Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

626

lifetime

Volume

$7.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$235

16 positions

First seen

2026-10-08

last 10-25 06:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

88% 20% -$965

Politics

7% 0% -$49

Tech

5% 25% +$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	+82	$59	95¢	$78	+$19	10-09 16:55
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	+160	$37	18¢	$30	-$7	10-11 18:52
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+30	$5	93¢	$28	+$23	10-09 13:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+50	$19	52¢	$26	+$7	10-11 17:28
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+100	$34	26¢	$26	-$8	10-10 23:39
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?	Yes	+100	$27	19¢	$19	-$8	10-10 06:42
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	No	+10	$3	82¢	$8	+$5	10-10 12:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	+200	$34	4¢	$7	-$27	10-11 23:50
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	No	+100	$28	5¢	$5	-$23	10-09 16:15
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$26	3¢	$3	-$23	10-09 17:18
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?	No	+100	$12	2¢	$2	-$10	10-09 20:52
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	+20	$6	8¢	$2	-$4	10-11 13:36
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+100	$25	1¢	$1	-$24	10-10 22:37
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	+50	$8	1¢	$1	-$7	10-11 18:46
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	No	+27	$3	2¢	$1	-$3	10-08 21:50
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?	No	+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	10-09 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	12	$222	460	0	+460	No	+$18	10-10 02:14
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	8	$140	280	0	+280	Yes	$0	10-09 18:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1?	3	$130	300	0	+300	Yes	+$70	10-10 00:58
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	3	$126	300	0	+300	No	+$74	10-10 12:22
Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	7	$121	291	31	+260	open	—	10-11 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 12?	3	$120	300	0	+300	No	-$20	10-11 03:05
Will London have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October?	5	$107	230	0	+230	open	—	10-11 06:43
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?	3	$106	220	0	+220	Yes	-$6	10-11 14:01
Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?	2	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	10-09 10:54
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?	4	$97	209	0	+209	Yes	-$2	10-09 07:58
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	2	$93	193	0	+193	open	—	10-10 15:33
Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	4	$87	235	0	+235	Yes	-$20	10-09 16:34
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	5	$87	100	0	+100	Yes	+$13	10-25 06:45
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	3	$87	182	0	+182	open	—	10-09 16:55
Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	4	$85	250	50	+200	No	-$22	10-09 13:39
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?	5	$79	150	50	+100	open	—	10-09 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?	2	$78	160	0	+160	Yes	+$2	10-11 10:13
Will Isaias peak at Category 2?	6	$76	150	50	+100	No	-$2	10-09 08:42
Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	1	$73	190	0	+190	Yes	+$117	10-11 17:50
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	3	$69	200	0	+200	Yes	-$19	10-09 10:50
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	2	$64	150	0	+150	No	-$14	10-09 07:13
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?	6	$64	116	9	+107	Yes	+$6	10-10 21:44
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?	5	$62	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	10-09 14:56
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?	3	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	10-09 19:57
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	2	$59	122	0	+122	open	—	10-10 12:52
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	7	$58	187	0	+187	No	-$15	10-09 21:33
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$57	134	0	+134	Yes	-$7	10-10 02:46
Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?	6	$54	119	0	+119	No	-$4	10-09 20:35
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	12	$52	107	0	+107	No	-$2	10-10 01:43
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze?	3	$51	110	0	+110	No	-$2	10-09 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 06:45:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x714de4…
10-25 06:45:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x011c46…
10-25 06:44:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xd302a8…
10-25 06:44:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0a664d…
10-25 06:43:11	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7b6c04…
10-25 06:43:11	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x21bc6c…
10-25 06:41:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8f2f04…
10-25 06:41:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x88896c…
10-25 06:40:05	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x93c845…
10-25 06:40:03	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xdf0d12…
10-12 09:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x965705…
10-12 09:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa8409d…
10-12 08:50:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x66498c…
10-12 08:34:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x8c8469…
10-12 08:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0x39d7b3…
10-12 08:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb56b25…
10-12 08:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x431e5d…
10-12 08:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x0a2a43…
10-12 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x8f7197…
10-12 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x7d5d9b…
10-12 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x228784…
10-12 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x007460…
10-12 08:30:51	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x0a45d2…
10-12 08:11:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xcac268…
10-12 08:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x036a50…
10-12 08:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x47e3ca…
10-12 08:00:07	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xe5f036…
10-12 07:44:25	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8aee3f…
10-12 07:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xccac79…
10-12 07:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xf3a47a…
10-12 07:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x729cab…
10-12 06:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf43443…
10-12 05:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x7beca1…
10-12 05:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x871cfd…
10-12 05:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x337fa1…
10-12 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4ad139…
10-12 04:46:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	55	29¢	$16	0xdccbd9…
10-12 04:46:11	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd80264…
10-12 04:04:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6a19d7…
10-12 04:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xdf093e…
10-12 03:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x6e2125…
10-12 02:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbddec3…
10-12 02:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x03b479…
10-12 01:08:56	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	No	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x9380d8…
10-12 01:08:53	Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x80a3c6…
10-12 00:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xfb088d…
10-12 00:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x1e3b37…
10-11 23:54:03	Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	14¢	$18	0x40a2bb…
10-11 23:50:08	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xad435d…
10-11 23:28:20	Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x41778a…
10-11 23:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xd959d7…
10-11 22:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x3046e2…
10-11 21:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x25d7ca…
10-11 21:07:55	Will Kevin Acton win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xe40946…
10-11 19:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xc5c66c…
10-11 19:03:19	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x08da72…
10-11 19:03:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xff2802…
10-11 18:52:18	Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	160	23¢	$37	0x3ffb9e…
10-11 18:46:46	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x8fbc85…
10-11 18:13:42	Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x19a008…
10-11 17:50:57	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	38¢	$73	0xdc4a98…
10-11 17:35:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x646b72…
10-11 17:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbb866a…
10-11 17:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xf87983…
10-11 17:28:15	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xb7aa6f…
10-11 17:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x839754…
10-11 17:22:06	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xfc24b5…
10-11 16:42:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb1a8b6…
10-11 16:25:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x92e5c7…
10-11 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	18	37¢	$7	0xd024af…
10-11 16:01:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x03ee1a…
10-11 16:01:24	Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xf20607…
10-11 15:33:24	Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0xdc9305…
10-11 15:13:40	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x3a71ca…
10-11 15:11:39	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x7ba9b2…
10-11 14:41:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	49¢	$31	0xb55503…
10-11 14:36:01	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x0adfc9…
10-11 14:23:12	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1ce507…
10-11 14:01:22	riyadh airport closed by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x3ce0de…
10-11 13:55:36	Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4af0b6…
10-11 13:36:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf83696…
10-11 13:25:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x157580…
10-11 13:05:06	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb7bb76…
10-11 13:05:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x026855…
10-11 12:59:21	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x5b22da…
10-11 12:54:22	Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	14¢	$19	0x348673…
10-11 12:53:22	Will Marvin Harrison Jr.'s next team be the Houston Texans?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc84b71…
10-11 12:29:54	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xafdd9b…
10-11 12:05:30	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xcb4ec6…
10-11 11:49:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xbc8001…
10-11 11:44:59	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	45	46¢	$21	0xf0daa5…
10-11 11:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd29256…
10-11 11:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb8aeeb…
10-11 11:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	77	45¢	$34	0x0aceb3…
10-11 11:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x66df11…
10-11 11:16:42	Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xcb0a56…
10-11 11:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf05baf…
10-11 10:26:38	Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x196027…
10-11 10:22:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x32a7cf…
10-11 10:17:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	69¢	$13	0xbc6854…