(anonymous) 0xda6563…f2e87e Create alert
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$30
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
64.8%
Resolved (7d)
4
Trades (7d)
0
626 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$7.03K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$815
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-08
last 10-25 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
88% 20% -$1,046
Politics
7% 0% -$97
Tech
5% 40% +$9
Crypto
0% 0% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy? No +100 $76 99¢ $99 +$23 10-09 10:54
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? No +100 $27 93¢ $93 +$66 10-10 15:24
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +82 $59 99¢ $81 +$22 10-09 16:55
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +100 $16 47¢ $47 +$31 10-09 15:49
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +100 $21 46¢ $46 +$24 10-10 15:42
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +50 $9 90¢ $45 +$36 10-11 23:28
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? Yes +100 $18 40¢ $40 +$22 10-09 16:38
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? No +100 $19 39¢ $39 +$20 10-09 17:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 30%-35%? Yes +100 $20 36¢ $36 +$16 10-11 01:29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +100 $34 29¢ $29 -$5 10-10 23:39
Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31? Yes +100 $19 27¢ $27 +$8 10-10 11:36
Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? Yes +80 $22 30¢ $24 +$3 10-09 11:47
Will Houthis target Syria by December 31, 2026? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 10-08 21:59
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? Yes +50 $18 35¢ $18 $0 10-11 11:16
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on November 30, 2026? No +20 $17 85¢ $17 +$0 10-09 16:03
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 10%-15%? No +29 $22 55¢ $16 -$6 10-10 15:44
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes +100 $27 16¢ $16 -$11 10-10 06:42
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $17 16¢ $16 -$2 10-10 00:43
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? Yes +100 $30 15¢ $15 -$15 10-09 08:18
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +160 $37 8¢ $12 -$25 10-11 18:52
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? No +20 $14 60¢ $12 -$2 10-09 13:01
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +20 $8 57¢ $12 +$4 10-11 17:35
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +10 $3 87¢ $9 +$6 10-10 12:06
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +100 $26 9¢ $9 -$17 10-09 17:18
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? Yes +20 $6 40¢ $8 +$2 10-08 23:37
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US? Yes +42 $7 17¢ $7 +$0 10-09 20:46
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-02 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +20 $7 35¢ $7 +$0 10-11 13:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? Yes +93 $66 7¢ $7 -$60 10-10 15:33
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31? Yes +20 $5 32¢ $6 +$2 10-09 15:24
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +50 $19 13¢ $6 -$12 10-11 17:28