Numb-Custard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

307

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 06:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 41% -$45

Other

13% 63% +$2

Sports

1% 31% +$0

Politics

0% 80% +$0

Tech

0% 44% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes		+19	$15	82¢	$16	+$1	10-01 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	4	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	10-09 14:12
will xrp reach 3 in february 2026	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$0	02-22 13:17
will bnb reach 1100 in march	3	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-19 15:55
will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	07-04 10:18
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-11 15:22
will xrp reach 2pt4 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-09 15:15
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	06-12 06:11
will solana reach 140 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-16 16:41
will xrp reach 2pt8 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-07 14:47
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-18 05:58
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-26 13:24
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-28 11:34
will xrp reach 2pt8 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-29 02:59
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-30 05:28
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	$0	06-15 06:02
will solana reach 150 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-14 14:45
will bnb reach 1000 in march	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-21 09:15
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	05-23 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-30 11:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-03 13:20
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-07 08:52
will ethereum reach 2300 in june 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-26 11:08
will chainlink reach 20 in march	3	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-17 16:28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-29 12:35
will xrp reach 2pt6 in july 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	07-08 15:18
will xrp reach 2pt8 in june 2026	3	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-19 07:23
will xrp reach 2pt6 in june 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	-$1	06-20 06:31
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	05-22 10:26
will xrp reach 2pt4 in june 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-23 14:33
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	04-05 05:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:34:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x491202…
10-30 06:33:58	Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfcc46d…
10-30 06:04:43	Will XRP reach $2.60 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xfdfdb6…
10-30 06:03:28	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x25edfd…
10-28 14:40:37	Will XRP reach $3.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe58ad8…
10-28 14:37:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xcbf8df…
10-27 12:53:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x25f525…
10-27 12:52:18	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x1c96e8…
10-26 12:52:09	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xfb3560…
10-26 12:50:05	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$70	0xdbd662…
10-23 11:43:00	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xbc5a44…
10-23 11:39:48	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xcfba30…
10-22 11:10:42	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xbaffb6…
10-22 11:08:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xc7ba2e…
10-21 13:12:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9e33c5…
10-21 13:10:17	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xb6ae29…
10-20 10:17:14	Will XRP reach $3.20 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x130529…
10-20 10:14:27	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x959d8f…
10-19 12:46:24	Will Solana dip to $40 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7ea669…
10-19 12:39:47	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x6d1b58…
10-16 10:55:09	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x9209e2…
10-16 10:52:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0xb0daab…
10-15 08:22:31	will ethereum reach 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xfcc384…
10-15 08:19:08	will solana reach 200 in october 2026	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x7a2bf2…
10-14 09:26:04	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4ab3aa…
10-14 09:23:35	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd7930c…
10-13 13:32:08	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x617fbc…
10-13 13:28:25	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xdb454b…
10-12 13:28:41	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x812c93…
10-12 13:25:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xef4a5f…
10-09 14:15:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd95c12…
10-09 14:12:42	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfaf5c3…
10-08 13:38:38	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x953f2a…
10-08 13:37:54	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x830654…
10-08 12:57:47	Will Solana dip to $30 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xbc0a88…
10-08 12:57:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	72	97¢	$69	0xec2a0a…
10-07 09:50:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x7354a0…
10-07 09:48:05	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6dcf4a…
10-06 10:45:52	Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc35352…
10-06 10:44:30	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xeecc0a…
10-05 13:37:50	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x42e819…
10-05 13:35:58	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x46e41c…
10-02 11:53:12	Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x9917be…
10-02 11:51:24	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x03c937…
10-01 11:18:41	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xfb5e8b…
10-01 11:15:51	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xea7a63…
10-01 11:12:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x31938a…
09-30 09:56:47	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x7a174e…
09-30 09:55:12	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by September 30?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfeaee8…
09-29 11:03:05	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by September 30?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xcbf513…
09-29 10:55:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6cafb9…
09-28 14:11:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x25cc36…
09-28 14:07:26	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x707990…
09-25 10:59:02	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5d62b4…
09-25 10:57:56	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x8c99c6…
09-24 10:01:39	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x34716f…
09-24 09:57:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x873d04…
09-23 10:57:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe1300f…
09-23 10:53:49	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x25c23d…
09-22 09:25:28	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xc8100b…
09-22 09:16:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfe589d…
09-21 14:00:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x260f9f…
09-19 07:49:45	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0x02e782…
09-18 13:15:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x0aeeeb…
09-18 13:11:15	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xaf5417…
09-18 13:08:36	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xfcd2b3…
09-17 11:37:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xf48a71…
09-17 11:35:03	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x36bde8…
09-16 10:45:07	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xed8020…
09-16 10:42:37	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x56b91d…
09-15 12:01:36	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4e9587…
09-15 11:56:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$70	0xde8343…
09-14 12:49:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0x450fa0…
09-14 12:44:13	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xd8aa45…
09-12 07:42:49	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x814868…
09-12 07:40:16	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xf18adb…
09-11 07:07:09	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x2962b5…
09-11 07:04:48	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x1b4f92…
09-10 08:02:46	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xdeca1e…
09-10 08:01:49	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x5210da…
09-10 08:01:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf6ce72…
09-09 12:06:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $90 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x32da73…
09-09 12:02:31	Will Solana reach $190 in September?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xc53862…
09-09 11:57:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x58e92b…
09-09 11:56:16	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x3eb084…
09-08 09:20:52	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1acf58…
09-08 09:17:57	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa97fbc…
09-08 09:15:52	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa1d9fb…
09-07 07:10:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x98b490…
09-07 07:08:45	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x07647a…
09-07 07:05:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xcad590…
09-04 22:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x89ab16…
09-04 22:54:01	will solana dip to 10 in september 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xca34b6…
09-04 22:50:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x7b31f6…
09-03 14:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcb5ed6…
09-03 14:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on September 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x660d6d…
09-03 14:29:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x31556a…
09-03 14:27:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xe205ca…
09-03 01:35:37	Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf75771…
09-02 14:12:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xf4a4b0…