Realized P&L
+$173
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
450
Trades
1,282
lifetime
Volume
$29.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$6.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-15
last 10-22 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 89% +$16
Other
32% 90% +$96
Politics
9% 88% +$57
Tech
3% 65% -$2
Sports
2% 94% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? No +519 $502 98¢ $511 +$9 10-11 16:28
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +500 $494 99¢ $495 +$1 10-13 14:13
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $396 99¢ $397 +$0 10-11 18:15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -390 -$354 96¢ $-376 -$22 09-06 19:00
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +355 $341 97¢ $343 +$3 10-06 21:09
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +330 $320 98¢ $324 +$4 10-07 22:41
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -285 -$280 97¢ $-276 +$4 09-14 22:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No +242 $238 99¢ $239 +$1 10-13 20:52
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -240 -$225 98¢ $-234 -$9 09-06 23:29
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? No +231 $221 99¢ $228 +$7 10-14 10:10
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -218 -$195 98¢ $-213 -$17 10-13 07:19
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $198 99¢ $198 +$0 10-06 14:52
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +200 $197 98¢ $197 $0 10-12 23:35
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? No +175 $175 100¢ $175 +$0 10-12 11:18
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -180 -$162 96¢ $-172 -$11 09-15 02:29
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +162 $160 99¢ $160 +$1 10-06 05:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +160 $156 98¢ $156 +$0 10-05 04:57
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? No +152 $149 99¢ $150 +$1 10-11 13:09
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -160 -$142 94¢ $-150 -$8 10-05 04:11
US recession by end of 2026? No +160 $149 92¢ $148 -$1 10-12 17:23
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +146 $142 97¢ $142 -$1 10-05 14:45
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +140 $136 98¢ $138 +$2 10-06 08:53
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +120 $118 98¢ $118 $0 10-12 05:52
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -120 -$113 97¢ $-117 -$4 09-21 22:35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +116 $115 99¢ $115 +$0 10-11 19:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +120 $114 94¢ $113 -$1 10-22 17:18
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No +110 $108 94¢ $104 -$5 10-05 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +107 $104 97¢ $104 $0 10-14 06:19
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 10-04 20:19
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$1 10-05 04:18