?	2	$248	145	145	+0	No	-$30	10-07 19:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	5	$213	115	115	+0	No	-$13	09-28 10:27
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$143	145	0	+145	Yes	+$2	10-05 05:02
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$142	145	0	+145	Yes	+$3	10-13 15:03
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 8?	2	$142	145	0	+145	Yes	+$3	10-08 11:10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$142	145	0	+145	Yes	+$3	10-04 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	5	$141	145	0	+145	No	+$4	09-29 08:14
spy closes above 770 on october 9 2026	1	$141	145	0	+145	Yes	+$4	10-09 13:45
amzn up or down on september 28 2026	2	$140	145	0	+145	Down	+$5	09-28 17:12
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	1	$140	145	0	+145	Yes	+$5	10-08 18:32
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	7	$130	70	70	+0	No	-$7	09-21 06:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?	2	$127	70	70	+0	No	-$7	09-21 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?	4	$113	115	0	+115	No	+$2	09-24 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	4	$113	115	0	+115	No	+$2	09-22 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?	1	$112	115	0	+115	No	+$3	09-25 06:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 23?	2	$112	115	0	+115	No	+$3	09-23 06:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?	1	$111	115	0	+115	No	+$4	09-23 01:42
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 15?	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	09-15 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	2	$104	105	0	+105	Yes	+$1	08-17 10:43
bitcoin above 66k on august 18 2026	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	08-18 14:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 2?	1	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	09-02 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 7?	3	$104	105	0	+105	No	+$1	09-07 02:48
spy up or down on august 17 2026	1	$103	105	0	+105	Down	+$2	08-17 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	1	$102	104	0	+104	Yes	+$2	08-25 08:25
spx up or down on august 25 2026	2	$102	103	0	+103	Up	+$1	08-25 19:14
spx up or down on august 18 2026	1	$102	103	0	+103	Down	+$2	08-18 16:32
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$100	148	0	+148	open	—	10-28 09:44
tsla up or down on september 17 2026	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	09-17 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:44:23	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x44394c…
10-19 13:39:45	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x5877b2…
10-19 07:07:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcf8f12…
10-19 04:23:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x66e352…
10-18 22:05:26	Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x8d52a8…
10-16 21:56:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdaad7e…
10-16 21:33:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa4e8c…
10-16 19:08:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x40e1df…
10-16 18:53:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 12-18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe319b5…
10-16 17:18:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 19?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x922d5f…
10-16 17:18:29	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on October 19?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x040e0c…
10-14 05:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa1474d…
10-13 15:03:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfaa860…
10-13 15:03:16	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0xe415c7…
10-13 09:13:55	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 13 2026	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x6ceff1…
10-13 08:39:28	will bitcoin dip to 81k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5cc78b…
10-13 04:34:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xda0a83…
10-12 12:41:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5ec7ef…
10-12 12:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xa51057…
10-12 05:32:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1a489d…
10-12 00:02:44	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 11?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xd952f8…
10-09 18:29:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1a5933…
10-09 13:45:22	spy closes above 770 on october 9 2026	Yes	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x8b839f…
10-08 18:32:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	145	96¢	$140	0xf4b9e7…
10-08 15:38:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x4f7630…
10-08 15:38:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x5587fd…
10-08 11:10:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xcbb532…
10-08 11:10:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x6bebe4…
10-08 06:03:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x6f4e33…
10-07 19:50:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 7?	No	SELL	145	75¢	$109	0x6c24c7…
10-07 17:10:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 7?	No	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0x3c55c2…
10-07 13:05:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa39ac5…
10-07 12:42:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4cace5…
10-07 02:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x1d6c83…
10-07 02:08:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 6?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x1412c0…
10-07 02:02:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe2ad0c…
10-05 05:02:01	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x7ed956…
10-04 22:48:11	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x50c101…
10-04 22:46:56	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0a770b…
10-04 22:45:08	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xed6df2…
10-04 22:43:46	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x53e041…
10-04 22:43:46	Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0624f1…
10-04 20:56:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0xe079a5…
10-02 00:25:21	will bitcoin dip to 83k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbd2bc4…
10-01 00:55:30	will bitcoin dip to 82pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x04f065…
09-30 00:24:11	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 29 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xfe19d5…
09-30 00:14:59	will bitcoin dip to 82k on september 29 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x64d834…
09-29 12:23:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x99078b…
09-29 08:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x0e4314…
09-29 07:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x8d3fdd…
09-29 07:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x6ffb06…
09-29 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xfd3c73…
09-29 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 29?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0e9188…
09-28 17:12:21	amzn up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x443bd5…
09-28 17:12:20	amzn up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	137	97¢	$132	0x63a9d1…
09-28 16:32:23	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x106793…
09-28 16:32:21	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x4c4a78…
09-28 16:32:20	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xfb72e4…
09-28 16:26:38	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x5ec6de…
09-28 16:26:33	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x6132ad…
09-28 16:21:26	spy up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	145	92¢	$134	0x1fa899…
09-28 10:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x95ff12…
09-28 10:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	SELL	101	87¢	$88	0x790a96…
09-28 10:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x192e6f…
09-28 08:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xa02db1…
09-28 07:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x3f3ede…
09-27 11:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 27?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xa92462…
09-27 11:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 27?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d44a5…
09-27 10:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 27?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xe930ae…
09-26 09:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 26?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xaae9e6…
09-26 08:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 26?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa376a7…
09-25 12:17:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 25?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x09f5a5…
09-25 06:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on September 25?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$112	0xf5e270…
09-24 07:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x94ac58…
09-24 07:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcadb12…
09-24 07:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7d1843…
09-24 07:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd9f126…
09-23 06:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 23?	No	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xe8807a…
09-23 06:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8bc4e5…
09-23 01:42:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$111	0x5116c2…
09-22 06:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x63daa4…
09-22 06:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xe58360…
09-22 06:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0x33adc2…
09-22 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xf17f7d…
09-21 17:58:54	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x658c36…
09-21 17:58:52	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x1f1b8e…
09-21 06:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x1d1d30…
09-21 06:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0x2aa711…
09-21 06:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xa61118…
09-21 06:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xc3add6…
09-21 06:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x17ab30…
09-21 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f690f…
09-21 06:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x03fb54…
09-21 01:43:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?	No	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0x583d9d…
09-21 01:28:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0xe9abfc…
09-21 00:13:40	Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xcb9900…
09-21 00:13:37	Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7f0f99…
09-20 22:54:56	Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xce6aa2…
09-20 22:44:35	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb108d9…
09-18 06:12:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x9c7392…